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Mock Drafts

2015 NFL Mock Draft

by Josh Norris
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

A number of teams will want to trade back from their original first-round slot. The supply will likely outweigh the demand, or teams could settle for less “value” in return. There might only be 10-15 consensus first-round talents in the 2015 class, and many many more second-round evaluations (likely even more than usual). It takes two to agree on a trade involving draft picks. If teams stick to their traditional value chart, we could see fewer and fewer deals.


However, if teams trust their own judgment and make up their own rules of value, a number of small moves and trades could take place to land specific targets rather than settle for a remaining group of players. It is Mar. 18, we have no clue.


And with that, here is how I view the first-round.


1. Tampa Bay Bucs - QB Jameis Winston, FSU - I still think Marcus Mariota has a chance to be selected here, much more than given credit for. But mocks are for what I think will happen, and all signs point to Jameis. I like the selection, as Winston can be a quality starter in the NFL.


2. Tennessee Titans - QB Marcus Mariota, Oregon - Could Ken Whisenhunt stick with a sixth-round quarterback who has a slow process, confined to the pocket and has ended the last two seasons injured? Sure, but it would be stubborn. I don’t think Mariota has to land in Philadelphia or with Chan Gailey to be successful. He has foundation quarterback traits, in terms of eye level, pocket movement, success inside and outside of structure, and (yes) progressions. I am intrigued by the Chargers interest in Mariota.


3. Jacksonville Jaguars - EDGE Vic Beasley, Clemson - Prospects like Leonard Williams, Shane Ray and Dante Fowler have been mocked here. I think Vic Beasley fits the scheme the best, and that is one factor which causes variance in grades among teams. Beasley has tremendous edge speed, bend and will take the inside lane once tackles become wary of the outside line.


4. Oakland Raiders - WR Kevin White, WVU - I already ranked Kevin White *just* ahead of Amari Cooper prior to the Combine. White’s forty was outstanding, but it would be a stretch to compare his entire performance to some of the best we have seen from receivers. Still, at 6’3” and 215 lbs, White has the ability to win in the “big” and “small” receiver games.


5. Washington Redskins - DL Leonard Williams, USC - Some will call this a “fall.” Not really. He could certainly be drafted earlier, but Williams (like every prospect) has his issues. Now, the positives in terms of strength, length and counter moves outweigh the negatives, but lasting until pick No. 5 seems reasonable. Williams also tested like an average NFL athlete among defensive linemen (non-EDGE).


6. New York Jets - WR Amari Cooper, Alabama - There is no reason to be down on Amari after the Combine. In fact, he solidified his evaluation. Amari wins with little wasted movement, burst and quickness when running routes to separate. That showed in his 3-cone and 20 yard short shuttle. The vertical was well below average, which matches his lack of proficiency in contested catches (albeit improving). His traits translate very well.


7. Chicago Bears - DT Danny Shelton, Washington - This is way too early for Danny Shelton, but if the Bears are going to run predominantly odd man fronts, they do not have a player on their roster to consistently man the middle. John Fox has a history of investing in these types of players, namely Kris Jenkins and Ma'ake Kemoeatu. Shelton needs a rotation up front to maintain his effectiveness. His Senior Bowl performance is being overhyped. But again, that does not mean I think he is a “bad player.”


8. Atlanta Falcons - EDGE Dante Fowler Jr, Florida - Fowler is ahead of the game in terms of hand use and length to win on first contact, but don’t bank on him using movement skills or explosion to consistently come out on the positive side of one on one matchups. The Falcons added some pass rushing help in free agency, but they need more.


9. New York Giants - EDGE Randy Gregory, Nebraska - I know Gregory weighed 238 pounds at his pro day, but he plays with much more functional strength than that. There were absolutely times he was late off the ball and in a reactionary stance, but he also flashes explosion to win around the edge or convert speed to power. He has the level of ability to win in both phases of pass rushing. And he’s better against the run than frequently given credit for.


10. St. Louis Rams - OL Brandon Scherff, Iowa - The NFL loves to mimic what has been successful in recent years. Last year? Power and athletic tackles moving to guard (Zack Martin, Joel Bitonio). I think Scherff can stay at tackle, but a team might really value him inside. Nick Foles lacks functional mobility to succeed against pressure, so keep adding to his offensive line.

 

11. Minnesota Vikings - CB Trae Waynes, Michigan State - There was a report that Waynes dealt with cramps or a leg injury, which led to poor change of direction drills at the Combine. Waynes has makeup speed, but my question is the separation he allows on breaks. Mike Zimmer has a history of being connected to defenses that invest picks and/or money in corners.


12. Cleveland Browns - EDGE Shane Ray, Missouri - Ray will workout soon, which does matter for edge players. He has an outstanding motor and can turn the corner, but I question if his traits on their own will stand up to other edge rushers’ success in this class.


13. New Orleans Saints - EDGE Alvin Dupree, Kentucky - Bud’s measurables are outstanding, but of the top rushers I am most wary of his tape. The issue with Dupree is flexibility, as he does not take enough advantage of the step advantage he gains through quickness and explosion.


14. Miami Dolphins - LB Eric Kendricks, UCLA - Jelani Jenkins is a good player even if some teams had medical questions. Kendricks is one of my favorite prospects in this class, because he makes an impact moving forward and back. His comfort in coverage is uncommon. True every down linebackers are difficult to find. The two together would be a nice combination.


15. San Francisco 49ers - DL Arik Armstead, Oregon - Some might consider this a bit early for Armstead. An immediate or future replacement for Justin Smith is necessary. Armstead was off and on at times, but when he combined flashes, like in the College Football Playoff, the results speak for themselves.


16. Houston Texans - WR DeVante Parker, Louisville - The Texans still don’t have a quarterback, but adding another receiver who can win contested opposite Nuk Hopkins makes a lot of sense. Coaches likely think parker is still developing in his routes, but he can be open without actually being open and offers run after catch ability.

~

A number of teams will want to trade back from their original first-round slot. The supply will likely outweigh the demand, or teams could settle for less “value” in return. There might only be 10-15 consensus first-round talents in the 2015 class, and many many more second-round evaluations (likely even more than usual). It takes two to agree on a trade involving draft picks. If teams stick to their traditional value chart, we could see fewer and fewer deals.


However, if teams trust their own judgment and make up their own rules of value, a number of small moves and trades could take place to land specific targets rather than settle for a remaining group of players. It is Mar. 18, we have no clue.


And with that, here is how I view the first-round.


17. San Diego Chargers - RB Todd Gurley, Georgia - Again, I am buying that the Chargers have interest in Marcus Mariota. If that does not happen, why not add a foundation piece on offense. The team has nice role players in Branden Oliver and Danny Woodhead, but those should not prevent a talent like Gurley to be a meaningful player. Especially if the plan is to move on from Philip Rivers after this year.


18. Kansas City Chiefs - CB Kevin Johnson, Wake Forest - Sean Smith played well but is in the final year of his deal. I was a big fan of Phillip Gaines last year. This is just a dart throw, but honestly this whole thing is. The disruption up front does mask potential lesser talents in the back end.


19. Cleveland Browns (via Bills) - WR Breshad Perriman, UCF - A surprise name, but if Perriman worked out at the Combine I bet there would be more attention. He loved the deep inside routes at UCF, however, he needs to eliminate mindless drops. If that is possible.


20. Philadelphia Eagles - OL Jake Fisher, Oregon - Fisher has played everywhere during his career: right guard, right tackle and left tackle. Offensive line might be the Eagles top need, and they seem to have a type in terms of athletes at the position. Fisher has the athletic fingerprint which fits, and not just because he went to Oregon. Both NFL teams and colleges have types. Ali Marpet could also be a target in as early as round two.


21. Cincinnati Bengals - T La’EL Collins, LSU - This is a dream pick for the Bengals. Andrew Whitworth is entering the final year of his deal. I absolutely, 100 percent think Collins can stay at tackle and play at a high level and thought so before the Senior Bowl and the Combine.


22. Pittsburgh Steelers - CB Jalen Collins, LSU - The Steelers seem to love college production, and Collins comes from the SEC with said production. There are definitely plays he was beat on this year, however, there are projectable traits teams will like.


23. Detroit Lions - S Landon Collins, Alabama - James Ihedigbo was an important piece for the Lions last year. His contract is up after the year and he is on the wrong side of 30. Collins can be an enforcer moving forward and even has single high experience since Alabama rotated safeties pre-snap.


24. Arizona Cardinals - DB Eric Rowe, Utah - Continue adding pieces to that secondary. Rowe can line up in a variety of spots, but I bet most teams see him as a press corner on the outside with length, change of direction, explosion and speed.


25. Carolina Panthers - T Andrus Peat, Stanford - Michael Oher is a lateral move from Byron Bell. Peat is extremely strong moving forward when run blocking, and his body of work as a pass protector must be remembered rather than the couple of poor plays that show up when discussing him. Although I’m still not sure why Nate Orchard gave him fits.


26. Baltimore Ravens - DL Henry Anderson, Stanford - The Ravens just signed Chris Canty. I think Anderson’s game is very similar to Canty’s in terms of winning with length, strength and creating leverage both outside and (more consistently) inside. He also tested like a very good athlete.

 

27. Dallas Cowboys - CB Ronald Darby, FSU - Darby was not targeted often this year. In fact, CFF charted only one target on every ten passes FSU faced. He has tremendous speed to stick and catch up with receivers, but his footwork and improvisation will allow separation that NFL WRs can take advantage of.


28. Denver Broncos - DT Malcom Brown, Texas - The Broncos let Terrance Knighton go in free agency. Some really love Brown’s ability, and with the rotation up front he should contribute early for the Broncos.


29. Indianapolis Colts - T D.J. Humphries, Florida - Again, I have no idea if Humphries can play on the right side. That is up to coaches in terms of hand use, footwork, etc. But he did arrive at the Combine over 300 lbs and Andrew Luck can’t continue to battle pressure in the pocket as often as he does.


30. Green Bay Packers - EDGE Owamagbe Odighizuwa, UCLA - If the medicals check out, teams will absolutely value Owa as a first-round talent. Nick Perry’s contract is up (although an extra year option is possible) and the Packers can pick up a bunch of money whenever they cut Julius Peppers. Owa converts speed to power at a ridiculous rate.


31. New Orleans Saints (via Seahawks) - G Cameron Erving, FSU - The Saints traded for Max Unger. That helps, but Erving can line up at a variety of spots. In a healthy lineup, he would fit a guard. Interior offensive linemen are nearly as important as edge protectors.


32. New England Patriots - EDGE/DL Preston Smith, Miss State - Smith is on the Malik Jackson, Justin Tuck spectrum as a rusher who wins on the outside with speed to power and the inside with quickness and space. The Patriots should invest in disruption and rotation up front to cover up their losses at corner.

Josh Norris
Josh Norris is an NFL Draft Analyst for Rotoworld and contributed to the Rams scouting department during training camp of 2010 and the 2011 NFL Draft. He can be found on Twitter .