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Odds and Ends

Betting NFL win total odds

by Covers.com
Updated On: April 26, 2020, 2:04 pm ET

Which NFL team is expected to have the most wins in 2020?

The defending Super Bowl Champions the Kansas City Chiefs and the Baltimore Ravens have the highest projected win totals for the upcoming season. Led by two of the best quarterbacks in the league, the two teams are also the betting favorites to win Super Bowl LV.

The O/U win total for both squads is set at 11.5 although the Chiefs are -130 to go Over that number while the Ravens are -110 to go Over. 

The New Orleans Saints and San Francisco 49ers are next on the futures odds board with the O/U on their win total set at 10.5. 

 

Which NFL team is expected to have the fewest wins in 2020?

The Washington Redskins and the Jacksonville Jaguars are the teams with the lowest expected win totals, with an O/U of just 5.

Washington is coming off a three-win season in 2019 and will likely go through growing pains on both sides of the ball unless sophomore quarterback Dwayne Haskins shows massive improvement. 

The Jags could be in for another rough year even with Minshew mania. Jacksonville lost defensive cornerstone Calais Campbell in free agency and reportedly have pass rusher Yannick Ngakoue and running back Leonard Fournette on the trade block as well. 

 

 

NFL Over/Under wins odds (as of April 26)

Team Over Under
Arizona Cardinals 7 (-115) 7 (-105)
Atlanta Falcons 7.5 (-110) 7.5 (-110)
Baltimore Ravens 11.5 (-110) 11.5 (-110)
Buffalo Bills 9 (-110) 9 (-110)
Carolina Panthers 5.5 (-121) 5.5 (+100)
Chicago Bears 8.5 (+115) 8.5 (-134)
Cincinnati Bengals 5.5 (-110) 5.5 (-110)
Cleveland Browns 8.5 (+105) 8.5 (-125)
Dallas Cowboys 9.5 (-125) 9.5 (+105)
Denver Broncos 7.5 (-115) 7.5 (-105)
Detroit Lions 6.5 (-115) 6.5 (-106)
Green Bay Packers 9 (-105) 9 (-115)
Houston Texans 8 (+105) 8 (-125)
Indianapolis Colts 9 (-115) 9 (-105)
Jacksonville Jaguars 5 (-110) 5 (-110)
Kansas City Chiefs 11.5 (-115) 11.5 (-105)
Las Vegas Raiders 7.5 (-110) 7.5 (-110)
Los Angeles Chargers 7.5 (-110) 7.5 (-110)
Los Angeles Rams 8.5 (-115) 8.5 (-105)
Miami Dolphins 6 (-115) 6 (-105)
Minnesota Vikings 8.5 (-130) 8.5 (+110)
New England Patriots 9 (-110) 9 (-110)
New Orleans Saints 10.5 (+105) 10.5 (-125)
New York Giants 6.5 (+100) 6.5 (-121)
New York Jets 6.5 (-115) 6.5 (-105)
Philadelphia Eagles 9.5 (-110) 9.5 (-110)
Pittsburgh Steelers 9 (-115) 9 (-106)
San Francisco 49ers 10.5 (-121) 10.5 (+100)
Seattle Seahawks 9.5 (+120) 9.5 (-145)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10 (-105) 10 (-115)
Tennessee Titans 8.5 (-115) 8.5 (-105)
Washington Redskins 5 (-115) 5 (-106)

 

How to bet season win totals

Season win totals are somewhat self explanatory: betting on how many wins a team will have that regular season. 

Oddsmakers set a projected number of wins for each team - based on past success, returning personnel and strength of schedule - and offer Over/Under betting options, allowing you to wager on if a team will exceed that win total (Over) or fall short of it (Under). This total does not include postseason games, such as the conference championship or bowl games.

On top of the season win total itself, oddsmakers set an assigned cost to the Over and Under bets – also known as vig or juice – depending on the implied probability of the team winning more or less than that total. 

For example, oddsmakers calculate TEAM A to win nine games this upcoming season but do feel like there’s a better chance of them winning 10 games rather than 8. Therefor, they set TEAM A with a win total of 9 but increase the vig on the OVER to -130 (bet $1.30 to win $1) and decrease the vig on the UNDER to +110 (win $1.10 for every $1 bet).  

OVER 9 WINS (-130)
UNDER 9 WINS (+110)

Season win totals are considered futures betting odds and sportsbooks will take action on season win totals from the time they post the odds until the start of the season. Futures bets are then graded at the end of the season when all results are final.