Oilers vs Blackhawks Qualifying Round Odds
|Team||Odds to win the series|
Edmonton Oilers Stanley Cup Odds +2,500
You can't really talk about the Oilers without first mentioning McDavid and Draisaitl, who have combined for 207 points in 135 games this season. Splitting the two superstars up on separate lines has given Edmonton better balance and made them more difficult to defend against.
Edmonton has been incredible on the power play this season, converting on 29.5 percent of their chances with the man advantage. Not only is that the best mark in the league, it's more than four points higher than second-place Boston, who have a PP percentage of 25.2. The Oilers have been excellent when down a man as well, ranking second in the league on the penalty kill.
In nets, the Oilers seem perfectly happy to platoon both Mike Smith and Mikko Koskinen. They played in almost the exact same number of games this season and while Smith is the more experienced goalie, Koskinen (2.75 GAA and .917 save percentage) performed better this season.
Edmonton Oilers betting trends
- The Oilers power play percentage of 29.5 is the highest mark in the NHL over the last 40 years.
- The Oilers have an almost even distribution of scoring across all three periods, scoring 72 goals in the first period, 73 in the second and 74 in the third.
- In Leon Draisaitl's last six games against the Blackhawks, dating back to the start of the 2018-2019 season, he has scored in every contest for a total of 11 points.
Chicago Blackhawks Stanley Cup Odds +6,600
The Blackhawks finished the regular season at the bottom of the Central Division standings, despite winning five of their last seven games heading into the COVID-19 shutdown. Don't blame that poor play on their forwards though, as Kane and Toews continue to play at a high level while Dominik Kubalik, Brandon Saad and Alex DeBrincat provide depth.
Although goalie Corey Crawford has been solid for Chicago, it's the defense in front of him that's cause for concern. Duncan Keith's play has dropped off from his Norris-trophy winning days, while Brent Seabrook is unlikely to play again this season (and wasn't really that effective even when he was healthy). Chicago has allowed a league-high 35.1 shots per game, which is bad news against an efficient Oilers side that ranks fourth-best in shooting percentage.
Chicago Blackhawks betting trends
- The Blackhawks allow the second-most high-danger scoring chances in the NHL at even strength.
- The Blackhawks have the third-worst winning percentage in the league in one-goal games.
- The Blackhawks have allowed the fourth-fewest goals in the league during the first period, but the fifth-most goals in the NHL during the third.
Oilers vs Blackhawks Head-to-Head Comparison
|Edmonton Oilers||Tale of the Tape||Chicago Blackhawks|
|3.14||Goals Per Game||2.97|
|3.03||Goals Allowed Per Game||3.06|
|29.5||Power Play Percentage||15.2|
|84.4||Penalty Kill Percentage||82.1|
Oilers vs Blackhawks Picks and Predictions
Series Prediction: Edmonton Oilers -165 - Despite this matchup being between the No. 5 seed Oilers and the No. 12 Blackhawks, don't expect this to be a cakewalk for Edmonton. Chicago won two of three games against Edmonton during the regular season and with a core loaded with Stanley Cup experience, they won't be an easy out.
That said, this Blackhawks team is nowhere near as good on defense as it was during the Stanley Cup years and Edmonton's high-flying forwards will take advantage of that. Chicago allows the third-most high-danger scoring chances in the league, which will be disastrous against McDavid, Draisaitl and co.
With the two best players in this series and better special teams units on both the powerplay and the penalty kill, back the Oilers in this series.
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