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Odds and Ends

NFL odds: Chiefs vs. Texans 2020 season opener

by Covers.com
Updated On: May 11, 2020, 2:47 pm ET

Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs Week 1 odds

The Chiefs opened as 10.5-point favorites for the NFL Week 1 season opener.

Point Spread Houston Texans +10.5 (-110) Kansas City Chiefs -10.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total Over 56.5 (-110) Under 56.5 (-110)


Why Are The Chiefs 10.5-point favorites?

The Chiefs open defense of their Super Bowl title in prime time at home against the Texans. With any luck, that game will be contested on Thursday, Sept. 10, the planned opening date for the 2020-21 NFL season. But there’s still some uncertainty due to the COVID-19 shutdown.

Regardless, it took little time for SuperBook oddsmakers to make Kansas City a 10.5-point favorite over Houston in Week 1. Texans-Chiefs odds actually hit the board mid-afternoon Thursday, hours before the official release of the NFL 2020 schedule.

“Actually, there wasn’t much conversation. The group was all around the same numbers,” SuperBook executive director John Murray told Covers. “It could be bumped a little if the Chiefs play in front of a full home crowd, which seems unlikely, but it won’t be a huge change. Many moneyline parlays and teasers will be starting here.”

Asked if the line was based on limited or no fans, Murray said, “Kind of in between. I don’t think it makes a huge difference. But we are expecting either no crowd or just a smaller crowd of people admitted.”



Why is the Over/Under total 56.5?

With two dynamic quarterbacks on the field – the Chiefs’ Patrick Mahomes and the Texans’ Deshaun Watson – it’s easy to see why oddsmakers expect a Week 1 shootout. Houston and Kansas City met twice last season, and the Over hit in both games. The Texans notched a 31-24 road upset as 3.5-point underdogs in Week 6, and the Chiefs rallied from a shocking 24-0 deficit in the AFC Divisional Round to post a 51-31 victory as 10-point home favorites.

That first meeting barely eclipsed the 54.5 total, but the second game sailed over the 50.5-point total.

“We know that all of the Chiefs’ games are going to be high-scoring,” SuperBook manager Eric Osterman said. “Also, taking into account that there could be no crowd noise to affect the Texans’ offense, we tacked on a point or so and came to 56.5.”