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Odds and Ends

MLB picks and predictions for September 5

by Covers.com
Updated On: September 5, 2020, 5:03 pm ET

 

MLB picks for today

San Diego Padres vs Oakland A's

 

The Oakland A’s host the San Diego Padres in an intriguing matchup of two teams with World Series aspirations. The Padres and A’s have 23 and 22 wins respectively so far this season and Saturday’s matchup should be a good one as Chris Paddack toes the rubber against Sean Manaea.  

Paddack responded to a rough start by allowing just two unearned runs on five hits while racking up eight strikeouts over six innings against the Rockies. And to be fair, his ERA is ballooned thanks to just two poor starts. Otherwise, he’s been pretty solid with a 1.20 WHIP and a 5.3 strikeout-to-walk ratio.

He faces an A’s lineup that is getting the job done right now, but the overall numbers haven’t been great. They rank 26th in batting average and are hitting just .224 against right-handers, plus they strike out a ton, almost 10.5 times per game.

Manaea, on the other hand, has struggled to the tune of a 5.64 ERA while opponents are hitting a whopping .309 off him this season. And that has mostly come against teams like the Seattle Mariners, Texas Rangers, and L.A. Angels.

With the Padres owning one of the MLB’s most potent offenses and hitting .262 against lefties this season, they have a lot of value to have the lead through five innings.

PREDICTION: Padres -0.5 First Five Innings (+131)

 

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins

 

Despite his red-hot start, Kenta Maeda lost his last time out, and it was to this same Tigers team none the less. So, he’ll be out for some redemption when the two teams meet again on Saturday.

While Maeda lost that last game, he only gave up three runs on six hits, with two of those hits being solo home runs. So, in the end, it wasn’t too bad. Otherwise, frankly, Maeda has been excellent during his first season in Minnesota.

The right-hander owns a 2.53 ERA, a 0.75 WHIP, and is limiting opponents to a .163 batting average. He faces a Tigers team that has been better than expected but strikes out a ton, and Maeda has racked up 27 Ks over his last three starts.

The Tigers counter with rookie Tarik Skubal. The lefty has had a bit of a rocky start, pitching to a 6.75 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP, but is coming off his best career start against the Twins, of course, allowing two runs on three hits.

But now, the Twins are getting healthy with the return of Josh Donaldson and Byron Buxton and have been much tougher at home, where they have posted a 16-4 record. And in those wins, they've covered the -1.5 runline 12 times.

PREDICTION: Twins -1.5 (-117)

 

Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers

 

The Dodgers trading away Ross Stripling at the deadline cleared the way for Tony Gonsolin to become a permanent member of the Dodgers’ rotation.

The rookie right-hander has been excellent so far this season, pitching to a 0.51 ERA and a 0.79 WHIP over his first four starts. However, he is coming off his shortest outing of the year, lasting just three innings against the Rangers where he allowed just one run but gave up three hits and three walks. Now, he must face a Rockies lineup that, while struggling on the road, is still solid.

When it comes to pitching, the Rockies will oppose Gonsolin with German Marquez, and boy is the right-hander in a slump right now. Marquez got his 2020 campaign off to an excellent start but has been rocked lately, giving up 18 runs in his last 16 innings.

That said, Marquez’s stuff is way better than that, and he should be capable of shaking himself out of this funk, even against this Dodgers lineup. In fact, Marquez has pitched to a 2.54 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP in eight career starts against L.A. With that in mind, we are getting far too much value with the Rockies in this one, even if it’s just for the early portion of the game.

PREDICTION: Rockies +0.5 First Five Innings (+113)

 

MLB betting card for September 5

  • Padres -0.5 First Five Innings (+131)
  • Twins -1.5 (-117)
  • Rockies +0.5 First Five Innings (+113)