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Odds and Ends

Soccer odds and best bets

by Covers.com
Updated On: January 25, 2020, 10:23 am ET

NAPOLI NOT A CONTENDER

Napoli's Italian League struggles continue to stun the European soccer world as the 11th-place club in the Serie A standings looks to end a three-game losing streak Sunday against visiting Juventus. Napoli have just one domestic victory since late October and are a whopping 27 points behind Juve, who carry +105 odds into the second of two meetings between the clubs.

Juventus are headed in the opposite direction, having won five consecutive games to open up a four-point advantage over runner-up Inter; they're now -250 favorites to repeat as champion. They've also won three straight meetings with Napoli.

 

 

BAD TIME FOR A SLUMP

Valencia's chances of a Top-4 berth in La Liga – and the automatic Champions League spot that comes with it – have taken a hit in recent weeks, and might fall even further as they host Barcelona on Saturday. With just one win in their previous four league games, Valencia have dropped to seventh in the table, four points behind fourth-place Sevilla.

Things don't get any easier this weekend, with Valencia (+400) a big-time underdog against a Barca side (-163) that is unbeaten over its previous nine league matches and has lost just three of the last 31 head-to-head tilts across all competitions.

 

BORUSSIA BOUNCE BACK

An ever-so-brief cold spell was all it took for Borussia Monchengladbach to slip to third overall in the Bundesliga standings, but they'll have home-pitch advantage on their side Saturday as they tangle with Mainz. Monchengladbach (-200) are expected to return to their winning ways after claiming just one point over their previous two contests, and with seven straight domestic victories at home it's easy to see why.

Mainz (+550) have lost four of five and have just two draws to show for their previous six meetings with Monchengladbach, with their last win coming at the Telekom Cup in 2017.

 

A LILLE PROBLEM

Lille are running out of time to secure a top-3 spot in Ligue 1 as they tote a two-game losing streak into Sunday's home showdown with league-leading Paris-Saint Germain. Lille have been outscored by a combined 6-1 count in consecutive defeats to Monaco and Dijon, and are +550 to end their losing skid against a powerhouse PSG squad (-225) that has opened up an eight-point advantage over Marseille atop the standings.

While Lille have prevailed in 12 of their last 14 league games at Stade Pierre Mauroy, PSG have been on an offensive tear with 3+ goals scored in five consecutive league matches.

 

BETTING TRENDS

• Will there be goals in Saturday's Serie A showdown between host Fiorientina and Genoa? Don't be surprised to see fans on both sides go home dissatisfied; the clubs have played to a scoreless draw in three of their previous five encounters, including their last two games at Artemio Franchi Stadium. It comes with plenty of risk, but a 0-0 result (+1000) could pay handsomely.

• Something has to give Sunday when scorching-hot Lazio visit Roma. Not only have Lazio reeled off 11 consecutive victories, they've also scored 2+ goals in 13 of their previous 14. But they've managed just two total goals in their previous two trips to Stadio Olimpico. We like the visitors to end their Roma mini-slump, with the O1.5 on Lazio's team total a solid play at -110.

• Granada's feel-good story is a distant memory as they look to end their dismal road struggles Saturday at Sevilla. The recently promoted club has lost each of its last six away games in league play, and hasn't scored in its last four. With Sevilla having surrendered just eight goals in nine home games this season, the Sevilla clean sheet is in play at -125.

• Real Valladolid fared well the last time they faced Real Madrid – and they would be thrilled with a similar result as the home side in Sunday's return engagement. Valladolid pulled out an impressive 1-1 road draw last Aug. 24, and are on an incredible tie run overall with five draws over their past six matches. It might be worth an investment in the tie, which is set at +350.

• Will RB Leipzig keep the good times rolling? The Bundesliga leaders are certainly in position to do just that as they look to continue their hot stretch Saturday against host Eintracht Frankfurt. Leipzig have scored three or more goals in each of their previous nine league games, and are +162 to go Over 2.5 goals this weekend.

• Goals could be at a premium Sunday when Werder Bremen welcome Hoffenheim to Weser Stadium. Prior to a 3-2 Hoffenheim victory in their last meeting back on August 24, the teams had seen just seven total goals scored in their previous five encounters. The U2.5 play for this one is a surprising +150; it might be worth a look despite the previous result.

• Strasbourg have struggled to score on the road this season, but that might change Saturday as they tangle with host Monaco. While Strasbourg have hit paydirt in just two of their previous eight away games in Ligue 1, they've converted five straight Overs with Monaco dating back to 2017. We like the O2.5 result for this matchup at -150.

• Speaking of prolific scoring, Lyon have made life absolutely miserable for Toulouse as the French League rivals renew hostilities Sunday at Groupama Stadium. Host Lyon have scored a whopping 12 goals in the last three meetings between the teams. With Toulouse having surrendered a mind-numbing 44 goals in 20 games, the Lyon O2.5 is a strong option at +100.