Loading scores...
Chris Buescher
Getty Images
NASCAR Fantasy Cheat Sheet

Camping World 400 Cheat Sheet

by Dan Beaver
Updated On: June 26, 2019, 10:00 pm ET

Last week’s road course race went about as expected with nearly half of our picks landing within three spots of their prediction. This week will be a little more challenging.

So far in 2019, half of the field has scored at least one top-10 on a similarly-configured, 1.5-mile track. No one has swept that mark.

Top-fives and top-15s are spread equally through the field as drivers and teams concentrate on a type of track that hosts nearly a quarter of the races. When one of them hits on the right setup, they can rocket to the front as was most recently demonstrated with Corey LaJoie’s 12th- and David Ragan’s 15th-place finish in the Coke 600.

There have been some other pleasant surprises along the way as some drivers you may not expect have posted consistent top-20 finishes. That is good news in allocation management games this deep in the season.

1. Kyle Busch
Last year's finish of the Overton's 400 was one for the books with Busch and Larson swapping paint on the last lap. Busch wants to double down in a big way.

2. Martin Truex Jr.
A 10-race streak of top-10s came to an end for Truex at Texas this spring. He was 19th at Kansas, but then showed why he is to be feared at Charlotte with the Coke 600 win.

3. Brad Keselowski
Keselowski is the only driver in the field with two victories on the 1.5-mile tracks. Those came at Atlanta and Kansas. Two of his last three attempts on this track type ended outside the top 15, however.

4. Kyle Larson
Larson finished second in this race last year after first knocking Busch out of the way and then getting half-spun in return. He has three top-fives at Chicagoland and a seventh in five starts.

5. Joey Logano
Logano has been hit or miss on the similarly-configured, 1.5-mile tracks in 2019. He has his Vegas win and Charlotte runner-up finish to recommend him, but finished 15th or worse in the other three races.

6. Chase Elliott
This week is going to be critical for Elliott. He's coming off back-to-back disappointing finishes and is going to lose fantasy relevance unless he challenges for a top-five on this 1.5-mile track.

7. Erik Jones
Jones can ill-afford to have another bad finish like he did in the Coke 600. Fantasy owners should expect that he will not have as radical a camber setup this week as he did at Charlotte.

8. Aric Almirola
Almirola had an eight-race streak of top-10s on 1.5-mile tracks entering Kansas. He finished 12th in that race and was 11th at Charlotte. We're betting he gets another top-10 at Chicagoland.

9. Kevin Harvick
Harvick began the year with a pair of top-fives on similarly-configured, 1.5-mile tracks. As the season has progressed, his best finish in the last three races on this track type has been an eighth.

10. Kurt Busch
Busch has been consistently in the top 15 all year. One of the exceptions was at Charlotte when he sustained damage, lost a lap, and finished 27th. That snapped a six-race streak of top-10s on this track type.

11. Clint Bowyer
Three of Bowyer's five races on the 1.5-mile tracks this year ended in top-five finishes. Those are counter balanced by a 14th at Vegas and 24th (with damage) at Charlotte.

12. Jimmie Johnson
Johnson has really come into his own on the 1.5-mile tracks with top-10s in his last three starts. He is liable to catch your competition by surprise.

13. Alex Bowman
Bowman's worst finish on a 1.5-mile track this year was an 18th at Texas. Everything else has been a top-15 and his last two attempts ended in top-10s.

14. Denny Hamlin
Hamlin's victory at Texas is impressive, but it is his only top-five on this track type this season one of only two top-10s.

15. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Stenhouse has been a surprisingly good value on the similarly-configured, 1.5-mile tracks this year with a worst of 18th at Atlanta and a best of fifth at Charlotte.

16. Daniel Suarez
Suarez's results on this track type have been uneven and occasionally good. He has one top-five, one other top-10, and a top-15 in five starts this year.

17. Chris Buescher
Buescher started out the 1.5-mile season with a ninth in the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500. His last two efforts on this track type also ended in top-10 results.

18. William Byron
Byron has a pair of top-10s on the similarly-configured, 1.5-mile tracks and a worst finish of 20th. He could be one of this week's most pleasant surprises.

19. Ryan Blaney
We would like to get excited about Blaney's 13th-place finish in the Coke 600, but that is his only top-20 on a 1.5-mile track so far this year.

20. Paul Menard
If one disregards his 24th at Kansas, all of Menard's finishes on the 1.5-mile tracks land in the 14th- to 19th-place range.

21. Ryan Newman
It is unlikely that Newman will score a top-10 this week since he hasn't done that well on 1.5-milers yet in 2019. He does, however, have three results of 16th or better in five races.

22. Daniel Hemric
Toss out his 33rd at Texas and Hemric has finished between 18th and 23rd on the 1.5-mile tracks this year. He should easily be in that range again.

23. Austin Dillon
Dillon is not necessarily the first driver who comes to mind on the 1.5-milers, but prior to his disappointing Coke 600 finish he had a nine-race streak of results 22nd or better.

24. David Ragan
The Coke 600 was home to a lot of Cinderella stories. Ragan finished 15th in that race. He has another 16th at the beginning of the season in Atlanta.

25. Corey LaJoie
There was not a dry eye at the track when LaJoie finished 12th in the Coke 600 last month. That was preceded by a 22nd at Kansas just one race previous.

26. Ty Dillon
Dillon has a perfect record of top-30 finishes on the similarly-configured, 1.5-mile tracks with his best of 21st coming at Texas.

27. Matt Tifft
Tifft has been getting progressively better on the 1.5-mile tracks in his last three starts. He improved from 24th at Texas to 21st at Kansas and 20th in the Coke 600.

28. Bubba Wallace
Fantasy owners know what to expect from Wallace on this track type. He has a perfect record of top-30s on 1.5-milers this year with a best of 23rd at Texas. Watch him in practice.

29. Michael McDowell
McDowell lost his best opportunity to score a top-10 at Sonoma last week. He does have one top-15 on a 1.5-mile track, however, and that came at Texas this spring.

30. Ryan Preece
Preece scored three consecutive top-25s at Vegas, Texas, and Kansas. Those are bookended by a pair of 30-something results at Atlanta and Charlotte.

31. Matt DiBenedetto
DiBenedetto started the season with some promise on 1.5-mile tracks, but his last two efforts have been outside the top 35 and that makes us cautious

32. Quin Houff
Houff has two starts on this track type with a 34th at Kansas and a 28th at Charlotte. If there is any significant attrition at all this week, he could get another top 30.

33. Ross Chastain
With the exception of his 36th-place finish in the Coke 600, Chastain has been consistent on this track type with results of 29th through 33rd.

34. BJ McLeod
McLeod has made four of the five starts on 1.5-mile tracks with one top-30 to show for his effort in the longest race of the year: the Coke 600.

35. Reed Sorenson
Most of Sorenson's efforts on 1.5-mile tracks this year ended in results of 34th to 36th, but he was a good value for his salary cap in the Coke 600 with a 30th-place finish.

36. Landon Cassill
Cassill earned a top-30 at Texas. That is the good news, but he finished 37th in his last two attempts on 1.5-milers and this might be a good week to leave him parked in the garage.

 

Drivers Most Accurately
Predicted This Year

 

Avg.
Difference

Times
Within 3

 

Landon Cassill

3.4

12

David Ragan

3.9

7

Matt Tifft

4.0

10

Martin Truex Jr.

4.7

7

Kyle Busch

4.9

8

Ty Dillon

5.1

9

William Byron

5.6

3

Denny Hamlin

5.8

11

Ryan Newman

5.8

8

Paul Menard

5.8

6

 

Dan Beaver

Dan Beaver has been covering fantasy NASCAR for more than 20 years with a little help from his >650,000 record database. He can be found on Twitter @FantasyRace.