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Playing the Tips

Expert Picks: AT&T Pro-Am

by Josh Culp
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Welcome to Playing the Tips! 

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our group of fantasy staffers from Rotoworld.com. We’ll have all of our selections from the GolfChannel.com, Yahoo! Fantasy Golf, as well as One-and-Done & DFS recommendations. 

If you want a primer for the course and tournament in general before you see our picks, check out Ryan O's AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Preview first. To check out what you may have missed last week, Mo Yoshimoto has you covered in his WM Phoenix Open recap.

 

GolfChannel.com Fantasy Golf
 

Ryan O’Sullivan

@RyanGolfBlogger

2016 Earnings: $4,249,786

2016 Rank: 3,535 of 32,103
 

Group 1: Jordan Spieth

Group 2: Jimmy Walker

Group 3: Bryce Molder

Group 4: Richard H. Lee

ANALYSIS: Over the last three years, O's squad has eight top 25s at this event. Not too shabby for course history! 



Josh Culp

@futureoffantasy
 

2016 Earnings: $3,722,874

2016 Rank: 6,673 of 32,103

Group 1: Dustin Johnson

Group 2: Jimmy Walker

Group 3: Bryce Molder

Group 4: Aaron Baddeley

ANALYSIS: DJ has dominated this event with a pair of wins and four additional top 10s. I want that on my side. Walker and Molder are easy course history plays as well. Although McGirt was a close second for my Group 3 selection. Baddeley has a bit of form this season, so I like his chances in Group A as he returns to an event where he owns four top 20s. 

 

 

Mo Yoshimoto

@Bears3423

2016 Earnings: $2,782,874

2016 Rank: 14,085 of 32,103

Group 1: Jordan Spieth

Group 2: Jimmy Walker

Group 3: Jon Curran William McGirt

Group 4: Aaron Baddeley

ANALYSIS: Very similar selections here from Mo. The wildcard will be Curran, who polished off a T11 at last week's WM Phoenix Open. He followed up his last top 15 with a pair of MCs, so lets see how he reacts this time around. UPDATE: Mo replaces Curran with McGirt in Group 3. The Ryo Ishikawa pre-tourney WD (paired with Curran and replaced by Ted Purdy) was the sole catalyst. McGirt, fresh off T24 at the WMPO (T7 thru 36 holes), is paired with Justin Rose, and has posted two top 25s at Pebble Beach in his last three tries.

 
Yahoo! Fantasy Golf

*Make sure you check our Twitter accounts for any updates before the first tee ball flies on Thursday. Spyglass Hill is not a course we want our golfers to face if they don't have to in a daily sub format like Yahoo! 
 
Josh Culp

“Future of Fantasy” 
 

Last week's points: 847
Ranking: 5,412

 

Group A

Dustin Johnson: The course history makes this an easy choice. 

Phil Mickelson: With four victories at this event, Lefty is another easy choice. However, if pairing come out and he's playing the same course rotation as DJ, I will remove him since there are plenty of juicy options to choose from in Group A. 

SUPER SUBS 
Jordan Spieth, Jason Day

 

Group B


Jimmy Walker: Really finding form to start the season, but what else is new? That's what Walker does on the West Coast. Play him with confidence this week. 

Patrick Reed: Top 30s in all three trips to the AT&T Pro-Am. He was the flavor of the month in January, but the talk has simmered as his results have started to fade. I think he heats up that conversation again after another good showing this week.

Justin Rose: You can't ignore class like this. Despite having zero coruse history to rely on, Rose is a great pick to round out Group B. The fact that he's way down at the bottom of the list will likely keep his draft percentage at a low level, as well.

UPDATE: With all four golfers opening their week at Spyglass Hill, I've swapped out Rose for Matt Jones. I will let Reed and Jones kick things off in round one before subbing in the big guns. 

Brandt Snedeker: A slight, very slight letdown last week at the WM Phoenix Open. Now he's back in California, putting on poa annua greens, to attempt a title defense. A great relative boom-or-bust pick this week, which is perfect for Yahoo! scoring format. 

  

SUPER SUBS
J.B. Holmes, Brooks Koepka, Matt Jones, William McGirt

 

Group C

Daniel Summerhays: Faded over the weekend at TPC Scottsdale, but at least he made the weekend. That makes it 7-for-7 to kick off the year. Keep trotting him out in lineups until he proves otherwise. 

Kevin Na: "Settled" for a T24 last week, but still one of the hottest golfers on TOUR. Now has five top 25s in seven starts this season. Also sports top 5s in two of his last four Pebble Beach Pro-Am appearances. 
 

SUPER SUBS 
Shane Lowry, David Lingmerth

 

Ryan O’Sullivan (O)

“The Golf Aficionado”
 

Winter Segment points: 878
Ranking: 2,131

 

Group A
Dustin Johnson and Jason Day

Group B
Brandt Snedeker, Jimmy Walker, Patrick Reed, and J.B. Holmes

Group C
Shane Lowry and Kevin Na

 

Mo Yoshimoto

“@BearsGolf3423”

Winter Segment Points: 855
Season Ranking: 4,401

Group A
Jordan Spieth and Jason Day

Group B
Brandt Snedeker, Jimmy Walker, James Hahn, and J.B. Holmes

Group C
Shane Lowry and David Lingmerth

 

 

~

Daily Fantasy Sports [DFS]

I will be giving out these selections for one team each week, entered into the $3 Drive the Green contest. 

This contest has a large number of entries, with guaranteed prize payouts, which means we can't play it safe if we want to see our name at the top! 

Give DFS golf a whirl and draft your team today! 

 
DraftKings Picks:
 

Jason Day ($11,800): Returning from a missed cut and illness, gamers will likely be hesitant to re-invest. Anytime you can own the Aussie as a contrarian option, you have to take a stab. Assuming his ownership will be under 10 percent, he's one of the top GPP plays on the board this week.
 

David Lingmerth ($8,300): Three straight top 15s before a disappointing missed cut at TPC Scottsdale. This is the exact situation I like to take advantage of. His bandwagon will look awfully empty this week, but his form is just one week removed. Give him another chance. 

Daniel Summerhays ($7,500): Faded over the weekend at the WM Phoenix Open. Fear not, because he's still 7-for-7 on the season. He continues to trend toward that maiden PGA TOUR win. If he's going to be priced under $8K, I want that kind of winning upside on my squad. 

Aaron Baddeley ($7,400): In surprisingly good form to kick off the new year. Has a pair of top 10s to his name already this season. Most notable is his strokes gained:tee-to-green ranking of 65th. If Badds is gaining strokes tee-to-green then look out because his putter is always going to be there. 

Hunter Mahan ($7,800): We see his price increase 200 dollars following a missed cut. Don't let one bad week steer you clear. He still has four top 20 in his last five starts at this event! 

Jason Kokrak ($7,000): When he gets on a roll, he can plaster greens and that's exactly what he did here in 2012 and 2014 on his way to T9 and T19 finishes. His other two starts here have been MCs, which is exactly what you get with Kokrak. Boom or Bust. 

Other Picks to Consider

Matt Jones ($7,800): Has rattled off five straight cuts made, but nothing inside the top 30. Luckily, he's signed for four of those in his last six Pebble Beach appearances. 

Patrick Reed ($9,600): He might get overlooked with all the top-priced options right above him. With course horses like DJ, Walker, Phil, and Snedeker above him in salary, most gamers might be looking to the bargain-bin and straight past Reed's salary range. 
 

Phil Mickelson ($10,300): Speaking of course horses, Lefty is just that. Showed up strong at the WM Phoenix Open and we know he likes to pick off a victory before the Masters rolls around. This week is as good of opportunity for Mickelson as any. 

One-and-Done

Each week I think aloud to provide you with my One-and-Done selection as well as a few alternatives. Fade or Follow? You decide!
 

Like most weeks I want to narrow it down to course horses to begin with. This week that will lead me to Dustin Johnson, Jimmy Walker, Phil Mickelson, and Brandt Snedeker. I've already used DJ, so he's not an option for me. Makes for a great play for those who still have him available. Walker has four top 10s in his last five starts here. Mickelson has experience on his side and he's making his 20th start at the event, with four Pro-Am trophies to his name. Sneds has a pair of AT&T Pro-Am victories, but six other finishes outisde the top 20. It pains to not not take Snedeker since I saved him at the Farmers because of this event. But, now that it's decision time, I'm going with Jimmy Walker this week! 

 

Past Results:
WMPO: 
While Steele is intriguing, I couldn't ignore his play during the weekends this year, sadly pass. Simpson was next to evaluate, but I could easily think of two places to use him down the road (Wells Fargo & Wyndham) so I will let him go as well. That leaves me with two lefties that can hit it a long way. While it's easy to find place I will want to use Bubba (Masters and Travelers pop to mind), I could say the same about Phil, as well. So, I am going to stick with my gut, and the chalk, selecting Bubba Watson as my OAD pick... RESULT: He backdoored a T14 after slipping on Saturday with a 2-over 73. Not the podium finish we hoped for, but it will suffice. 

Farmers:
 This week is a relatively easy one. The Farmers has plenty of course history, unlike last week. The two names that stick out above the rest are Brandt Snedeker and Charles Howell III. Can we cross out either due to poor form? Nope. Both are playing excellent golf currently. Will we miss either of them down the road at future tournaments? Yes. Snedeker has many stops on TOUR that he enjoys. That includes Pebble Beach in just a couple weeks. So, let's save Snedeker and go with Charles Howell III this week at the Farmers... RESULT: My decision to save Sneds looked good on Friday as he snuck into the weekend. A big pile of WELP was served though as Snedeker came from behind to grab a victory. A T17 from CH3 is not too disappointing though. 

CareerBuilder: Sticking to my plan, I want as much chalk as possible. I've already used Matt Kuchar and Bill HaasZach Johnson is better left for the Crowne Plaza or John Deere Classic. I'm not high on Reed due to his poor track record on Pete Dye courses, so scratch him off, as well. That leaves me with Kevin Na for my pick this week! Given the pace of play with all the amateurs on the course this week, Na should fit right in and pick up his fourth podium finish of the season (hopefully)!... RESULT: Na pulled through with that podium finish we asked for. Successful week. 

Sony Open: My strategy is to stick to the chalk as much as possible, and try not to overthink myself out of the easy picks. This week that narrows it down to Matt Kuchar or Jimmy Walker. The latter has more pressure on him as the two-time defending champ entering the week. Therefore, I will go with Matt Kuchar this week...  RESULT: He teased us but fought his way back to a T13, which is acceptable. 
 

Hyundai TOC: "Right up the gut, and this week that gut tells me Dustin Johnson is the safest route. In 19 rounds at the Hyundai, he's never posted an over-par round. In 11 of those 19 rounds, he signed for sub-70. He hoisted the trophy in 2013 and his worst finish in five tries is a T16."... RESULT: Finished T10, not killer but I really wanted a little more out of my DJ usage.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Josh Culp
Josh Culp joined Rotoworld in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.