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Hockey Analytics

Crazy Eight Players

by Gus Katsaros
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

In researching a topic for this week's column a variety of informational tidbits caught my attention and they all seemed to center around player’s individual shooting percentage and some with individual point percentage. There are various clues to how players may perform in the immediate or near future within these statistics, and I thought it would be beneficial to explore a few players with this in mind. I reference one of my most sought out statistics a lot below - individual point percentage.

 

Let's start with the list of players that have contributed a point to every goal scored while on the power-play (5v4). They have an individual point percentage (IPP) of 100%.

 

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Player Name

Team

GP

TOI

G

A

FirstA

Points

IPP

GIROUX, CLAUDE

Philadelphia

27

81:36

2

6

4

8

100

RASK, VICTOR

Carolina

27

75:56

1

6

2

7

100

GETZLAF, RYAN

Anaheim

24

58:54

0

6

3

6

100

JENNER, BOONE

Columbus

28

58:50

4

2

2

6

100

BACKSTROM, NICKLAS

Washington

22

64:32

2

7

3

9

100

KANE, PATRICK

Chicago

27

82:11

6

5

2

11

100

STAFFORD, DREW

Winnipeg

28

54:39

2

1

0

3

100

HUDLER, JIRI

Calgary

24

72:27

1

3

1

4

100

EHLERS, NIKOLAJ

Winnipeg

28

56:41

1

2

2

3

100

 

Most names are typically found at the top of the rankings, but In the case of Boone Jenner he's contributed to two thirds of the goal scored while on the ice at 5v4 for the Blue Jackets.

 

Boone Jenner

 

The young Columbus winger has almost matched previous seasons playing time with a shade over 58 minutes however has increased his shots per 60 to a healthy 19.38. Power-play success aside, it seems even at 5v5 he's contributed to 83.3% of the goals scored (7-3-10) while firing a 13.21%. Of special note, all three helpers are primary assists.

 

While showing some fragility in the recent past, there’s no denying that while he's on the ice the Columbus Blue Jackets have the ice tilted to their favor.

 

Leon Draisaitl

 

Selected in the first round in 2014 (third overall), the young Oilers pivot has contributed to 93.3% of goals scored while on the ice at 5v5, while firing an 18.18% shooting percentage. Playing alongside Taylor Hall has yielded fabulous results and culminating on scoring 63.6% of the goals in the Oilers favor while both are on the ice. In limited power-play time he's even contributed to 66.7% of goals scored on the ice (2-2-4) scoring on only four shots on goal.

 

It's been a head-turning start in yet another frustrating Edmonton season, and while the future does look bright for the young German draft pick, these numbers he's putting up here are not indicative of sustainable production and should be followed up by some lulls to even everything out to an appropriate average.

 

Joel Ward

 

The former Capitals winger has found a new home in San Jose, contributing a point to 87.5% of the goals scored while on the ice, racking up six goals himself, firing 20.69% (6-8-14) at 5v5. His career-high was in 2009-10 averaging a point on 78% of the goal scored, ending with 22 points.

 

His average of 1.04 G/60 is also a career-high, yet shot metrics are actually down slightly from last year and closer towards his career average than peaks, and a divergence to note. His 20.69% shooting percentage is good for fourth in the league among players with a minimum of 300 minutes and his IPP at 10th overall. The shooting percentage edges out another player riding high percentages.

 

Adam Henrique

 

The Devils pivot’s eight goals at 5v5 are only six from a career-high of 14, only two seasons ago, where he fired 15.38% overall and an individual points percentage of 67%. This season he's riding a crisp 20% good for fifth behind Joel Ward (min 300 minutes) and earning a point on 77.8% of on-ice 5v5 goals.

 

Be careful if he ends up slipping off a line with Mike Cammalleri or Lee Stempniak. He's performed much better with both of them and has had very little success when shuffled to other lines.

 

Player

Pos

G

A

Pts

TOI

With GF60

Without GF60

With GF%

Without GF%

With CF60

Withiout CF60_

With CF%

Without CF%

HENRIQUE, ADAM

C

8

6

14

363:52

2.97

 

60

 

43.04

 

49.2

 

CAMMALLERI, MIKE

L

7

5

12

287:30

3.34

1.57

64

40

45.91

32.21

50.3

43.6

STEMPNIAK, LEE

R

7

6

13

287:19

3.34

1.57

66.7

33.3

45.32

34.49

50.1

44.9

 

Mike Hoffman

 

All the Ottawa Senators forward does is score goals and in bunches, having earned a point in 84% of the on-ice goals at 5v5. Consistency is the main point here especially season over season, firing 14% shooting percentage both last season (22 goals) to this season firing exactly the same shooting percentage. His shots/60 are down to 8.75 from 10.06 last season, providing a strong tell on the hot start and its longevity.

 

All the 5th round selection in 2009 has done is prove critics wrong and just keep scoring. GM’s should be wary about his 5v4 production, connecting at a 33% efficiency and earning a point of 70% of the goal scored while on the ice.

 

Ottawa has recently been experimented with playing him on the point on the power play, exploiting a hard shot and ability to creep just past the face-off circle into scoring areas.

 

Mike Ribeiro

 

It’s not like 16.7% shooting percentage is way over the top, however when you're talking about the Preds pivot, it has to be noted how as a pass first player scoring 14 goals last season at 5v5 was likely a career high point. There's a definite trend here with the aging centerman with a steady decline from 2009-10 and onwards in shots/60.

 

So far in 2015-16 he's averaged a measly 2.8 shots/60 and as noted from this chart below has declined severely. One can look at the Predators anemic offense so far as factors, however it has to start with the player they expected more from offensively. I was down on Ribeiro entering the season, and there aren't clear indications that he's going to break out anytime soon.

 

Season(s)

TOI

Sh%

G/60

Shots/60

IPP

2015-16

385:40

16.7

0.47

2.8

73

2014-15

1206:16

18

0.7

3.88

68

2013-14

1086:12

14.9

0.61

4.09

72

2012-13

654:46

14.6

0.64

4.4

80

2011-12

1116:43

10.4

0.64

6.18

89

2010-11

1164:18

8.47

0.52

6.08

77

2009-10

896:32

7.69

0.6

7.83

73

2008-09

1169:42

11

0.62

5.59

82

2007-08

1012:02

21

1.01

4.8

85

 

Alex Ovechkin

 

A quick note here, it's pretty clear how dominant the Russian has been on the power-play, standing in his trademark spot just inside the face-off circle, ready to fire off a one timer, or launch bombs from the point. This season the superstar’s struggled on the man-advantage mustering up only three goals while firing a measly 7.32% - a five-year low and second lowest in nine years.

 

The stat that took me by surprise was the individual points percentage. He's earned a point on 31.3% of on-ice goals scored. Being one of the very few players that have actually played over 100 5v4 minutes already in 2015-16, that is a very low figure. The Capitals over that period of time scored 16 power-play goals. If you’re down on the power play production, it’s safe to say there’s a likely bounce upwards.

 

Wayne Simmonds

 

At the other end of the spectrum is the Philadelphia Flyers winger, who's earned a point on every goal scored on the ice while at 5v5 so far this season. With (4-5-9) and over 300 minutes played thus far along with Andrew Cogliano, Radim Vrbata and Jean-Gabriel Pageau are the only players to remain perfect so far this season. Simmonds at 5v5 has averaged about 74% individual points percentage in his career.

Gus Katsaros
Gus Katsaros is the Pro Scouting Coordinator with McKeen’s Hockey, publishers of industry leading scouting and fantasy guide, the McKeen’s Annual Hockey Pool Yearbook. He also contributes to popular blog MapleLeafsHotStove.com ... he can be followed on Twitter @KatsHockey