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Odds and Ends

NFL Draft Prop Bets

by Corey Parson
Updated On: May 4, 2021, 1:27 pm ET

The NFL Draft is just over a week away and what's a better way to enjoy the draft with some props! When it comes to the draft prop market, sportsbooks tend to rarely turn a profit. Therefore, when sifting through the countless amount of props, you may encounter juiced odds that could scare you away from placing the wager. I personally do not mind paying up for props if I feel very strongly about them. So with that in mind, let's break down the odds for some props that I see value on in the 2021 NFL Draft.

Ja’Marr Chase, WR LSU, Draft Position, 6.5, Over (+180) Under (-231) 

Ja’Marr Chase is the best wide receiver in this draft class and will very likely be the first wide receiver drafted next week. Chase who sat out the 2020 season was so dynamic with Joe Burrow in 2019 he was able to sit a season and still be a top draft pick.

In my opinion the first four picks on the NFL draft are already set. Things get interesting when the Bengals pick at 5. The popular thought process is that Burrow will pressure the Bengals into drafting his former LSU running mate with the fifth pick. I don’t think that's a good idea. The Bengals need to take Penei Sewell, the dominant left tackle from Oregon. Sewell will be an All-Pro for years to come at a position of need for the Bengals.  Chase could go 6th overall to the Dolphins, but at +180 I will take a shot at the Over.

Pick: Over 6.5 (+180)

Patrick Surtain II, CB Alabama, Draft Position, 10.5, Over (+115) Under (-150) 

If the name Patrick Surtain sounds familiar to you it's because it is. Surtain is the son of former Chiefs and Dolphins Pro Bowl cornerback Patrick Surtain Sr. The younger Surtain is a -300 favorite to be the first cornerback selected in this year's draft. In his three seasons in Tuscaloosa, Surtain showed that he was not just a cover corner, but he could also step up and make big tackles. The Dallas Cowboys have the 10th pick in the draft. They have a glaring need at corner after losing Byron Jones in free agency last season. If the Cowboys hold on to the pick, Surtain will not get past them. Some front office people think Surtain could go before the 10th pick. 

Pick: Under 10.5 (-150)

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Devonta Smith, WR Alabama, Draft Position, 11.5, Over (-115) Under (-115) 

The 2021 Heisman Trophy winner was amazing at Alabama, not just last season, but for his whole career. In recent years we have seen Alabama wide receivers come into the NFL and perform very well. Smith will not be an exception. When it comes to his draft stock I think Smith could start to move in the wrong direction. Recent reports say that Smith is only 166 pounds. That will scare a lot of NFL teams off. Possible durability issues could force Smith to drop on draft night. I love Smith but I will take the Over. 

Pick: Over 11.5 (-115)

Total Wide Receivers Drafted in the First Round, 4.5, Over (-228) Under (+160) 

This is one of the NFL Draft props that I don't mind paying a heavier price. The price on the Over may scare some people off, but there will be at least five wide receivers drafted in the first round of this year NFL Draft. LSU’s Ja’Marr Chase along with Alabama’s Devonta Smith and Jaylen Waddle will all be top 15 picks. Minnesota’s Rashod Bateman will be a top 25 pick. Elijah Moore (Ole Miss), Kadarius Toney (Florida) and Antony Schwartz (Auburn) will have the chance to be first round picks as well.

Pick Over 4.5 (-228)

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Corey Parson

Corey Parson is an award-winning, multi-sport fantasy and sports betting expert who has worked for SiriusXM, The Athletic, Sports Illustrated and more. He is from Harlem, NY, yet is somehow a Dallas Cowboys fan. You can follow him on Twitter @thefantasyexec.