Like last weekend, the FanDuel Must Plays for this Divisional Round will be more brief than usual. After all, we only have four games to sift for fantasy gold, as opposed to the regular 15-16 game slate.
So with that, I decided to outline three “must plays” and three “borderline” secondary plays to work into your FanDuel lineup, instead of listing the customary Platinum, Gold, Silver, and Bronze pricing categories.
Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a one-week $2 Million Fantasy Football league for the Divisional Round Weekend's games. It's only $25 to join and first prize is $200,000. Starts Saturday, January 10th at 4:35pm ET. Here's the link.
Andrew Luck (QB) – IND - $9,600
It may seem somewhat strange to pay a premium on Andrew Luck, considering that Peyton Manning cost $500 less. However, if you have the cap space, I suggest you pony up the extra cash. The Colts have leaned on Luck all season long, and they’ll likely be in “pass heavy mode” on Sunday. Earlier in the season, Luck threw for 370 yards and 2 TD’s (plus one rushing) vs Denver, and the game script could realistically call for another 50+ pass attempts.
Eddie Lacy (RB) – GB - $8,400
In my opinion, Lacy checks in as one of the best RB plays on the board for this Divisional Round. He’s averaging a consistent 20 fppg over the past two months, better numbers than counterparts Marshawn Lynch and DeMarco Murray. Dallas’ defense has been fairly generous against the run, giving up 4.2 yards per carry. As home favorites in this “Ice Bowl”, I’m expecting Green Bay to rely heavily on their run game down the stretch.
Dez Bryant (WR) – DAL - $9,000
Dez didn’t do much last game, despite the Cowboys turning to the air to inspire a 4th quarter comeback. That marks two straight subpar performances, but it would be a mistake to let that cloud your judgment completely. The Packers profile in the bottom 10 for fantasy points allowed to WR’s, creating a favorable matchup to go along with a game script that may call for more pass plays from Dallas.
Editor's Note: Recognizing NFL players who have a good chance at having a big game is only Step 1 in building a successful FanDuel lineup. Step 2 requires predicting your opponents' actions. Learn what we mean in this RotoGrinders column: "FanDuel Week 19: Pivoting Your Way To Victory".
Julian Edelman (WR) – IND - $7,300
He has been Mr. Reliable, especially over the second half of the season. The price point is extremely favorable, considering you are getting a WR1’s worth of targets (11/game over past 2 months) and production (17 fppg in past six games). It should be noted that Edelman was dealing with a concussion, but he fully expects to play on Saturday. Therefore, he should be in your lineup as an elite WR2.
Julius Thomas (TE) – DEN - $5,500
Orange Julius has been a huge disappointment down the stretch. However, a bargain salary can be considered the silver lining, which sets up perfectly against an Indianapolis team that has given up the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing TE’s. Many are expecting the real Peyton Manning to show up for this playoff game, which would be good news for this touchdown machine.
Dan Herron (RB) – IND - $6,100
The matchup isn’t great, but you are essentially choosing Herron based on price point and volume. The good news is, he’s playing a ton of snaps (75% last week), and he’s extremely active in the passing game (10 receptions in Wild Card game). Given the unpredictability of New England’s ground game, and tough matchups for similarly priced players like Jonathan Stewart and Justin Forsett, Herron becomes your best bet in the RB2 slot.
KICKER: Connor Barth – DEN - $4,700
Not much analysis needed here: Barth is kicking for the highest projected scoring team, and Denver’s elevation doesn’t hurt his cause. The weather looks decent as well.
DEFENSE: Seattle Seahawks - $5,200
This isn’t a sneaky pick by any means. You have one of the best defenses in football, playing at home against a sometimes mistake-prone QB. The last time Carolina took on Seattle, the Seahawks didn’t allow a TD. Expect things to tighten up even more with a trip to the NFC Championship on the line.