1. Los Angeles Rams – Cal QB Jared Goff
The Rams could pull a rope-a-dope on the world and select North Dakota State's Carson Wentz here, but all signs point to Goff. This is the Rams' big gamble as they attempt to extricate themselves from an eternity of 7-9. The California kid could start in Week 1 against the 49ers.
2. Philadelphia Eagles (from Cleveland) – North Dakota State QB Carson Wentz
Even before the Eagles traded up to No. 2, HC Doug Peterson was jabbering up a storm about Carson Wentz. Philadelphia has depth at quarterback in Sam Bradford and Chase Daniel, which would allow Wentz to sit on the bench for a year before he is thrust into the fire to char.
3. San Diego Chargers – Ole Miss T Laremy Tunsil
The Chargers have the pick of the non-quarterback litter here. Offensive line is among their biggest needs and Tunsil – who likely would have been the No. 1 overall pick prior to the Rams going all crazy – falls softly into their laps. The Superchargers could also target the defensive side of the ball (again, pick of the litter), but Tunsil might just be too easy here.
4. Dallas Cowboys – FSU DB Jalen Ramsey
After months of talk about the Cowboys potentially drafting a backup quarterback to groom as Tony Romo's replacement, that no longer stands as a realistic avenue for the first round. Joey Bosa and Ezekiel Elliott could be in play here (Jerry Jones reportedly loves Zeke), but my gut feeling is that the team takes Ramsey, perhaps the best athlete in the entire draft.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars – UCLA LB Myles Jack
At least two top-ten teams are reportedly out on Jack due to health concerns. Both HC Gus Bradley and GM David Caldwell visited the linebacker in Los Angeles last week, though, and they might be the most likely team to stop a true draft slide for Jack.. The Jaguar offense has already shown strong signs of progress, with the defense needing to catch up. They'll do that by essentially adding two first-round defenders in Jack and Dante Fowler, who missed his rookie campaign in 2015 due to a knee injury.
6. Baltimore Ravens – Ohio State DE Joey Bosa
I was tempted to slot Notre Dame's Ronnie Stanley in to the Ravens, who desperately need offensive line help lest Joe Flacco just die every game. Bosa fills a need, too, though, particularly in a division that sees high-flying offenses like the Steelers and Bengals. And the Browns are in the division, too. The Browns are there, too.
7. San Francisco 49ers – Oregon DE DeForest Buckner
The 49ers seemed to be seriously considering a quarterback just a few weeks ago. Unless they are kicking around Paxton Lynch – and wouldn't that be so bold of them – they won't be selecting a gunslinger here. Buckner is a logical fit. HC Chip Kelly recruited him at Oregon and in his three seasons with the Eagles, nine of their 21 draft picks came from the Pac-12.
8. Cleveland Browns (from Miami via Philadelphia) – Notre Dame T Ronnie Stanley
Michigan State's Jack Conklin could also be the pick here, but Stanley is the second best tackle in this draft class and makes for a comfortable, safe pick.
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Florida CB Vernon Hargreaves
The Bucs nab themselves the best pure corner in the pool. QB Jameis Winston previously said that he would take a pay cut to play with Jalen Ramsey. There is no actual monetary logic there, but nice sentiment nonetheless. Winston won't be reunited with former teammate Ramsey, but secondary help shall arrive in the form of Hargreaves.
10. New York Giants – Ohio State RB Ezekiel Elliott
Last season, the Rams selected Todd Gurley at pick No. 10. The Giants will venture down the running back route, too, at this slot. Elliott has vocally professed his belief that should they draft him, New York would win a title a short time later. Far more importantly than this anecdotal aside, the Giants ranked a decidedly mediocre 18th in average rushing yards in 2015.
11. Chicago Bears – Alabama DT Jarran Reed
We have our first Crimson Tide player drafted here. Reed's pass-rushing chops leave something to be desired, but he is already a strong run-defender and some scouts believe the pass-rush will come with further development.
12. New Orleans Saints –Clemson DE Shaq Lawson
Lawson had a brief moment of draft uncertainty due to a flagged shoulder, but everything was cleared during medical rechecks in Indianapolis. The Saints finished second-to-last in total defense last season and Lawson fills an immediate need on the line.
13. Miami Dolphins – Clemson DE Kevin Dodd
Back-to-back Tigers. The Dolphins have been tied to Ezekiel Elliott at various points throughout the process, but GM Chris Grier recently said that he is confident in his stable of running backs. Given that relatively unknown NFL quantity Jay Ajayi currently leads their depth chart at RB, it is a little difficult to buy that smokescreen. It is unlikely the Dolphins can nab Elliott without moving up, making Dodd a fine consolation prize.
14. Oakland Raiders – Georgia OLB Leonard Floyd
A potential top-10 pick, Floyd falls to the Raiders after recent draft machinations pushed the non-Goff, non-Wentz portion of the draft down the board. He is a superior athlete and has the ability to play either end or linebacker, depending on how the Raiders want to utilize him.
15. Tennessee Titans (from Los Angeles) – Michigan State T Jack Conklin
Well the Titans would like this, anyway. The buzz around Conklin is more incessant than that of a beehive that has been split open by a chainsaw and he could rise higher than No. 15.
16. Detroit Lions – Ole Miss WR Laquon Treadwell
Treadwell isn't an inhuman terminator like Calvin Johnson, but there is no harm in merely being a human terminator. Detroit OC Jim Bob Cooter was present to watch Treadwell on his Pro Day. Concerns about his speed are overblown and beyond that, the gruesome leg injury that almost ended his playing career was still in the immediate rearview mirror in 2015. Further distance from the injury can only help in terms of his performance.
17. Atlanta Falcons – Ohio State LB Darron Lee
Lee is an ultra-rangy linebacker who, while somewhat raw, has the speed to cover tight ends and (in a pinch) wide receivers. After leaving the Buckeyes for the draft as a redshirt sophomore, there should be a fair amount of room for development in the NFL. His coverage skill is something the Falcons desperately need out of the linebacker position.
19. Buffalo Bills – Eastern Kentucky edge rusher Noah Spence
Some have Spence sliding out of the first round completely. If anybody believes they can harness Spence's immense natural gifts, it will be Rex Ryan, whose defense was oddly impotent in 2015.
20. New York Jets – Memphis QB Paxton Lynch
I completely understand that the trades made by the Eagles and Rams might cause a stampede on quarterbacks. I just don't think Lynch ends up a top-10 pick. This quarterback class was considered notoriously bottom-heavy outside of Wentz and Goff. That hasn't changed just because two teams really, really like Wentz and Goff.
21. Washington Redskins – Alabama LB Reggie Ragland
The Redskins might have been in on the corner market before they shoveled a bunch of money into Josh Norman's swimming pool. As is, they'll zoom in from the secondary for Ragland to help shore up their linebacking corp. GM Scot McCloughan told Bleacher Report's Jason Cole that the Redskins are aiming to draft a gritty competitive tough man (in so many words). Ragland checks those boxes.
22. Houston Texans – TCU WR Josh Doctson
The Texans are paying all of the money to Brock Osweiler and need to procure him a new toy. Doctson splits the middle of Corey Coleman and Laquon Treadwell. Not as fast as Coleman and not as physical as Treadwell, he mixes a little bit of both and carries some of the best hands in this class, to boot. Doctson and DeAndre Hopkins would be a terrifying duo.
23. Minnesota Vikings – Baylor WR Corey Coleman
While Treadwell's sluggish 40-time drew headlines, Coleman's size and lack of experience running a full route tree are going to push him off of some boards. He is a dynamic playmaker, though, and should pair nicely with Stefon Diggs as Minnesota continues to build up its offense for Teddy Bridgewater.
24. Cincinnati Bengals – Notre Dame WR Will Fuller
Fuller comes with his share of drop concerns and the like, but he can also run run run. With receivers Marvin Jones and Mohamed Sanu finding homes with the Lions and Falcons via free agency, Fuller fits a need.
25. Pittsburgh Steelers – West Virginia S Karl Joseph
The Steelers are in need of secondary help and Joseph could be the top safety in this class if he is able to stay healthy. That is a monumental “if,” given that he tore his ACL in October. Joseph, himself, believes he will be ready for training camp.
26. Seattle Seahawks – Ole Miss DL Robert Nkemdiche
Nkemdiche might slip out of the first round altogether, but I don't think he does. The former five-star recruit lands in a strong veteran locker room. If Pete Carroll can keep him focused, Nkemdiche has the talent to help return the Legion of Boom to its former glory.
27. Green Bay Packers – Baylor DT Andrew Billings
Great players always seem to magically fall from the draft sky for the Packers. Among their mid-20's picks since 2005, Aaron Rodgers (24), Clay Matthews (26), Bryan Bulaga (23) and Ha-Ha Clinton Dix (21). You can throw Billings onto that pile at No. 27. He has drawn comparisons to Aaron Donald.
28. Kansas City Chiefs – Clemson CB Mackensie Alexander
There has been scuttlebutt of late that Alexander is something of a difficult person off the field, which, fine. And he is undersized, which, fine. The Chiefs took a far bigger gamble when they drafted Marcus Peters last year and that paid off in spades. If Alexander slides because of character talk, the Chiefs will halt the silliness.
29. Arizona Cardinals – Michigan State QB Connor Cook
Cook comes with a whole set of weird things – if you take a shot every time somebody says “team captain” in reference to Cook, you'll be in for a long evening – and he never posted the kinds of “oh wow” numbers that you would expect from a top quarterback prospect. Carson Palmer won't play football forever, though, and remains an injury risk.
30. Carolina Panthers – Miami CB Artie Burns
Josh Norman replacement, Josh Norman replacement, Josh Norman replacement. Sorry, just giving you a primer of what you'll hear when the Panthers select a corner, be it Burns or somebody like William Jackson III.
31. Denver Broncos – Alabama RB Derrick Henry
Denver's been potentially linked to the likes of Connor Cook with the last pick of the first round (do we just hold a 15-minute moment of silence afterward, to memorialize the Patriots would-be pick?), but instead, Gary Kubiak builds toward his preferred offensive strength and selects King Henry. C.J. Anderson had exactly two 100-yard rushing games last season.