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Offseason Beat

Tommy Beer’s Too Early Top-150

by Tommy Beer
Updated On: August 15, 2019, 1:00 am ET

With the draft and free agency (for the most part) in the rear-view mirror, here is my first crack at ranking the top 150 players for the 2019-20 season. It is very important to note that this ranking is based on nine-category (points, assists, rebounds, steals, blocks, 3-pointers, field goal percentage, free throw percentage and turnovers) roto scoring formats. 

I’ve added comments on a handful of players to explain the rationale behind their rankings.


1. Stephen Curry - Golden State Warriors: With KD in BK and Klay sidelined for most of the year, Steph will remind everybody why he is former back-to-back MVP
2. James Harden - Houston Rockets
3. Karl-Anthony Towns - Minnesota Timberwolves
4. Anthony Davis - Los Angeles Lakers
5. Giannis Antetokounmpo - Milwaukee Bucks
6. Paul George - Los Angeles Clippers
7. Nikola Jokic - Denver Nuggets
8. Damian Lillard - Portland Trailblazers
9. Bradley Beal - Washington Wizards
10. LeBron James - Los Angeles Lakers: King James finished 6th overall in 9-cat formats when he played in all 82 games in 2017-18, and even in a “down year” averaged 27/8/8 last season
11. Rudy Gobert - Utah Jazz
12. Andre Drummond - Detroit Pistons 
13. Jrue Holiday - New Orleans Pelicans 
14. Kyrie Irving - Brooklyn Nets
15. Kawhi Leonard - Los Angeles Clippers
16. Kemba Walker - Boston Celtics
17. Joel Embiid - Philadelphia 76ers
18. Mitchell Robinson - New York Knicks: Shot-blocking machine, who also became the first player in NBA history to shoot over 69% from the floor and 60% from the FT stripe in the same season
19. Jimmy Butler - Miami Heat
20. Nikola Vucevic - Orlando Magic
21. Devin Booker - Phoenix Suns
22. Clint Capela - Houston Rockets
23. Myles Turner - Indiana Pacers
24. Russell Westbrook - Houston Rockets: Russ finished last season ranked 32nd overall in 9-cat formats. His FG% is crippling and his counting stats will drop as his usage rate dips in Houston
25. Chris Paul - OKC Thunder
26. John Collins - Atlanta Hawks
27. Trae Young - Atlanta Hawks    
28. Mike Conley - Utah Jazz
29. LaMarcus Aldridge - San Antonio Spurs
30. Pascal Siakam - Toronto Raptors
31. Donovan Mitchell - Utah Jazz
32. Zion Williamson - New Orleans Pelicans
33. Deandre Ayton - Phoenix Suns
34. Buddy Hield - Sacramento Kings 
35. Kristaps Porzingis - Dallas Mavericks: The ultimate boom-or-bust pick. If KP can stay healthy, he could finish inside the top-15 in per-game production. However, that’s obviously a big “IF”
36. DeMarcus Cousins - Los Angeles Lakers
37. Lauri Markkanen - Chicago Bulls
38. Otto Porter - Chicago Bulls
39. Danilo Gallinari - OKC Thunder
40. C.J. McCollum - Portland Trailblazers
41. Ben Simmons - Philadelphia 76ers 
42. Kevin Love - Cleveland Cavs: Like Porzingis, Love’s fantasy production will be determined by his availability, not his talent
43. Eric Bledsoe - Milwaukee Bucks
44. Jamal Murray - Denver Nuggets
45. DeMar DeRozan - San Antonio Spurs
46. Hassan Whiteside - Portland Trailblazers: Coming off an awful season, but ready for a fresh start in POR. Whiteside ranked inside the top-40 overall in 2017-18 and 25th overall in 2016-17
47. Tobias Harris - Philadelphia 76ers
48. Kyle Lowry - Toronto Raptors 
49. Brook Lopez - Milwaukee Bucks: 3-pointers and blocks in abundance from a center
50. Bam Adebayo - Miami Heat: Can Bam take “the leap” now that Whiteside is no longer in South Beach?
51. Jaren Jackson Jr. - Memphis Grizzlies
52. Robert Covington - Minnesota Timberwolves: Injuries a definitely a major issue, but RoCo did finish inside the top-40 overall in both 2017-18 and 2016-17 
53. Zach LaVine - Chicago Bulls 
54. Al Horford - Philadelphia 76ers 
55. Draymond Green - Golden State Warriors 
56. D'Angelo Russell - Golden State Warriors 
57. Khris Middleton - Milwaukee Bucks
58. De'Aaron Fox - Sacramento Kings
59. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - OKC Thunder
60. Jayson Tatum - Boston Celtics
61. T.J. Warren - Indiana Pacers 
62. Blake Griffin - Detroit Pistons 
63. Julius Randle - New York Knicks: Needs to reduce his turnovers to become an elite fantasy contributor
64. Malcolm Brogdon - Indiana Pacers
65. Luka Doncic - Dallas Mavericks: I’m well aware most other sites will have him ranked much higher. Just be aware that Luka finished 146th overall over the final two months of 2018-19
66. Josh Richardson - Philadelphia 76ers 
67. Derrick Favors - New Orleans Pelicans: Finished 44th over the final 20 games last season while averaging just 23.7 minutes per game
68. Larry Nance Jr. - Here's why I love Nance as a value pick this season
69. Jonas Valanciunas - Memphis Grizzlies 
70. Steven Adams - OKC Thunder 
71. Terry Rozier - Charlotte Hornets
72. Marc Gasol - Toronto Raptors 
73. Jeff Teague - Minnesota Timberwolves
74. Jarrett Allen - Brooklyn Nets 
75. Delon Wright - Dallas Mavericks