Updated 11/1 at 11:30 AM ET. Made some minor adjustments for wind. Ticked Derek Carr, Baker Mayfield and Kirk Cousins down. Left Aaron Rodgers as is. With Rodgers, the question became, how far do you take this with wind a "factor" so many different places? If you have another top 10 quarterback, perhaps consider the change. If not, don't.
Week 8 Quarterbacks
QB Notes: In Russell Wilson’s lowest yardage output of the season (217), he provided three touchdowns. In his lowest touchdown output (two), he threw for 360 yards. Wilson will re-expose the 49ers’ defensive deficiencies after Robert Saleh’s injured group got back-to-back reprieves in Jared Goff and Cam Newton. … Aaron Rodgers bookended his Bucs humbling with four-touchdown efforts. Allowing 8.5 yards per attempt alongside a 14:3 TD:INT total, the Vikings are another Texans spot for Rodgers’ Jordan Love revenge world tour. … Patrick Mahomes has posted QB17, QB2, QB11 and QB23 finishes since his Ravens destruction. Whereas the tanked Jets offer the opportunity of a lifetime for many quarterbacks, they are a fantasy danger spot for Mahomes since his elite team may get to pack it in early. The Chiefs are 19.5-point favorites, while new RB Le’Veon Bell will almost certainly be allowed to seek revenge vs. his former club. Mahomes’ floor keeps him in the top five, but we will probably have to wait another week for ceiling. … The QB10 by average points, Ryan Tannehill has an blow-up spot in the Bengals … as long as Derrick Henry doesn’t have a 200-yard day vs. Cincinnati’s barely-there run defense.
Out of sync for most of 2020, Lamar Jackson entered the Ravens’ Week 7 bye with a QB5 performance on the back of his 9/108/1 rushing against the Eagles. He returns from his COVID staycation to face a Steelers Defense that roughed him up in the sides’ one 2019 meeting, forcing Jackson into three picks. Once again dominating opposing passers, the Steelers are a gut check moment for a somewhat struggling MVP. … Tom Brady has a bit of a Patrick Mahomes problem for Week 8. Can the 12-point underdog Giants keep this thing close enough? Brady is averaging 273 yards, but has finished with 253 or fewer four times. … Carson Wentz has made it abundantly clear he won’t be doing anything normally this season. Somehow stabilizing after his awful start despite a complete lack of household fantasy names to throw to, Wentz is all but guaranteed to become the latest quarterback to humiliate the Cowboys. … I want to have Matt Ryan higher. I also want to have Matt Ryan lower. Ryan’s mojo seems back along with a healthy Julio Jones, but he never seems to quite get the right amount of touchdowns. The Panthers also continue to bend but not break as a pass defense, shockingly allowing just nine aerial scores in seven games.
Justin Herbert is all the way up to the QB5 by average points. He’s had three straight three-touchdown performances, one of which came against the Bucs’ elite defense. This is probably too low of a rank, but the Chargers’ implied total is 23-24 points vs. a Broncos pass D that remains above average. … Josh Allen has really cooled off since his hot start, checking in as the QB14 by total points over the past three past three weeks. He’s an even more distant QB19 by average points. The Patriots, for all their struggles, are surrendering the fourth fewest QB fantasy points. Allen completed only 26 passes across two 2019 dates with Bill Belichick’s defense. … Week 7’s QB3, Joe Burrow has finally begun to touch his ceiling after his early-season floor efforts. Becoming one of this year’s perpetual shootout machine defenses, the Titans will afford Burrow the opportunity to stay hot. … Merely the QB21 by average fantasy points, Ben Roethlisberger maintains his QB1/2 borderline rankings perch because he has been so consistent, providing two scores in 5-of-6 starts. He also finally has his receiver corps healthy all at once. Even in a tough matchup like Sunday’s with the Ravens, Big Ben could finally catch some upside.
11-of-13 for 170 yards and a pair of touchdowns at halftime against the Saints last Sunday, it felt like Teddy Bridgewater was finally going to have a three-score day. Instead, he provided just 84 more scoreless yards. The Falcons, who have permitted the most QB fantasy points, are an eruption spot on paper. Bridgewater just doesn’t do eruptions. … Everyone’s least favorite QB14, Derek Carr even managed a QB12 finish against the Bucs. Week 8 opponent Cleveland is doling out the third most passing yards. … Permitting the second most quarterback fantasy points is Seattle. No. 29 in total quarterback fantasy points is Jimmy Garoppolo. He’s 32nd by average points. Garoppolo’s average intended air yards of 6.2 is the second lowest in the league, meaning it will be out of character if he’s allowed to cut loose and challenge Seattle’s horrid secondary. Deebo Samuel (hamstring) is also sidelined. All that being said, Jimmy G is still entitled to a Seahawks rankings boost. … Matthew Stafford is the QB24 by average points. Embarrassing. He finished as the QB15 vs. Atlanta’s league-worst unit. Now he gets a Colts D coughing up the fewest quarterback fantasy points.
Back-to-back shootouts have forced Kirk Cousins to cut it loose. The Packers are practically guaranteed to make it three straight. … Cam Newton has five picks in 40 attempts since returning from the COVID-19 list. Oh, and zero passing touchdowns. Newton’s rushing keeps him in the top 20, but he has become far more volatile than initially hoped. … Philip Rivers finally showed something, anything in Week 6 vs. the Bengals. The Lions are another plus spot through the air. … Despite what you might read on Twitter, Baker Mayfield will not be better without Odell Beckham (ACL). His Week 8 case is about facing a Raiders Defense handing out the fourth most quarterback fantasy points. … Over the past month, Jared Goff has fantasy finishes of QB22, QB18, QB8 and QB28. The Dolphins have permitted just seven passing scores in six games. … Still missing Michael Thomas (hamstring) and Emmanuel Sanders (coronavirus), Drew Brees’ first game in the great outdoors will come against a Bears Defense allowing the second fewest quarterback fantasy points. … Tua Tagovailoa has the two things every modern quarterback must: Accuracy and big-play ability. He will still have his hand held early. The Rams are not a great spot to make your NFL debut. … You’re own your own starting Ben DiNucci in super FLEX leagues.