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Blake Snell
Odds and Ends

Can Blake Snell force a Game 7?

by Sam Panayotovich
Updated On: October 26, 2020, 2:09 pm ET

The Los Angeles Dodgers are one win away from their first World Series championship since 1988. Tampa Bay Rays southpaw Blake Snell has other ideas. 

Snell is undoubtedly ready for another crack at the Dodgers. He was dynamite early in Game 2, taking a no-hitter into the fifth inning. With two outs, Snell walked Kike Hernandez after some questionable calls then gave up a two-run homer to Chris Taylor, the nine-hitter. After Mookie Betts walked and Corey Seager singled, Rays manager Kevin Cash pulled Snell on the spot. The Rays still won that game, evening up the series 1-1.

Tomorrow, the crafty lefty is tasked with holding the big Dodger bats at bay in Game 6. And the stakes are much higher with Tampa Bay facing elimination. Snell opposes Dodgers righty Tony Gonsolin and PointsBet Sportsbook is holding steady at Los Angeles -140 with a total of 8 runs. The Rays check in at +120 on the moneyline. That's with over 65 percent of the bets on L.A.

The market clearly respects Snell, because -140 is a pretty cheap price on the World Series favorite in an elimination game. And we're seeing some reverse line movement with more bets on the Dodgers, but the line is moving the other way. Some sportsbooks around the country are down to -130. 

That's clearly respected money on the Tampa Bay side.

According to Rotoworld's Edge Finder, Snell has made you money as an underdog. Over the last three seasons, blindly backing him as a pup has made bettors 5.65 units.

"He needs to find a way to sustain through the middle innings," Westgate SuperBook senior baseball trader Randy Blum told NBC Sports. "He’s got great stuff, but struggled all year through the middle innings. If he can mix his pitches and get through those middle innings, they'll be in great shape." 

I refuse to waver on my stance about Tampa Bay being every bit as good as Los Angeles. I also like my chances against a 26-year-old rookie starter. You would think Gonsolin has a rather short leash and this could easily end up being a bullpen game for Dave Roberts.

My bread is already buttered with Rays +1.5 games, so you know what I’ll be rooting for.

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Sam Panayotovich

Sam Panayotovich is a sports betting analyst from the South Side of Chicago. He'll probably pick against your favorite team a lot. Follow him @spshoot