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Odds and Ends

2020 NFL Draft Prop Bets: Defense

by Covers.com
Updated On: April 19, 2020, 5:47 pm ET

NFL Draft Over/Under prop odds for top defensive players

Player Draft Position Over Draft Position Under
Jeff Okudah Over 4.5 (+110) Under 4.5 (-140)
Isaiah Simmons Over 6.5 (+110) Under 6.5 (-155)
Derrick Brown  Over 7.5 (-125) Under 7.5 (-105)
Javon Kinlaw Over 13.5 (-115) Under 13.5 (-115)
C.J. Henderson Over 14.5 (+130) Under 14.5 (-160)
K'Lavon Chaisson Over 16.5 (-130) Under 16.5 (+100)
Kenneth Murray Over 19.5 (-170) Under 19.5 (+120)
Patrick Queen Over 23.5 (-135) Under 23.5 (-105)
Xavier McKinney Over 26.5 (+160) Under 26.5 (-225)
Kristian Fulton Over 26.5 (+110) Under 26.5 (-155)
Yetur Gross-Matos Over 26.5 ( -130) Under 26.5 (-110)
Zack Baun Over 30.5 (-130) Under 30.5 (+100)
Grant Delpitt Over 31.5 (-255) Under 31.5 (+175)
Ross Blacklock Over 31.5 (-200) Under 31.5 (+140)
A.J. Epenesa Over 33.5 (+325) Under 33.5 (-545)

 

When will Isaiah Simmons be drafted?

Isaiah Simmons is a great prospect, there's no denying that. But linebackers have a tendency to slide on draft day. And while Simmons' versatility has been lauded, it can make him a tricky player for defensive co-ordinators to utilize properly. 

Out of all the teams in the top six, the Giants may be most tempted to take the human Swiss Army knife at No. 4 but we think they either trade down or grab an offensive tackle to protect last year's first rounder Daniel Jones. We don't see Simmons going before the seventh pick in the draft. 

PREDICTION: Simmons Over 6.5 (+110)

 

When will C.J. Henderson get drafted?

While C.J. Henderson might be the consensus second-best cornerback in the draft (and teams can't have enough good DBs in the current pass-happy NFL), many of the teams before the Falcons at No. 16 have more pressing needs.

The 49ers at No. 13 are a possible destination for Henderson but they could go in a number of different directions, including grabbing a WR or trading down.

PREDICTION: Henderson Over 14.5 (+130)

 

When will K'Lavon Chaisson get drafted?

Pass rushers are a valuable commodity in the NFL and this draft is pretty thin when it comes to edge rushers after Young. Penn State's Yetur Gross-Matos is coming off an injury while Iowa's A.J. Epenesa has excellent technique but his speed around the edge is an issue.

K'Lavon Chaisson is the second-best pass rusher on the board and with his length, athleticism and scheme versatility someone will grab him in the first half of Round 1. 

PREDICTION: Chaisson Under 16.5 (+100)

 

Who will be the second pick in the 2020 NFL Draft?

Chase Young might be the most talented player in the draft but he also has the juiciest number on the NFL Draft odds board. The Ohio State defensive end is -1,445 to be the second-overall pick and the Washington Redskins are -1,250 to take him with that second pick. Thankfully, many of the other defensive player prop bets offer better value.

 

 

Who will be the third pick in the 2020 NFL Draft?

Player Odds
Jeff Okudah +110
Tua Tagovailoa +180
Isaiah Simmons +690
Chase Young +735
Derrick Brown +2,700
Anyone Else +595

The Detroit Lions own the third pick in the draft. There are plenty of reports that they are looking to trade down, but in five years as Detroit's GM, Bob Quinn has never made a pick involving the team's first rounder.  

Under head coach Matt Patricia, the Lions have made little secret of the fact that they are trying to emulate Patricia's former team the New England Patriots, especially on defense. The Pats stress the importance of elite cornerbacks while generating a pass rush through blitzes.

Ohio State's Jeff Okudah is a potential shutdown corner from a school that has a reputation for producing them. If the Lions don't trade down, Okudah is the perfect fit for them as a replacement for Darius Slay.

PREDICTION: Third pick overall - Jeff Okudah (+110)

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Who will be the first safety picked in the NFL Draft?

Player Odds
Xavier McKinney -255
Grant Delpit +255
Jeremy Chinn +490
Antoine Winfield Jr. +10,000

The number for Xavier McKinney is juicy but this looks like one of the safest prop bets to take. McKinney ticks off almost every box that teams look for in a modern-day safety: tackling ability, pass coverage, physical tools, instincts, and production in a major conference. 

McKinney isn't an elite talent like Jamal Adams was in 2018 but he's still easily the best safety on the board. Louisiana State's Grant Delpit is his closest competition but Delpit has been left out of Round 1 in Mel Kiper and Sports Illustrated's latest mock drafts and was pegged as a first rounder in only one of the eight mock drafts on NFL.com (and even in that mock he went after McKinney). 

PREDICTION: First safety drafted - Xavier McKinney (-255)