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Odds and Ends

Respected money showing on Falcons tonight

by Sam Panayotovich
Updated On: October 29, 2020, 5:05 pm ET

There’s some pretty interesting reverse line movement heading into Thursday night's tilt between the Atlanta Falcons and Carolina Panthers.

PointsBet Sportsbook was dealing Carolina -2 early this morning, but with most of the money and handle on the favorite, the line has dropped to Carolina -1 with a total of 51.5. That usually means that a book has taken sizable bets on the other side.

“All the action on the spread is coming in on the Panthers right now,” PointsBet senior sports analyst Andrew Mannino told NBC Sports. “Most people just don’t believe in the Falcons. We’re looking at 79 percent of the bets and 77 percent of the handle on Carolina. The moneyline bets are a lot closer. And bettors are back to slamming the Over. More than 80 percent of the money is on the Over.”

Respected money is clearly showing up for Atlanta. Obviously, that doesn’t mean the Birds are going to win, but it’s still worth your attention. The Falcons have only one win this year and with the spread under a field goal, there’s very little margin for error.

Turning the page to the weekend, I told Mannino that one Vegas sportsbook director reported over a 15-to-1 ticket count on the Packers against the Vikings this Sunday. 

“That’s remarkable,” Mannino quipped. “We’re not quite that bad, but we’re definitely going to need Minnesota too. I think we’re going to see a number of games this week where we’re looking for an underdog to cover. You’ve got Jets-Chiefs, Titans-Bengals, Rams-Dolphins, Patriots-Bills – we’ll have a lot of one-sided situations. We’ll need one of the dogs to pull off a win. A dog or two will save our weekend.”

One game where PointsBet will not be rooting for the underdog is Pittsburgh-Baltimore. Everybody is piling on Pittsburgh and the point spread has moved from Baltimore -6 to Baltimore -3.5.

“The action we’re seeing is all favoring the Steelers.” Mannino said. “It’s wild. The Steelers are a good team, but for my money, I think it’s a decent spot for Baltimore. They took a big hit perception wise when they lost to Kansas City [last month] and there were a lot of eyes on that game. You can’t write a team off that early though. The Ravens have a chance to make a statement in this one.”

Baltimore is 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS off the bye under John Harbaugh all-time. 

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Sam Panayotovich

Sam Panayotovich is a sports betting analyst from the South Side of Chicago. He'll probably pick against your favorite team a lot. Follow him @spshoot