LETDOWN SPOT: NEW YORK JETS AT CINCINNATI BENGALS (+3.5, 41)
The J-E-T-S are soaring on a three-game winning streak after an upset over Oakland at home in Week 12. New York last won three in a row back in 2017 (Weeks 3-5) and while these recent victories include cupcakes like the Giants and Redskins, Sunday’s 34-3 squash of the Raiders has hopes sky high in the Big Apple.
But what goes up, must come down. And it’s tough to stay that high when you’re facing a winless Cincinnati Bengals team on the road during Thanksgiving Week. The Bengals are bad but haven’t been “that” bad the past two games, covering in a 17-10 loss at Oakland and – depending on where you got Cincy +6.5 to +5.5 – keeping competitive in a 16-10 loss to Pittsburgh Sunday.
The Jets Offense, which has hung a trio of 34-point scores on the board during this streak, averages only 17.4 points per road stop. New York is 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS as a visitor this season and going back to 2015, Gang Green is a dismal 12-21-3 ATS on the road.
LOOKAHEAD SPOT: OAKLAND RAIDERS AT KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-10, 51.5)
Sunday’s divisional dance with the Raiders is an important game to the Chiefs, who are trying to fend off Oakland in the AFC West. But, as the 10-point spread indicates, it should be an easier win for Kansas City this Sunday.
Well, that’s if the Chiefs avoid looking ahead to a big-time battle with the New England Patriots in Week 14. That’s easier said than done. Kansas City is shipping up to Boston next weekend for a revenge game against Tom Brady and the Pats, who knocked off K.C. in the AFC Championship Game with a thrilling 37-31 overtime victory at Arrowhead last January.
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And while the Raiders may have been pantsed (full butt cheeks) by the Jets in Week 12, this team was riding a three-game win streak before that tough schedule spot (which we highlighted in this article last week). Sunday's spread flirted with Chiefs -9.5 before Oakland ruled out emerging WR Hunter Renfrow with a bad rib/lung injury.
SCHEDULE SPOT: GREEN BAY PACKERS AT NEW YORK GIANTS (+6.5, 45.5)
I’ll be honest: it was slim pickings for a schedule spot this week. The Thanksgiving Thursday games are always tough on teams due to the quick turnaround and distractions that come with playing on the holiday (away from family, getting tickets for everyone, postgame plans and travel).
So, we turn to the Packers, who are playing their second straight road game in Week 13 after travelling all the way to the Bay Area just to have their asses waxed by the 49ers on Sunday Night Football in Week 12. They’re now giving a near touchdown to the Giants this weekend.
Green Bay benefited from a very home-friendly slate to open the schedule – playing on the road only twice in the first seven weeks. But the Cheeseheads have hit the highway hard in the past month or so, with Sunday’s stop in East Rutherford marking their fourth road tilt in the past five outings (with a Week 11 bye thrown in there).