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Trevor Lawrence
Ken Ruinard-USA TODAY Sports
Odds and Ends

ACC Win Totals - Clemson to be perfect?

by NBC Sports EDGE Staff
Updated On: April 8, 2020, 4:05 pm ET

ACC college football 2020 season win total odds

Perhaps some year, the Clemson win total won’t be atop the ACC odds board. But Caesars oddsmakers don’t see it this year, with the Tigers’ win total a whopping 2.5 games higher than second choice Miami.

Highest Win Total: Clemson Tigers

Clemson has no margin for error, with a win total of 11.5, but even then, the Over is shaded to -140. Miami follows at 9 (-110), with North Carolina at 8.5 (-110) and Virginia Tech 8 (Over -115).

Of course, the Tigers have stud quarterback Trevor Lawrence returning. All Lawrence has done is lead Clemson to the last two national championship games, winning it all over Alabama in the 2018-19 season and losing to LSU last season. In fact, five of the Tigers’ six returning offensive starters are at the skill positions, including running back Travis Etienne, who rushed for 1,614 yards and 19 TDs.

Lowest Win Total: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

It could be another wreck at Georgia Tech, pegged at 3 wins, with the Under at -220. The Yellow Jackets went 3-9 SU and ATS last year, finishing near the bottom among 130 teams in passing yards (133.9, 123rd), total yards (286.5, 127th) and points scored (16.7, 124th).

Team Of Note: Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Wake Forest is pegged for an above-.500 season, but not by much. The Demon Deacons went 8-4 SU (5-6-1 ATS) in the 2019-20 regular season, but dumped three of their last four games, then fell to Michigan State in the Pinstripe Bowl.

“Looking back, now that we’ve taken some bets, we missed on Wake,” Caesars sportsbooks director of trading Jeff Davis told Covers. “The power ranking was probably off by 2 or 3 points. We opened 7 (Over -165), now we’re at 6.5 (Under -120). We also opened North Carolina State 4.5 (Over -145), and it’s now 5 (Over -115). That being said, N.C. State was more intentional than Wake.”

 

ACC 2020 Season Win Total Odds

TEAM         

OVER

UNDER

Clemson

11.5 (-140)

11.5 (+120)

Miami

9 (-110)

9 (-110)

North Carolina

8.5 (-110)

8.5 (-110)

Virginia Tech

8 (-115)

8 (-105)

Louisville

7.5 (-110)

7.5 (-110)

Florida State

7.5 (-105)

7.5 (-115)

Wake Forest

7 (-165)

7 (+145)

Virginia

6.5 (-125)

6.5 (+105)

Pittsburgh

6.5 (+120)

6.5 (-140)

Syracuse

5.5 (-120)

5.5 (Even)

Duke

5.5 (Even)

5.5 (-120)

Boston College

5 (-110)

5 (-110)

North Carolina State

4.5 (-145)

4.5 (+125)

Georgia Tech

3 (+185)

3 (-220)

How to bet season win totals

Season win totals are somewhat self explanatory: betting on how many wins a team will have that season. 

Oddsmakers set a projected number of wins for each team - based on past success, returning personnel and strength of schedule - and offer Over/Under betting options, allowing you to wager on if a team will exceed that win total (Over) or fall short of it (Under).

On top of the season win total itself, oddsmakers set an assigned cost to the Over and Under bets – also known as vig or juice – depending on the implied probability of the team winning more or less than that total. 

For example, oddsmakers calculate TEAM A to win nine games this upcoming season but do feel like there’s a better chance of them winning 10 games rather than 8. Therefor, they set TEAM A with a win total of 9 but increase the vig on the OVER to -130 (bet $1.30 to win $1) and decrease the vig on the UNDER to +110 (win $1.10 for every $1 bet).  

OVER 9 WINS (-130)
UNDER 9 WINS (+110)

Season win totals are considered futures betting odds and sportsbooks will take action on season win totals from the time they post the odds until the start of the season. Futures bets are then graded at the end of the season when all results are final.