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NBC Sports Predictor

Sunday Night 7: Washington-Philadelphia

by Will Gray
Updated On: January 2, 2021, 2:41 pm ET

It's the regular season finale edition of Sunday Night 7, with a division title hanging in the balance!

Play for FREE for your chance to win or split a $100,000 jackpot every contest. Download the NBC Sports Predictor app to join the party right now. This week's game features the Washington Football Team and Philadelphia Eagles, as Washington looks to capture an unexpected NFC East title with a victory over their longtime rivals.

Here are the 7 questions for this Sunday's game at Lincoln Financial Field:

#1 Jalen Hurts rushing yards? Passing yards?

< 25, 25-39, 40-54, 55-69, 70-99, 100+

< 175, 175-199, 200-234, 235-269, 270-299, 300+

One of the big questions about this game is exactly how many weapons Hurts will have at his disposal, as the home team will be resting several key starters with no chance to make the playoffs. Several of Hurts' top targets will be watching this one, meaning there will be more of an emphasis on him to create plays on his own. He's done some damage on the ground in recent weeks, averaging 79.3 yards rushing on 12.6 attempts in the Eagles' last three games. But both of those figures may tick up slightly given his limited options through the air, even if the Eagles are looking to erase a second-half deficit. Hurts has sprung to life as a passer in the last two games, throwing for 338 yards against Arizona and 342 yards against Dallas. The Eagles would prefer for his ground game to be the beefier number, and the starting lineup may align with that preference anyway. He'll get over 100 yards rushing but only 185 through the air.


#2 First touchdown of the game?

Antonio Gibson, J.D. McKissic, Logan Thomas, Miles Sanders, DeSean Jackson, Greg Ward, Any other Washington player, Any other Eagles player

Sanders and Jackson have both been ruled out for this game for the Eagles, limiting the options here considerably. The safe play would seemingly be Gibson, whose 11 touchdowns on the season far outweigh any other individual option on the board, but he's listed as questionable with a toe injury and has been limited in practice this week. McKissic has scored in each of the last two games and would be the beneficiary if Gibson's action is limited. Washington is favored to win and has everything to play for, needing a win to clinch their first division crown since 2015. They should come out strong and seem likely to score first, but given the backfield uncertainty the play here is to take the "field" option among Washington's weapons.


#3 Total points in second quarter?

0-3, 4-6, 7, 8-9, 10, 11-13, 14, 15-20, 21+

The full-game total for this game is currently sitting at a modest 43.5 at PointsBet, meaning that points could be hard to come by among two teams with inconsistent offensive attacks. Projecting second quarter scoring could be tricky given the possibility that one team scores near the end of the first quarter - or starts the second stanza knocking on the door. But overall I'm not inclined to believe there will be a ton of offensive fireworks from either side, as Washington could embrace a cautious gameplan and the Eagles simply don't have a ton of weapons suiting up. Someone will put some points up, but it might be a tight contest heading into the break. Let's go with 10 points scored.


#4 Most receiving yards in third quarter?

Cam Sims, Logan Thomas, J.D. McKissic, DeSean Jackson, Dallas Goedert, Jalen Reagor, Any other Washington player, Any other Eagles player

As with the second question we can eliminate two potential options, as Jackson and Goedert have both been ruled out for the regular season finale. That leaves Reagor for the Eagles and a trio of potential Washington options, led by Thomas who has caught at least six balls for an average of 76 yards over the last four games. McKissic has been a viable target out of the backfield but likely will be a short-yardage target, while Zach Ertz might get some extra attention from Hurts in what could end up being his final game for Philadelphia. But Thomas' consistency in recent weeks is hard to ignore, and even if Taylor Heinecke goes for Washington at quarterback instead of Alex Smith he should see plenty of targets both in the third quarter and in the game in general.


#5 Longest play (rushing or receiving) of second half?

< 20, 20-25, 26-29, 30-34, 35-39, 40-44, 45-49, 50-59, 60+

The big play potential could be limited in this game, with Washington facing quarterback questions and Philadelphia opting to rest some regulars. While Hurts has been more successful airing it out in recent weeks that may be more difficult against Washington, who rank behind only the Rams and Ravens at 6.6 yards allowed per pass attempt. Hurts has the ability to break loose on a run, but he hasn't gone longer than 24 yards on the ground in each of the last four games. Heinecke's longest completion Sunday against the Panthers was only a modest 29 yards, and although Smith seems in line to get the start he'll likely be somewhat limited under center. The Eagles' defense has been carved up in recent weeks, but the big-play ceiling might be a little lower this week given the concerns on Washington's side. A long play of 40-44 yards seems about right.


#6 Longest field goal of the game?

< 27, 27-31, 32-34, 35-38, 39-41, 42-44, 45-47, 48-52, 53+

This category should see plenty of action, with both teams potentially moving the ball in small chunks but struggling to convert chances into touchdowns. Washington's Dustin Hopkins has been especially effective from long range, making a field goal of between 48-51 yards in each of the last four games and six out of the last eight. Philadelphia's Jake Elliott has an equally powerful leg, but he hasn't made more than one field goal in a game since Week 3 against the Bengals. This question should come down to Hopkins, and there's no reason to think his trend of converting one from 48-52 yards will end this week.


#7 Winner? Margin of victory?

Washington Football Team or Philadelphia Eagles? 

1-2, 3, 4-5, 6, 7, 8-9, 10-11, 12-13, 14, 15-16, 17-18, 19-20, 21+

Washington is currently listed as a 3.5-point road favorite in a game with plenty of question marks. It would be fitting given the struggles within the NFC East this year for Philadelphia to pull off the upset with nothing to play for, but the team's decision to rest some playmakers just might give Washington enough of an edge to get the job done. It won't be easy, but Smith and company will complete the unexpected comeback from 2-7 to division champs. Washington wins the final regular season game of a wild 2020 season, 23-17.

Will Gray

Will Gray joined Golf Channel in 2007 and currently serves as a staff writer for GolfChannel.com. Gray has been covering fantasy golf since 2012 and is a regular contributor to the Golf Central blog and covers several PGA Tour events each year. He's also a regular contributor to several digital properties on GolfChannel.com, including Stat Man, On the Clock, Fantasy Central, Grill Room and the Monday Scramble podcast.