There has been another noticeable market move to the Pittsburgh Pirates.
I wrote about this last week when the baseball betting boards lit up like a Christmas tree on the Buccos against the Cardinals in game two of their doubleheader. St. Louis opened as a -185 favorite in that spot and it was bet all the way down to -150. Pittsburgh won that game and swept the double dip.
Today at around 3:30 pm Eastern time, the Cubs-Pirates section of my odds screen started flashing red. When the screen turns red, there's a move in the market that's happening right now. Money was coming in on the underdog Pirates and on Under 9.5 runs. The market flickered on and off for about 10 minutes.
Here we go again.
Pittsburgh was +185 this morning – they're currently +155 at PointsBet. The total has also crept down from 9.5 flat to 9.5 u-120. A couple books have moved as low as 9 o-120. So somebody somewhere is betting respectable money on the Pirates and the Under. Moreover, somebody is betting on righty Joe Musgrove to at least be competitive in tonight's game.
Chicago and Pittsburgh definitely exerted enough energy last night in an 11-inning affair that lasted four hours and 10 minutes. On top of that, they also had to sit through a lengthy rain delay. Perhaps fatigue plays into this one for the hitters?
Sometimes you've just got to follow the money. Especially when it coincides with the Pittsburgh side. With Kyle Hendricks on the hill, I like my chances with the Under more than I do with the Pirates. Hendricks is one of the only Cubs starters (along with Yu Darvish) that can go six innings in his sleep. That eliminates the risk of the awful Cub bullpen having to throw a huge chunk of innings.
Play on the Cubs-Pirates Under 9.5 runs (-115).