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NASCAR Fantasy Cheat Sheet

The 5-hour Energy 301

by Brian Brown
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series moves to New Hampshire Motor Speedway for the 19th race of the season, the 5-hour Energy 301.   NASCAR expert Brian Brown took a look at past performances, season trends, and spoke to NASCAR contacts to provide you the most accurate fantasy preview of Sunday’s race.

 

 

When:  Sunday, July19; 1:45 p.m./et.

 

 

Weather:  Isolated T-storms with high around 83; wind out of the SE at 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

 

 

The Track: New Hampshire MotorSpeedway

 

NHMS is a 1.058 mile flat-oval.  It has 12 degree banking on the corners with 2 degree banking on the straight-aways. 

 

 

Key to Race:  THAT ISONE BIG PAPERCLIP

 

NHMS is basically a big version ofMartinsville.  It is a mile long paperclip configuration with two long straight-aways with tight corners at the ends.  This race is always hard on brakes and tires.  Drivers that place well at Phoenix, Martinsville, and Richmond tend to also run well in New Hampshire.  Based on Phoenix and Richmond’s results earlier this year look for Kevin Harvick and Kurt Busch to be fast in the Granite State. 

 

 

Qualifying Procedures:

 

44 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. 

 

 

Fantasy Cheat Sheet:

 

Top 5

 

No. 4 Kevin Harvick:  Harvick has 13 top 10 finishes in 28 career starts at NHMS.  His domination at similar tracks this season makes him our top pick.

No. 41 Kurt Busch:  Busch has three career wins at NHMS and he looked awesome at Richmond this year.  He is a top option.

No. 2 Brad Keselowski:  Keselowski has been the hottest driver at NHMS the past 10 races.  Use him in all leagues this weekend.

No. 22 Joey Logano:  Logano won his first career Cup race at NHMS and he won again last fall.  He is a fantastic option this weekend.

No. 48 Jimmie Johnson:  Johnson has finished in the top 15 in all but four of his 26 career Cup starts at NHMS.   He is a great pick on Sunday.

 

 

6 to 10

 

No. 42 Kyle Larson:  Larson was awesome last year at NHMS.  He should be active in all leagues.

No. 18 Kyle Busch:  Rowdy has cracked the top 10 eight times in the past 17 races at NHMS.  He will be back inside the top 10 this trip up Route 106.

No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.:  Junior has finished in the top 10 in 13 of the last 24 races at NHMS. 

No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Between 1997 and 2001 Gordon was easily the top driver at NHMS, but then the Rainbow Warrior went into a serious slump at the track.  He has worked hard at his race setups at the Magic Mile and is once again a great option to take the checkers.

No. 78 Martin Truex Jr.:  Truex has five top eight finishes in the last 16 races at NHMS.  The No. 78 should be fast again this weekend.

 

 

11 to 20

 

No. 20 Matt Kenseth:  Kenseth won at NHMS in 2013.  We like his chances this weekend. 

No. 15 Clint Bowyer:  Bowyer has dominated four of the last 14 races at NHMS.  If he can bring a similar setup to the track this weekend he will be fast again.

No. 31 Ryan Newman:  In 25 Cup starts at the Magic Mile, Newman has 15 top 10 finishes, including three wins.  He is a solid pick in most fantasy leagues.

No. 11 Denny Hamlin:  Hamlin won the 2012 September race at NHMS and has finished in the top 10 in 11 of his last 18 Cup races at the track.  He is a good pick on Sunday.

No. 43 Aric Almirola:  Almirola has been very fast at NHMS the past two years.  He will have the No. 43 car near the top 15 when the checkers fly.

No. 5 Kasey Kahne:  Kahne won the July 2012 race and has been fast the past few visits to NHMS.  He is a good option this weekend.

No. 1 Jamie McMurray:  McMurray has appeared to finally figure out NHMS’s tricky configuration.  He is a good option.

No. 99 Carl Edwards:  Carl has had one of the better cars at NHMS the past few years, but it hasn’t translated to a win.  He will flirt with another top 15 finish this weekend.

No. 14 Tony Stewart:  Stewart has one of the top driver rating at NHMS the past 10 years.  He is a sneaky pick this weekend.

No. 16 Greg Biffle:  Biffle has three top 10 finishes in the last 10 NHMS races.  He should be fairly fast again.

 

 

21 to 30

 

No. 3 Austin Dillon:  Dillon looked great in both his rookie year Cup starts at NHMS.  He is a worthy fantasy choice.

No. 10 Danica Patrick:  Patrick finished 19th at NHMS last fall.  If she can avoid Dale Jr. she might be able to help your squad.

No. 6 Trevor Bayne:  Bayne has been awesome the past month of the season.  He is still a bit of a risky pick in his first Cup start at New Hampshire.

No. 47 A.J. Allmendinger:  Dinger has just one top 10 finish at NHMS in his career.  He isn’t much of an option.

No. 27 Paul Menard:  NHMS has never been very kind to Menard.  He isn't much of a fantasy option this weekend.

No. 17 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.:  Stenhouse has averaged just a 27th place finish at New Hampshire in his career.  There are better options.

No. 9 Sam Hornish Jr.:  Hornish has been very middle-of-the-pack at NHMS in his career.  He isn’t a great pick.

No. 13 Casey Mears:  Mears has been simply awful at NHMS during his career.  In the past 10 races at the track his average finish is 22nd

No. 38 David Gilliland:  Gilliland notched top 27 finishes in both races at NHMS last year.  There are worse options.

No. 55 David Ragan:  Ragan has been very inconsistent at NHMS.  He should just make the top 30 again this weekend.

 

 

Field Fillers:

 

No. 21 Ryan Blaney

No. 51 Justin Allgaier

No. 40 Landon Cassill

No. 34 Brett Moffitt

No. 35 Cole Whitt

No. 7 Alex Bowman

No. 46 Michael Annett

No. 23 J.J. Yeley

No. 26 Jeb Burton

No. 83 Matt DiBenedetto

No. 62 Reed Sorenson

No. 98 Timmy Hill

No. 32 Eddie MacDonald

No. 33 Derek White

 

 

Brownie's Picks

 

My Yahoo! Fantasy NASCAR Team for this Week:

 

A. Joey Logano

B. Kurt Busch

B. Tony Stewart

C. David Ragan