Milwaukee Bucks at Los Angeles Lakers – Open: -2; Move: -1.5; Move: -1; Move: Pick; Move: -1; Move: -1.5
Milwaukee has been a finely tuned machine all season, piling up a ridiculous 53-9 SU mark and going 36-26 ATS, which rates third in the NBA. On Wednesday night at Indiana, the Bucks breezed to a 119-100 victory as 11-point favorites.
Los Angeles sports the league’s second-best record, at 47-13 SU (33-26-1 ATS). The Lakers suffered a surprising road loss to Memphis on Saturday, but bounced back with wins over host New Orleans and visiting Philadelphia. The Lakers went off as 12.5-point home favorites against the 76ers on Tuesday and narrowly cashed in a 120-107 win.
“The number has kind of bounced around. We’re seeing more Lakers money and more Over money,” Osterman said of line movement for this 10:30 p.m. ET showdown. “The sharps haven’t gotten involved yet.”
The total opened at 223 Thursday morning and shot up to 228.5 by Friday morning.
Utah Jazz at Boston Celtics – Open: -2; Move: -2.5; Move: -2; Move: -1.5
Boston is a modest 5-3 SU in its last eight games, but cashed seven times in that stretch and is a league-leading 38-21-2 ATS. The Celtics (42-19 SU) beat Cleveland 112-106 laying 4 points on the road Tuesday.
Utah followed a four-game skid by winning three in a row, including the first two matchups of a current four-game road swing. On Wednesday, the Jazz beat New York 112-104, but came up just short of cashing as 8.5-point faves.
“We’re seeing a lot of parlay money on the Celtics, but the line is moving opposite the money,” Osterman said of activity for this 8 p.m. ET tipoff.
Boise State Broncos vs. No. 5 San Diego State Aztecs – Open: -9; Move: None
San Diego State heads into the Mountain West Conference tournament semifinals aiming to move one step closer to a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. The top-seeded Aztecs (29-1 SU, 18-11 ATS) dispatched No. 9 seed Air Force 73-60 as hefty 17-point favorites in Thursday’s quarterfinals.
No. 5 seed Boise State is a modest surprise semifinalist, after taking down tournament host UNLV on the fourth-seeded Rebels’ home court. The Broncos (20-11 SU, 19-11 ATS) went off as 1-point underdogs, on the same floor where they lost by 10 in the Feb. 26 regular-season finale, but claimed a 67-61 victory Thursday.
“Good two-way action. More straight bets on Boise State, but more parlay money on San Diego State,” Osterman said of action for a 9 p.m. ET matchup. “A little bit of sharp money coming in on Boise State, but not enough to move the line yet. We’re holding steady at San Diego State -9.”
Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets – Open: +125; Move: +120; Move: +115; Move: +120; Move: +124; Move: +120; Move: +115; Move: +117; Move: +120; Move: +122; Move: +120
Vegas is on a roll of late, winning nine of its last 10 games while moving to the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference. The Golden Knights (37-23-6-2) blanked New Jersey 3-0 as -305 favorites Tuesday.
Winnipeg is on the outside looking in for the postseason right now, sitting 10th in the West, though with the same point total (74) as eighth-place Vancouver. The Jets (34-26-3-3) beat Buffalo 3-1 as -158 faves Tuesday.
“We’re seeing money from the sharps come in against the Knights,” Osterman said this afternoon of an 8 p.m. ET puck drop. “The Jets were as high as +124 and as low as +115, and are sitting at +120 now. Public money is showing on the Knights, as usual. Not enough to overpower the sharps yet. We would need the Knights if the game started now.”