Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Clippers – Open: -5.5; Move: -6; Move: -6.5
Los Angeles followed a three-game SU and ATS skid by winning and cashing in its last two games. The Clippers (39-19 SU, 31-27 ATS) went off as 7.5-point favorites at Phoenix on Wednesday and posted a 102-92 victory.
At 40-18 SU, Denver has the second-best record in the West and is 6-2 SU in its last eight games. On Tuesday, the Nuggets coasted past Detroit 115-98 laying 13.5 points at home to reach .500 ATS, with a 27-27-4 mark.
“Action is balanced, nothing of note,” Berg said, although the line ticked up a point in the Clippers’ favor. “An overnight bet from a sharp moved it to -6. That was the main move.”
Tipoff is at 10:30 p.m. ET.
Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat – Open: -2.5; Move: -3; Move: -3.5; Move: -4
Dallas is on a 4-1 SU and ATS upswing heading into this 8 p.m. ET matchup. The Mavericks (36-23 SU, 32-24-3 ATS) topped San Antonio 109-103 as 4-point road faves Wednesday.
On the flip side, Miami dropped four of its last five SU and ATS. On Wednesday, the Heat (36-22 SU, 30-26-2 ATS) were 11.5-point home favorites against Minnesota, but blew a 12-point lead in the final four minutes of a 129-126 loss.
“Nothing really going on there. The market is moving with speculation that Luka Doncic is out,” Berg said, alluding to the Mavericks’ star forward, who is questionable with a thumb injury.
Davidson Wildcats at No. 3 Dayton Flyers – Open: -11.5; Move: -11; Move: -10.5
Dayton is arguably the biggest surprise of any team in college hoops this season and rides a 17-game win streak (8-9 ATS) into this 7 p.m. ET Atlantic 10 contest. The Flyers (26-2 SU, 14-14 ATS) beat George Mason 62-55 Tuesday, failing to cash as 12-point road favorites.
Davidson climbed above .500 by winning four of its last five games, including a solid home win over Rhode Island last weekend, 77-75 in overtime as 2.5-point faves. On Tuesday against LaSalle, the Wildcats (15-12 SU, 12-15 ATS) rolled to a 74-49 victory giving 11 points at home.
“The line hasn’t moved today,” Berg said, noting the 1-point move toward the underdog came late Thursday. “That was a respected player on Davidson overnight. Almost identical money on the 10.5-point spread.”
Colorado Avalanche at Carolina Hurricanes – Open: -115; Move: -110; Move: -105
Carolina has alternated wins and losses over its last eight games, sitting one spot and two points out of the Eastern Conference playoffs. The Hurricanes (35-23-4-0) went off as -123 home favorites against Dallas on Tuesday, but were shut down in a 4-1 loss.
Colorado is on a four-game surge and is 9-3 in its last dozen games. The Avalanche (37-18-6-1) edged Buffalo 3-2 as -190 faves Wednesday.
“The Avalanche saw some early money,” Berg said, noting Colorado moving from an even-money ‘dog to a modest -110 favorite for this 7 p.m. ET faceoff.