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One-Week Fantasy

FanDuel Bargain Bin Week 11

by Renee Miller
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:09 pm ET

With the way NFL DFS pricing is on FanDuel this week, if you try to build a cash game lineup around a solid top tier QB, you're bound to end up feeling like it's more of a GPP lineup. There is little value to be had at RB or TE this week. So far it seems like a good week to go middle of the road at every position, and try to fit in the one stud RB, WR, or TE you really like. For me, that's Jimmy Graham. Let's get to the few deep bargains there are for Week 11.

 

Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a one-week $2.5 Million Fantasy Football league for Week 11's games. It's only $25 to join and first prize is $300,000. Starts Sunday, November 16th at 1pm ET. Here's the link.

 

QB

 

Teddy Bridgewater ($6600): Bridgewater is the 7th cheapest option for Week 11, and of the bottom of the barrel QBs, he gets the best matchup with Chicago. The Bears are difficult to predict right now, in terms of whether they are going to continue to play like it's a lost season or attempt to regain some self-respect and finish strong. Those are mainly offensive questions though, as the defense has been giving up the most fantasy points to QB for some time. Teddy has scored 9, 13, and 16 fpts in his last three games, throwing 1 TD in each. He's trending in the right direction as far as rushing yards go, and had extra time to rest his ankle over the Week 10 Bye. The Vikes might get Kyle Rudolph back this week which would be a huge boost to Bridgewater's value. 

 

Drew Stanton ($5900): We'll see Drew Stanton back in action for the Cardinals this week as Carson Palmer's season is over with an ACL tear. Stanton, in a very limited 4 game sample, has been dreadful on the road and very good at home. The Cards take on the Lions at home this week, so that's one thing in Stanton's favor. He looked good in relief last week, going 3/5 for 85 yd and a TD vs Stl. The concerns are that this game is the lowest over/under of the week at 41.5 pts and that the Detroit defense is the stingiest to opposing QB. 

 

Advice: If you're forced to use a really inexpensive QB, I do like Stanton over Ryan Mallett ($6000) or even Shaun Hill ($5000) in cash games. Much like Derek Carr last week, Hill could meet value pretty easy in garbage time vs the Broncos. While he's shown potential in years past, his first and only start of the 2014 season was forgettable and the thigh injury kept him sidelined long enough for Austin Davis to win the job. He's risky, to say the least. If I'm honest, Bridgewater is as cheap as I'll go with my lineups this week. I like Josh McCown ($7000) for some cap relief. 

 

RB

 

Trent Richardson ($5700): In the week's (year's?) highest scoring matchup between Indianapolis and New England, you'll want parts of the passing games for sure. In order to fit those pricy options in, you may need to sacrifice on your RB. Richardson has had two weeks to rest the hamstring he tweaked but he played in Week 9 and should be fully good to go. He's probably only going to see 10-15 carries, but the Colts would be foolish to not take advantage of NE's susceptibility to the run. The Pats are allowing the 7th most fantasy points to RB while making things a bit tougher on the passing game. I like Ahmad Bradshaw a lot this week as well, but he's $1800 more than Richardson on FanDuel. You're hoping for a solid 12/45/1 with maybe 2/20 receiving from Richardson to meet value.  

 

Panthers ($5700/5100/5300): Yes, the Falcons give up the most fantasy points to RB and Carolina hosts them in a divisional game this weekend. So the NFL's longest standing RBBC must be discussed. The 'RB vs Falcons' play has frustrated DFSers three times in a row as they've faced teams with unclear committee RB situations (Baltimore, Detroit, and TB) and Week 11 brings no relief. DeAngelo Williams is the most expensive, but also the most hurt (foot, ankle, thigh) and least likely to play from the sounds of things on Wednesday. Jonathan Stewart is the cheapest, but is also limited in practice with an ankle injury. He notched his third double digit fantasy day on MNF, largely due to his four receptions and of course the TD. That leaves Fozzy Whittaker ($5300) healthy. Fozzy has appeared in only two games this season, but he looked pretty good in the preseason (4.2 ypc, 2 TD). While none of these guys have impressed at all, news that Williams and Stewart were out would vault Whittaker to #1 value RB status for me. 

 

Advice: As I indicated in the intro, value RB is not a happy place to be stuck this week. I'm trying hard to afford guys like Mark Ingram ($8000) or Arian Foster ($9200) if he's healthy, but also relying on mid-range options like Jeremy Hill or Shane Vereen ($6500). If Foster doesn't play, I'd be happy to use Alfred Blue ($6400) vs Cleveland.  

 

WR


Jarvis Landry ($5700): One play for the Thursday night diehards. This ought to be a fairly low scoring game, but if TNF has anything, it has the ability to surprise us. It's an important game for both teams. Buffalo's run defense is 4th best per PFF and 3rd least generous for fantasy per ESPN. Coupled with the limited status of Lamar Miller, I think it's a safe bet that Miami will be in full on passing mode. Landry is 37/351/2 on the season with a 77% catch rate and only two drops. His usage has been steadily increasing, so much so that he recently led the Dolphins in targets, catching 8/10 in Week 10.  You really need a TD for him to meet value, but he's in a good position to catch one tonight.

 

Jordan Matthews ($5500): Taking advantage of MNF studs whose price hasn't been able to adjust is always a good strategy. It also lets me say again what a great game Mark Sanchez had last week. J/k, you guys know how I feel about that. He was lucky to not have 3-4 turnovers. And he was lucky to have Jordan Matthews, who has 5 TDs on the season now and at least three receptions in every game since the Sept. 21 breakout vs Washington. Sanchez targeted him nine times Monday night, and if he's going to be that involved in the offense for this price, I've got to consider him. On the down side, Green Bay is a totally different environment to play and cold, snowy weather is a concern. If conditions look bad, I'm less enthusiastic as there are plenty of other cheap WR options.  

 

Advice: If you like to stack a WR with your cheaper QB, I do like John Brown ($6300) this week. His best games have come with Stanton, while Michael Floyd's (same price--nice job, FD) were with Palmer. If Andrew Hawkins plays, he's a good option against a bad Texans secondary, and I like James Jones again. Hey, eight catches will go for more yardage this week in SD, I promise. Though he burned half of the DFS world last week, Davonte Adams is still cheap, still very capable, and worth a WR3 flier in your lineup if you're digging deep. 

 

TE

 

Advice: I can't believe FanDuel doesn't have Kyle Rudolph in their player pool. He's the one option I was comfortable saving money on, assuming he does indeed play this week. I'm probably splitting lineups about 75/25 between Jimmy Graham and Rob Gronkowski. If you must, here's who I've considered, but can't strongly recommend, for your bargain bin TE: 

 

Travis Kelce ($5900): He has the best matchup vs Seattle in Arrowhead. He catches nearly everything thrown his way. He's ahead of Jimmy Graham in PFF's points per opportunity metric. The Chiefs hate giving him the ball. For this, I hate the Chiefs. 

 

Mychal Rivera ($5800): He's become the most reliable fantasy option in Oakland (hahahaha, for what that's worth). The Chargers have been much more down than up as far as giving up points to TE this season though they did allow a nice game to Charles Clay in Week 9. I don't see another 4TD game from Carr, but Rivera will probably be a safe enough play to not kill your lineup. I'd just prefer some of the WR options in this price range over him. 

 

Defense


Cleveland Browns ($5200): They aren't a bargain price, but they will be a value. The Browns have been one of the most consistent defenses in football with three double digit scoring games and six games with at least eight fpts. They will face Ryan Mallett making his Texans debut. If Arian Foster is out, this is an even better call, but either way, the Browns are my go to D this week.

 

Green Bay Packers ($4800): People will think I'm just picking on Sanchez again but I'm not. The Packers D has been inconsistent this season, thus the reduced price, but they do have two 20+ fpt performances, both in home games. This game has a high point total and the Chip Kelly offense will score points. So if the Pack is to pay off, it's going to have to be on turnovers. Look, the Panthers missed opportunities to recover fumbles, make easy interceptions, and someone should have had their big feet bound as a teenager (kidding), but those opportunities were there and should be again. Much like the Eagles D did with Carolina, GB should be able to capitalize on Philly's mistakes. If it's bitter cold in Wisconsin, double the intensity with which you read what I just said.