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Odds and Ends

NHL Best Bets: PHI vs. MTL Game 6

by Covers.com
Updated On: August 20, 2020, 7:29 pm ET

Philadelphia Flyers vs Montreal Canadiens Game 6

 

Starting Goalies

Flyers: Carter Hart - 5-2, 1.66 GAA, .944 SV%

Canadiens: Carey Price - 5-4, 1.65 GAA, .943 SV% 

Carter Hart has been outstanding throughout the regular season and postseason for the Flyers, but is coming off an ugly performance in Game 5 where he surrendered four goals on 32 shots.

The 22-year-old backstop was playing in his first back-to-back of the season and can hardly be blamed for the game-winning goal by Nick Suzuki. However, some of the earlier goals were less excusable and he can consider himself fortunate that another Suzuki score was called back for being a step offside. 

Price continues playing at the high level everybody expects from him, turning aside 26 of 29 shots in Game 5. He saved every shot at even strength and now has a sparkling 1.65 GAA with a .943 save percentage in the postseason, despite also facing the high-flying Pittsburgh Penguins in the qualifying round. 

Injuries

Flyers: Matt Niskanen D (questionable - suspension), Nicolas Aube-Kubel RW (questionable), Samuel Morin D (out), Oskar Lindblom LW (out)
Canadiens: Brendan Gallagher RW (questionable), Karl Alzner D (out)
Find our latest NHL injury reports for every game.

Betting Trend to Know

The Flyers are 9-1-1 to the Under in their previous 11 games. Find more NHL betting trends for Flyers vs. Canadiens.

Period Bet

The Flyers know the importance of drawing first blood, since they play a vastly tighter style of hockey when protecting a lead. In eight games since the restart, Philadelphia has allowed just three goals in the opening 20 minutes, with all of those coming in their two losses against the Habs. 

In nine postseason contests, Montreal has scored just five goals in the first period. Expect Philadelphia to play lockdown defense early and bet the Under on Montreal's first-period team total.

PREDICTION: First-period team total - Canadiens Under 0.5 (-122)

 

Over/Under

Although a whopping eight goals were scored in Game 5, we're expecting things to revert back to the mean for Friday's contest. After all, the last time Hart was embarrassed (after allowing four goals in Game 2) he bounced back with consecutive shutouts.

Don't forget this is still the same Canadiens lineup that scored on just 8.6 percent of their shot attempts during the regular season (seventh-worst in the NHL) going up against a Flyers defense that allowed the fewest shots in the league. 

With how well Price and Hart have generally played throughout the postseason, don't be scared off by a single high-scoring game and take the Under. 

PREDICTION: Under 5 (-109)

 

Moneyline Pick

The Canadiens looked great in Game 5. Every time the Flyers scored a goal to get back in it, Montreal immediately responded. But this is where the Cinderella Story stops for the Habs. Hart has already shown he can reset after a poor game and this Philadelphia squad simply has too much offensive talent, depth and grit for the Habs to overcome.

There were even some positive signs for the Flyers to take away from Wednesday's loss. Philadelphia generated 15 high-danger scoring chances, compared to nine for Montreal. And the Flyers power-play, which had been the bane of their offense since the restart, finally came alive in potting three goals. 

Even with two losses in this series the Flyers are 15-3 in their last 18 contests and haven't lost consecutive games since January 7. With Montreal just 1-4 in their last five games following a win, don't expect them to win two in a row against Philly. 

PREDICTION: Flyers -135

 

Flyers vs Canadiens Betting Card 

  • First-period team total - Canadiens Under 0.5 (-122)
  • Under 5 (-109)
  • Moneyline Flyers (-135)

 

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