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Odds and Ends

Flames vs. Jets Picks & Predictions

by Covers.com
Updated On: July 30, 2020, 8:40 pm ET

Flames vs. Jets Qualifying Round Odds

Team Odds to win the series
Calgary Flames -115
Winnipeg Jets -105

 

Calgary Flames

Calgary Flames Stanley Cup Odds +4,000

It's been an up-and-down season for the Flames, who lost six games in a row at the beginning of November only to roll off a seven-game winning streak at the end of that month. Even with interim coach Geoff Ward taking over, following Bill Peters' resignation after racism allegations, Calgary has continued to be plagued by stretches of uninspired play. 

Calgary was one of the most improved teams in the NHL last year, finishing the regular season with the best record in the Western Conference and scoring the second-most goals in the league. This year, however, the Flames rank just 20th in the league in scoring despite still having a skilled group of forwards led by Matthew Tkachuk, Johnny Gaudreau and Sean Monahan.

The Flames have been solid but haven't stood out in any area of the ice, ranking in the bottom half of the league in scoring, shots allowed, GAA, and face-off percentage.

 

 

Calgary Flames betting trends

  • Calgary has gone 14-6-1 to the Over in its previous 21 games.
  • Flames center Mikael Backlund has scored a point in 14 of his last 16 games, tallying 10 goals and 22 points over that span.
  • The Flames penalty kill percentage of 82.1 ranks eighth in the league.

 

Winnipeg Jets

Winnipeg Jets Stanley Cup Odds +4,000

It'll be difficult to maintain their momentum from three months ago, but the Jets went into the COVID-19 shutdown having won six of their previous seven games, a stretch which included convincing victories over Edmonton, Vegas and Washington. 

With Patrik Laine, Blake Wheeler, Kyle Connor, Nik Ehlers and Mark Scheifele, the Jets can roll with two very potent offensive lines. They also have a Vezina Trophy contender in goalie Connor Hellebuyck.

The Jets are less sturdy on the blue line, where injuries have decimated their depth and their top-end talent is lacking (I'm sure they wish they had Dustin Byfuglien anchoring their D right now).

 

Winnipeg Jets betting trends

  • Winnipeg has scored the third-fewest first-period goals in the NHL, but has potted the fourth-most goals in the league during the second frame.
  • The Jets have averaged 3.35 goals per game over their last 17 games.
  • The Jets are 28th in the NHL in high-danger scoring chances and 30th in the league in high-danger scoring chances allowed.

 

Flames vs. Jets Head to Head Comparison

Calgary Flames Tale of the Tape Winnipeg Jets
36-27-7 Record 37-28-6
34-32 O/U 29-37
2.91 Goals Per Game 3.00
3.06 Goals Allowed Per Game 2.83
21.24 Power Play Percentage 20.49
82.1 Penalty Kill Percentage 77.6

 

Flames vs. Jets Picks and Predictions

Series Prediction: Winnipeg Jets -105 - These teams met up once during the regular season, with the Jets eking out a 2-1 overtime victory, although it was a Heritage Classic game, played outdoors at a neutral site back in October. 

As both the odds and their team stats indicate, there isn't a whole lot separating these two sides. However, the Jets have a clear advantage between the pipes with Connor Hellebuyck, who is 31-21-5 with a 2.57 GAA and a .922 save percentage.

The Flames No. 1 netminder, David Rittich, has a GAA of 2.97 and a .907 save percentage, and if he struggles Calgary may turn to Cam Talbot. With these teams fairly equal up front, back the squad with the better goalie in a tight five-game series.