NO REST, NO PROBLEM
The Spurs are 4-point road favorites visiting the Hornets despite playing the second night of back-to-back contests and once again being without standout big man LaMarcus Aldridge. A lot of that spread has to do with Charlotte ranking last in the Association in points per game and being held to 100 points or less in six of its last 10 outings.
The Spurs have won 15 of the last 18 games in the head-to-head versus the Hornets and they’ve also had success playing on no rest this season, posting a 5-2 ATS record in the second night of back-to-back challenges. Look for San Antonio’s success to continue and take the Spurs 4-points.
TOTAL GOES TIMBER
The highest Over/Under total of the night is set at 247.5 points in New Orleans, where the Pelicans host the Timberwolves. These two teams both rank in the Top 10 in points per game but have been disasters on the defensive end, ranking 27th and 28th in opponent points per contest respectively.
With New Orleans and Minnesota struggling to get stops and ranking second and third in possessions per game, expect a fast-paced, high-scoring affair. Although the total is tall, we see both teams easily scoring in the 120’s and above. Bet Over the game total of 247.5 points.
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GIVE PAUL THE BALL
The Clippers have produced the second-highest points per game in the NBA over their last three outings, averaging a sky-high 123.3 points in that span. They travel to Oklahoma City to take on a Thunder team which has played well at home, averaging 113.6 points per contest inside Chesapeake Energy Arena.
Thunder veteran guard Chris Paul will have fresh legs for what should be a high-scoring shootout, having been off since February 28. Paul is extremely efficient when playing on three or more days rest, averaging 18.3 points with five rebounds and 7.5 assists in those situations. Through four contests played with extended rest, he's shooting better than 50 percent from the floor, including 41 percent from beyond the arc. Bet Over his points total of 17.5.
WIZARDS WON’T WAIT
The Kings are 5.5-point home favorites welcoming the Wizards Tuesday night. Sacramento has won five straight home contests (4-1 ATS) as well five of its last six games overall (5-1 ATS), fueled by strong play on the defensive end - holding four of its last five opponents to 105 points or less.
The Wizards have gotten out to quick starts this season, ranking eighth in first-quarter points per contest with an average of 29.1 in the opening 12 minutes. The Kings have been slow out of the blocks with only 26.1 average points in the opening quarter and have watched that production drop to 21.3 first-quarter points in their previous three showings. We see Washington jumping ahead after one frame and like the Wizards +2 in the first quarter.
The Lakers are 12.5-point home favorites versus a shorthanded 76ers squad missing Josh Richardson, Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid. Along with that lengthy injury report, the Sixers are struggling on the road, losing eight straight contests away from home (1-7 ATS).
The Lakers, on the other hand, have won eight of their last 10 games overall (6-4 ATS) and have shot above 50 percent from the floor in half of those outings. Look for L.A.’s hot hand to continue, leading to a comfortable win over a Philadelphia side missing three of its top players. Take the Lakers to cover the 12.5-point spread.