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Playing the Tips

Expert Picks: Byron Nelson

by Josh Culp
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Welcome to Playing the Tips! 

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our group of fantasy staffers from Rotoworld.com. 

Here is a quick rundown of what sites and formats we will cover each week: 

Page 1 will feature all of our selections for GolfChannel.com and Yahoo! Fantasy Golf.
Page 2 will go over One-and-Done as well as Daily Fantasy Golf picks. 
Page 3 will take a look across the pond with Fantasy Race to Dubai selections. 

Dave Tindall has you covered for all things European Tour. Check out his Irish Open Preview.

Ryan gives us a great look at the course and provides some power rankings to help us narrow down our list of targets: Bryon Nelson Preview.

 

To check out what you may have missed last week, Mo Yoshimoto has you covered in his PLAYERS Recap
 

Now for the picks... 
 

GolfChannel.com Fantasy Golf
 

Ryan O’Sullivan

@RyanGolfBlogger

2016 Earnings: $11,795,616

2016 Rank: 2,716 of 39,973
 

Group 1: Dustin Johnson

Group 2: Matt Kuchar

Group 3: Jonas Blixt
Group 4: Jeff Overton

ANALYSIS: This is a very safe and steady route. DJ and Kuchar are in the elite class of this field, Blixt just played well last week and also has some good showings here (T3/2012; T30/2015). Overton has a pair of top 10s at the Byron Nelson, but also seven finishes outside the top 30. 



Josh Culp

@futureoffantasy
 

2016 Earnings: $10,203,106

2016 Rank: 7,589 of 39,973

Group 1: Dustin Johnson

Group 2: Marc Leishman

Group 3: Bryson DeChambeau
Group 4: Michael Kim

ANALYSIS: I've gone with course history and class in groups one and two. For the last two picks, I went with some picks that have some local knowledge on their side. DeChambeau attended SMU so he knows Texas golf well and Kim is based out of Houston and posted top 30s in each of his past two Texas starts. 

 

 

Mo Yoshimoto

@Bears3423

 

2016 Earnings: $10,958,249

2016 Rank: 4,871 of 39,973

 

Group 1: Dustin Johnson

Group 2: Matt Kuchar

Group 3: Jon Curran
Group 4: Tim Wilkinson

ANALYSIS: There is no complaints whenever DJ and Kuchar are picked. The last two are wildcards but they have a combined three top 25s in six visits to TPC Four Seasons. Not Bad. 

 
Yahoo! Fantasy Golf

*Make sure you check our Twitter accounts for any updates before the first tee ball flies on Thursday. Change in weather, tee times, etc. can always lead to last-minute changes and we will let you know through our social media channels. 
 
Josh Culp

“Future of Fantasy” 
 

Spring Points: 907
Spring Rank: 
24,981
Full Season Points: 
2,970
Full Season Ranking: 2,128

 

Group A

Keegan Bradley (8): He's the course horse this week. Has Paul Tesori on the bag (this week only) and could find a nice spark on greens he's putted well on in the past. Spieth will be the chalk pick here, but I wanted to separate AM/PM waves and DJ trumped Spieth for my PM slot. 

Dustin Johnson (6): He's the safe option this week, with winning upside, of course. Has also gone 25 stroke-play starts without a win. You could say he's due. 

SUPER SUBS 
Sergio Garcia, Jordan Spieth, Tony Finau, Gary Woodland

 

Group B


Graham DeLaet (8): It always comes down to the flat stick for the Canuck. The greens this week are tricked out, and it shows with some of the past winners here. DeLaet has a pair of top 10s here in five tries. 

Ryan Palmer (9): He's a member at nearly every club in the surrounding area, so he knows this region well. He backs up that local knowledge with play as well, posting top 35s in each of his past five visits here, three of them top 10s. 
 

Jason Dufner (9): He's been quiet lately but a favorable venue will change that. He's posted top 10s in three of his past starts here at TPC Four Seasons. Great ball-striking and easy greens to putt on. Good recipe for some of these traditionally poor putters to shine. 

Danny Lee (10): Going with some local knowledge for my second PM waver. Lee is based out of Irving, so this is a home game. He's playing much better entering the week than he was before the T13 in 2009 or T19 in 2012. 

  

SUPER SUBS
Charles Howell III, Brandt Snedeker, Charley Hoffman, Zach Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Jimmy Walker

 

Group C
Scott Piercy (10): Kuchar is a great play here, but I'm realy really low on starts. I'm opting to spread the love and hopefully not lose much ground in the process. His pop off the tee can put him in great position on a course like this weeks. Has signed par or better in nine of his 15 rounds here. Doesn't sound great, but this is a very difficult test, so he's actually gaining a lot of strokes over the field in those rounds.

Marc Leishman (9): He likes playing in the wind (which can often pop up here), he's great in Texas in general, and very good on shorter par 3s. There are three par 3s measuring under 200 yards this week, which is where the Aussie can gain some ground on the field. His track record here speaks volumes as well, top 15s in five of seven visits! 

SUPER SUBS 
Matt Kuchar, Charl Schwartzel, Bryson DeChambeau

 

Ryan O’Sullivan (O)

“The Golf Aficionado”
 

Spring Points: 1,058
Spring Rank: 
1,481
Full Season Points:
 2,985
Full Season Ranking: 1,724

 

Group A
Dustin Johnson (6) and Jordan Spieth (8)

Group B
Charley Hoffman (8), Ryan Palmer (8), Zach Johnson (8), and Jimmy Walker (5)

Group C
Matt Kuchar (5) and Marc Leishman (10)

 

Mo Yoshimoto

“@BearsGolf3423”

 

Spring Points: 976
Spring Rank: 
11,778
Full Season Points:
 2,828
Full Season Ranking: 9,508

Group A
Dustin Johnson (9) and Jordan Spieth (8)

Group B
Charley Hoffman (10), Brandt Snedeker (6), Zach Johnson (10), and Brooks Koepka (8)

Group C
Matt Kuchar (9) and Marc Leishman (9)

 

 

~

Daily Fantasy Sports [DFS]

I will be giving out selections for one team each week. 
 

This week I will enter the following lineup into the $3 Drive the Green contest. It brings the opportunity to turn three dollars into 100 thousand, so there will definitely be a lot of entries to contend with. 

This contest has a large number of entries, with guaranteed prize payouts, which means we can't play it safe if we want to see our name at the top! 


 
DraftKings Picks:
 

Keegan Bradley ($7,900): There are quite a few reasons to like Bradley this week. First, his course history is off the charts. Second, most gamers have had enough of his up-and-down (mostly down) play, and will refuse to roster him. Getting the course horse at a cheap price and relatively low ownership is always nice. 

Dustin Johnson ($11,900): Another golfer with good results here at TPC Four Seasons. He's a proven winner and the salary saving from Keegan allows us to pay up here. 
 

Charles Howell III ($8,200): He was one of the hottest golfers on TOUR just a few weeks ago. Then he missed the cut at a few venues where his track record was spotty. This week, his course history is not elite, but much better than the last few weeks. Time to get back on board. 

John Huh ($6,900): The Dallas resident has a couple of top 20s here at TPC Four Seasons. He loves playing in Texas, so I'm willing to risk it for this price. 
 

Danny Lee ($8,600): Exactly like Huh above, this Irving resident has some success here. Lee is a class above Huh on a weekly basis, so that explains the price jump we have to swallow here. 

Michael Kim ($6,400): Making his course debut, but that's been the case all year and he's posted a 14-for-18 record so far. It's ocing on the cake that Kim also bases himself out of Houston now, so he'll be just fine with Texas golf. 

Other Picks to Consider
Marc Leishman ($9,500): If you want to take a balanced approach this week, then try swapping DJ for Leishman. Using him as your anchor will give you an average salary of $8,100 for the five remaining spots. 

Scott Piercy ($8,000): Top 30s in three of his five starts here. With his injury worries a thing of the distant past, he's playing some of his best golf again. Value play here.  
 

Tony Finau ($8,100): Took a quick liking to TPC Four Seasons witha  T10 in his debut. That's even with a short par 4 being converted to a par 3. Realistically, you'd expect Finau to have an edge over the field on a 400-yard par 4 but no advantage on a 100-yard par 3. Should like the course even more this time around. 

One-and-Done

Each week I think aloud to provide you with my One-and-Done selection as well as a few alternatives. Fade or Follow? You decide!
 

The first group of golfers to consider this week will come in the form of course horses: Jason Dufner, Scott Piercy, Keegan Bradley, Marc Leishman, Charles Howell III, Graham DeLaet, and Dustin Johnson. I don't think you need to stray from this list because it brings plenty of firepower and you won't miss most of these guys down the road. 

Personally, I've used Piercy, DJ, CH3, and DeLaet. With Dufner, Keegan, and Leishman as my options, I will go with Marc Leishman this week. I acutally like the fact that he is the only one of the three that hasn't won here. With top 15s in five of his seven trips here, he has GREAT memories, but he still feels like urge to improve and take home the hardware. 

 

Past Results:
THE PLAYERS:
An epic fail for my pick as I wasted a top-five player in the World, Jordan Spieth, on a missed cut. 

Wells Fargo Championship: Woodland managed a T24. Not the best finish, but at least we didn't waste an elite pick on a tournament that was won by James Hahn

Zurich Classic: We may have got a win if weather cooperated, but Jason Day still pieced together a T5, which isn't crippling. 

Valero Texas Open: Got our first win of the calendar year thanks to Charley Hoffman finally closing the door on Sunday!

RBC Heritage: Chalk this one up as a failure. The Englishman Matthew Fitzpatrick missed the cut by one stroke and still claims Harbour Town Golf Links is his favorite course on TOUR. Remember that next year when the RBC rolls around. 

Masters Tournament: Adam Scott was looking like a missed-cut candidate through day one, but fought back to a T42. Very disappointing given it was a major championship and the second option was Jordan Spieth ($851K more earnings).

Shell Houston Open: Phil Mickelson really took advantage of all the ball-washing opportunities at the Golf Club of Houston. Unfortunately, they weren't free, and they cost him by week's end. Still, a T13 is not the end of the world. 

Puerto Rico Open & Match Play: DeLaet came through with a T11 (another one!) while Paul Casey disappointed at the Match Play as he attempted to play through a stomach bug.  

Arnold Palmer Invitational: Despite an early double in round one, Rose bounced back and hung around near the top for most of the week. A finish of T9 will suffice, but we're still looking for a big winner.  

Valspar: Didn't trust any of the course horses, so I went with Stenson and got a T11 out of it. This is not my seventh finish between 10th and 17th since the start of 2016. 

WGC-Cadillac: A T3 for Rory McIlroy as he recorded just one birdie in the final round. Slightly disappointing. 

Honda Classic: T61 for Donald as he performed the worst of the three I had narrowed down. Our worst showing yet, but at least he made the cut! 

Northern Trust: I didn't get a win, but I chose the second-best option of the five I was considering. Holmes and his T11 will suffice. 

AT&T Pro-Am: A third-round 63 saved the week for Jimmy Walker as he finished T11. Not terrible, but Phil obviously would have been the best pick of the three I had it narrowed down to. 

WMPO: Bubba Watson backdoored a T14 after slipping on Saturday with a 2-over 73. Not the podium finish we hoped for, but it will suffice. 

Farmers: My decision to save Sneds looked good on Friday as he snuck into the weekend. A big pile of WELP was served though as Snedeker came from behind to grab a victory. A T17 from Charles Howell III is not too disappointing though. 

CareerBuilder: Kevin Na pulled through with that podium finish we asked for. Successful week. 

Sony Open: Matt Kuchar teased us but fought his way back to a T13, which is acceptable. 
 

Hyundai TOC: Dustin Johnson finished T10, not killer but I really wanted a little more out of my DJ usage.

 

~

 

2016 Fantasy Race to Dubai

 

Dave Tindall is our main man in Europe. In addition to his weekly previews of European Tour events on Mondays, he’ll share his selections and analysis for the Fantasy Race to Dubai at EuropeanTour.com.

 

Format: Pick 6 golfers. Players accumulate points based on Race to Dubai (R2D) points earned. Captain’s points are trebled and vice-captain’s doubled. Unlimited team changes can be made each week.

 

Team Tindall (Team name: YESSIR!)

 

Last week: Up six spots in Morocco, down nine in Mauritius. Whatever. Let’s stop this treading water nonsense and make a serious move in Ireland.

 

Position: 6,853

 

 

This week:

 

Rory McIlroy (captain): When reviewing my Fantasy League performance last year, I concluded that Rory simply had to be put up as the main man any time he played on the European Tour. I won’t sway from that despite three straight MCs in his home Open. At least they were on different courses; hopefully he’ll find his mojo at the K Club.

 

Shane Lowry (vice-captain): Shocked the golfing world (apart from those with inside info who backed him at 500/1) when he won this event as an amateur in 2009. It wouldn’t be a surprise this time as he’s now a WGC winner. Lowry showed some good signs at Sawgrass and looks ready to peak again in front of his home Irish fans.

 

Joost Luiten: A bunch of good form this year and has two top 10s from his four Irish Open starts. That includes second place at Carton House when he last played it in 2013. Didn’t compete at Sawgrass so will be fresh but also eager as he knows he should be playing in big events like The PLAYERS Championship.

 

Rafael Cabrera-Bello: A surprise star on the PGA TOUR this season, he’s got a great record in this event despite it moving around Ireland. Fifth in 2013, runner-up in 2012 and a shot out of last year’s play-off after bogeying the 72nd hole.

 

Danny Willett: The Masters champion (how good does that sound, Danny!) narrowly missed the cut at Sawgrass but this looks a good chance for him to showcase why he’s now a major champion. He loves the Irish Open and has form figures of 6-3-10 in the last three years. Every reason to believe that he can continue that top 10 streak.

 

Ross Fisher: The English have a fine record in this event so I’ll add Fisher to my squad. Top six in Spain recently and 11-for-11 since November, Fisher really leaps off the page due to his excellent record in Ireland. He won this event at Killarney in 2010, has three other top 10s and a further three top 25s.

 

 

Matt Cooper joins Dave Tindall as a part of our European team. He contributes to player news, and he’ll share his selections and analysis for the Fantasy Race to Dubai at EuropeanTour.com.
 

Team Cooper (Team name: NormanStanleyFletcher)

 

Last week: Transpired it was a mistake not to believe Wang could maintain his great form, but otherwise not too bad in another week that was tough to call. Next few weeks should be less volatile to call.

 

Position: 2,844

 

Shane Lowry (captain): Liked his T16 last week at the Players and can see him really getting on a roll, prompting the locals to roar their approval. Lives nearby so will have experience of the course and is a past winner on a Palmer track (in Portugal).

 

Rory McIlroy (vice captain): Clearly not firing on all cylinders, but ultimately I'd rather have him on the team that take a bigger guess with someone else. I'm figuring the missed cuts in this event can't last forever and the parkland venue should help that.

 

Joost Luiten: Simply cannot overlook the form: 8 of 10 starts this year top 15. If the track seemed unsuitable I'd have swerved, but no reason to think he won't like it.

 

Bernd Wiesberger: He's 28-for-31 on the European Tour and has a solid event record. Course should be ideal match for his game.

 

Lee Westwood: Course winner with a solid bank of form above and beyond that, including the Ryder Cup. Let's see if he can start churning out some good weeks off the back of that T2 at the Masters. No better venue to be inspired by the thought of making his best friend's Ryder Cup team.

 

Thomas Pieters: Palmer courses often reward aggressive drivers of the ball and Pieters excels with that kind of test. Expecting a good start to the summer for the Belgian.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Josh Culp
Josh Culp joined Rotoworld in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.