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Goal Line Stand

Silva's Preseason Top 150

by Evan Silva
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:09 pm ET

These rankings are based on standard scoring leagues, albeit with plenty of references to points-per-reception formats (PPR). This is my attempt to essentially map out a fantasy draft, and provide readers with an idea of where I value players. Average Draft Position, position scarcity, upside, and projected role are all strongly considered in the rankings. I do bump up players I want readers to draft, because I think they should aggressively pursue them. I bump down players I do not want readers to draft because I believe there is strong evidence suggesting they should be avoided.

As is always the case in these Top 150s, I devalue quarterbacks because it is a devalued position in standard, one-quarterback leagues. I think securing a top-four tight end provides owners with a significant week-to-week edge. I recommend an aggressive approach at this position.

For comprehensive player writeups and outlooks, consult the 2014 Rotoworld Draft Guide, which is chock full of league-winning information.

Round One

1. LeSean McCoy -- Least risk of top RBs at age 26 in NFL's best rushing O.
2. Jamaal Charles -- The Charles/Shady tiebreaker is Chiefs suspect O-Line.
3. Adrian Peterson -- Lone concern is he'll be 29 1/2 when the season starts.
4. Matt Forte -- In PPR drafts, I'd take Forte third overall ahead of Peterson.
5. Eddie Lacy -- Huge TD upside; owners must handcuff with James Starks.
6. Calvin Johnson -- Bump Calvin, Dez & Demaryius ahead of Lacy in PPR.
7. Dez Bryant -- The Cowboys' roster is built to generate weekly shootouts.
8. Demaryius Thomas -- I'm standing by this: Best WR Peyton has ever had.
9. Jimmy Graham -- A fantasy football week winner. Drew Brees' go-to guy.
10. Julio Jones -- Foot woes are concern, but offers No. 1 overall WR ceiling.
11. DeMarco Murray -- Could catch 70+ balls in Linehan's RB-friendly offense.
12. A.J. Green -- Run-centric O may give him more 1-on-1 chances downfield.

 

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Round Two

13. Rob Gronkowski -- For dice-rolling owners. Ceiling higher than Graham's.
14. Jordy Nelson -- 94/1,559/12 pace last year when Aaron Rodgers played.
15. Montee Ball -- 8/4 appendectomy could make him a 2nd-round value pick.
16. Le'Veon Bell -- Finished as a top-10 RB in points per game as 21-year-old.
17. Marshawn Lynch -- Age & backup concerns, but bellcow on run-first team.
18. Julius Thomas -- Big room for growth in catches & yards post-Eric Decker.
19. Brandon Marshall -- Top-11 fantasy WR in each of his 4 years with Cutler.
20. Keenan Allen -- 76-1,179-10 over last 15 games. 90-100 catch candidate.
21. Alshon Jeffery -- Marquess Wilson injury may add to early-season targets.
22. Randall Cobb -- Can catch 100 balls if he stays healthy in dynamic offense.
23. Zac Stacy -- Rams bellcow. Jeff Fisher calling Tre Mason just a COP back.
24. Doug Martin -- Should be pretty clear lead back on run-devoted Bucs team.

Round Three

25. Antonio Brown -- TDs will drop, but still strong bet for around 100 catches.
26. Andre Johnson -- Keep an eye on lingering hamstring strain. 33 years old.
27. Jordan Cameron -- Last of week-to-week fantasy difference makers at TE.
28. Aaron Rodgers -- I think Green Bay's offense will lead the league in points.
29. Drew Brees -- Ranks 2nd/1st/1st/3rd/2nd/1st in QB points last six years.
30. Peyton Manning -- Much tougher schedule, older & lost TD scorer Decker.
31. Roddy White -- Lots left in tank. I bet he returns low-end WR1 value in '14.
32. Toby Gerhart -- Rare every-down RB. Will be centerpiece of Jags offense.
33. Giovani Bernard -- PPR stud but will lose lots of carries & GL work to Hill.
34. Alfred Morris -- Annual zero in pass game, but plenty of touchdown upside.
35. Victor Cruz -- Will be heavily targeted in new quick-hitting passing offense.
36. Arian Foster -- Already hurt at Texans camp. Must-cuff with Andre Brown.

Round Four

37. C.J. Spiller -- Healthy now, but will continue to mix blowups with clunkers.
38. Michael Crabtree -- 49ers likely step back on DEF bodes well for Crabtree.
39. Torrey Smith -- Expect career highs across board as Kubiak's featured WR.
40. Larry Fitzgerald -- Still centerpiece of Arians' pass game, especially in RZ.
41. Joique Bell -- I think he'll lead Lions in carries/rush TDs. Good receiver, too.
42. Reggie Bush -- Respectable RB2 in standard. Low-end RB1 threat in PPR.
43. Vincent Jackson -- Targets will dip, but still lots of yardage/scoring upside.
44. Bishop Sankey -- Some RBBC concerns but Titans best RB & strong OL.
45. Andre Ellington -- Boom-or-bust RB2. I'm avoiding at his third-round ADP.
46. Shane Vereen -- 1,218-yard, 11-TD, 97-catch pace in ten '13 appearances.
47. Ryan Mathews -- Crowded backfield, but clear lead back on run-first team.
48. Mike Wallace -- Playing 2013 DJax role in Fins' new Eagles-like scheme.

Round Five

49. Marques Colston -- Undervalued. 98/1,213/8 pace over his last ten games.
50. Rueben Randle -- My top breakout WR pick. 9 TDs on 60 career catches.
51. Michael Floyd -- Fast-ascending 24-year-old with legitimate WR1 ceiling.
52. DeSean Jackson -- I like Jackson to outproduce Garcon under Jay Gruden.
53. Frank Gore -- Descending, but 3-down back with great OL. Cuff with Hyde.
54. Pierre Garcon -- Could lose 50+ targets with DJax in D.C. & Reed healthy.
55. Stevan Ridley -- Boom-bust, but lock for double-digit TDs if doesn't fumble.
56. Wes Welker -- Likely one more concussion from retirement. I'm avoiding.
57. Lamar Miller -- Will open season as lead RB under run-first new OC Lazor.
58. Matthew Stafford -- Efficiency should spike with new O & better weapons.
59. Jordan Reed -- Injury flags, but 80-888-6 pace as rookie TE. That's special.
60. Cam Newton -- Robbery at late-7th-round ADP. Better WRs than last year.

Round Six

61. Jeremy Maclin -- Don't expect repeat of D-Jax numbers. More of a WR2/3.
62. Cordarrelle Patterson -- Could frustrate. Better KR than WR at this stage.
63. Percy Harvin -- Overvalued in NFL's most wide receiver-unfriendly offense.
64. Jeremy Hill -- Steal at 9th-round ADP. Could lead Bengals in carries/TDs.
65. Ben Tate -- Couldn't stay healthy as HOU backup. Can he as CLE starter?
66. Rashad Jennings -- If you like touchdowns, do not draft Rashad Jennings.
67. Golden Tate -- Should be Stafford's clear No. 2 pass option behind Calvin.
68. Kendall Wright -- Just a WR3. Volume likely to take a hit in Titans' new O.
69. Eric Decker -- TD scorer. Value pick if Geno Smith just becomes average.
70. Tom Brady -- QB4 overall fantasy pace with Gronk in the lineup last year.
71. Jason Witten -- Romo's clear No. 2 option. Durable 80+ catch candidate.
72. Andre Williams -- Already Giants GL back. Better runner than Jennings.

Round Seven

73. Dennis Pitta -- High-volume role under TE-friendly Kubiak. Solid PPR TE1.
74. Terrance West -- Tate's ADP is late 5th. West's is late 7th. I'll take West.
75. Bernard Pierce -- Will get chance to run with lead RB job in Weeks 1 & 2.
76. Emmanuel Sanders -- Dicey WR3. Better in real life than fantasy football..
77. Reggie Wayne -- Knee all systems go. Best bet to lead Colts in catches.
78. Terrance Williams -- Likely to be inconsistent behind Dez/Witten/Murray.
79. Jay Cutler -- Highest ceiling in his QB tier. Surrounded by red-zone beasts.
80. Andrew Luck -- Huge breakout potential if Colts embrace pass-first offense.
81. Nick Foles -- Solid every-week QB1 but '13 efficiency will be hard to repeat.
82. Tony Romo -- Back woes, but will be a shootout QB with no DEF in Dallas.
83. Matt Ryan -- Pass-first offense, healthy WRs, bad DEF, and plays indoors.
84. Robert Griffin III -- Wild card in new offense. Will explode if knee truly right.

Round Eight

85. Trent Richardson -- I prefer Bradshaw late to T-Rich at his fifth-round ADP.
86. Kyle Rudolph -- Blowup candidate w/ Norv. Will lead MIN in receiving TDs.
87. T.Y. Hilton -- Already week-to-week headache & targets likely to plummet.
88. Justin Hunter -- Great fit for Whisenhunt's more vertically-oriented offense.
89. Fred Jackson -- NFL's oldest RB, but Bills primary passing-down/GL back.
90. Ray Rice -- Chances at reclaiming his job may depend on Bernard Pierce.
91. Brandin Cooks -- Candidate for 90+ touches (rush & receiving) as a rookie.
92. Vernon Davis -- With improved supporting cast, a lock to frustrate this year.
93. DeAndre Hopkins -- Like Hopkins as steady WR3 in 2014; WR1/2 by 2015.
94. Josh Gordon -- This is where I'd start considering him with status in limbo.
95. Dwayne Bowe -- Alex Smith has a limiting effect on all perimeter receivers.
96. Kelvin Benjamin -- Already Cam's favorite target. 8-11 TD threat as a rookie.

Round Nine

97. Sammy Watkins -- Shaky QB play on run-heavy team.
98. Pierre Thomas -- Bump up a full round in PPR drafts.
99. Jarrett Boykin -- Inheriting James Jones' old role.
100. Ben Roethlisberger -- Annually underrated QB1.
101. Philip Rivers -- SD run commitment caps ceiling.
102. Steven Jackson -- S-Jax's latest hamstring injury could torpedo his value.
103. Zach Ertz -- Breakout candidate. Could score a lot of TDs in bigger role.
104. Julian Edelman -- Reception total could plummet from 105 into the 70s.
105. Heath Miller -- Healthy now. 71-816-8 in 15 games in same offense in '12.
106. Greg Olsen -- Panthers WRs will be better in the red zone, hurting Olsen.
107. Chris Johnson -- Volume-dependent player losing volume. I'll safely pass.
108. Devonta Freeman -- Possible RBBC leader if S-Jax misses game action.

Round Ten

109. Jordan Matthews -- Playing Colston-like role in Chip Kelly offense.
110. Maurice Jones-Drew -- Seems to already be pulling away from DMC.
111. Ahmad Bradshaw -- T-Rich faceplant away from Colts starting job.
112. Mike Evans -- Likely inconsistent, TD-dependent WR4 as rookie.
113. Colin Kaepernick -- Much better weapons, and 49ers DEF will slip.
114. Ladarius Green -- Enormous blowup candidate with uncertain role.
115. Marvin Jones -- Unlikely to break out in increasingly run-based O.
116. Marqise Lee -- Sleeper for top rookie wideout. Tons of opportunity.
117. Russell Wilson -- Low-end QB1 not worth targeting aggressively.
118. Knile Davis -- Possible top-five RB1 if Jamaal Charles misses time.
119. Lance Dunbar -- Candidate for Joique Bell role under Scott Linehan.
120. Carlos Hyde -- Locked into No. 2 RB job with Kendall Hunter on I.R.

Round Eleven

121. James Starks -- Premium handcuff & lotto ticket in great offense.
122. Bryce Brown -- Depth chart concerns, but I'm still stashing his talent.
123. Christine Michael -- Freak talent behind overused 28-year-old starter.
124. Riley Cooper -- Will be very inconsistent as role player in deep O.
125. Danny Amendola -- Worth a look as post-hype value in PPR drafts.
126. Chris Ivory -- Probably needs Chris Johnson injury to be start-able.
127. Jerricho Cotchery -- Will be cheap source of receptions in Carolina.
128. Mike Williams -- Bills top TD scorer. Running ahead of Robert Woods.
129. Khiry Robinson -- Like his skills, but he's in a three-man backfield.
130. Danny Woodhead -- Could lose snaps & touches to Donald Brown.
131. Dwayne Allen -- Projects as Andrew Luck's go-to guy in red zone.
132. Carson Palmer -- Big-time WRs & I expect major DEF regression.

Round Twelve

133. Aaron Dobson -- Upside is there, but recurring foot woes troubling.
134. Martellus Bennett -- Ho-hum low-end TE1 without much of a ceiling.
135. Andy Dalton -- Could lose 100+ attempts in new run-based offense.
136. Greg Jennings -- Jennings could prove late value pick in PPR drafts.
137. Andre Holmes -- Running with ones. He's 6'4/215 with big opportunity.
138. Brian Hartline -- Likely to lose volume in more run-focused offense.
139. DeAngelo Williams -- No chance to be a fantasy difference maker.
140. Mark Ingram -- I've warmed to him a bit. Running as Saints' No. 1 RB.
141. Kenny Stills -- Brees' No. 4 option behind Graham/Colston/Cooks.
142. Cecil Shorts -- Already injured. More mouths to feed in JAX now.
143. Roy Helu -- Would become solid RB2 if Alfred Morris missed time.
144, Chris Polk -- PHI lead ball carrier (not Sproles) if Shady gets hurt.

Round Thirteen

145. Charles Clay -- Role is somewhat unclear under new Dolphins OC.
146. C.J. Anderson -- Favorite for DEN carries if Montee Ball misses time.
147. Darren McFadden -- Likely lesser half of RBBC with Jones-Drew.
148. LeGarrette Blount -- Le'Veon handcuff & possible goal-line vulture.
149. Kenny Britt -- Only Rams receiver entrenched with first-team offense.
150. Andre Brown -- Considering Foster's injuries, roster-worthy in all leagues.

Also Considered: Andrew Hawkins, James White, Darren SprolesMiles Austin, Hakeem Nicks, Knowshon Moreno, James Jones, Marquess Wilson, Jonathan Stewart, Alex Smith, Johnny Manziel, Antonio Gates, Anquan Boldin, Cody Latimer, Jake Locker, Garrett Graham, Doug Baldwin, Tyler Eifert, Markus Wheaton, Benny Cunningham, Tre Mason, Ronnie Hillman, Shonn Greene, Jarvis Landry, Davante Adams, Harry Douglas, Steve Smith, Tavon Austin, Coby Fleener, Delanie Walker, Charles Sims, Eli Manning, Robert Woods, Jace Amaro, Eric Ebron, Robert Turbin, Marlon Brown, Cole Beasley, Ryan Tannehill, Jared Cook, Josh McCown, Sam Bradford, Latavius Murray, Odell Beckham, Travis Kelce, Lorenzo Taliaferro, Brandon Bostick, Stevie Johnson, Levine Toilolo.

Evan Silva
Evan Silva is a senior football editor for Rotoworld.com. He can be found on Twitter .