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Playing the Tips

Expert Picks: Byron Nelson

by Josh Culp
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Welcome to Playing the Tips! 

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our fantasy staffers at Rotoworld.com. 

Page 1 is going to look at GolfChannel.com's fantasy game and also the PGATOUR.com's Fantasy Game. 

Page 2
 will have a look at One-and-Done options as well as Daily Fantasy Sports picks (FanDuel and DraftKings). 

Page 3 looks at European Tour's Race to Dubai.


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Golf Channel (PlayFantasyGolf.com)

Josh Culp 

“@FutureOfFantasy”


Last Week Points:
450.5
Last Week Rank: 2,860th

Jordan Spieth ($33,300)
Beau Hossler ($25,000)
Harris English ($14,600)
Shawn Stefani ($11,100)
Hunter Mahan ($8,700)
Will Zalatoris ($7,200)

Analysis: Going with the Trinity Forest member trio of Spieth-Mahan-Hossler. Following that up with up-and-coming Zalatoris who attended high school at TCA just down the street. Stefani and English are the two wildcards. Both have some success at TPC Southwind where zoysia and bermuda is used. 


Mo Yoshimoto

 “@BearsGolf3423”

 

Last Week Points: 404.5

Last Week Rank: 5932

 

Matt Kuchar ($33,200)

Charles Howell III ($29,400)

Johnson Wagner ($11,300)

Joel Dahmen ($9,900)

Joaquin Niemann ($8,300)

Maverick McNealy ($7,900)

Analysis: Loading up on Kuchar and CH3 who both start their week on Thursday morning. Padded the team with a pair of past World No. 1 amateurs, Niemann and McNealy. 

PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf presented by SERVPRO

Josh Culp

“@FutureOfFantasy”

 

Last Week Rank: 12,003

Season Rank: 3,184 *Did not play most of Segment 1*

 

Starters:

Jordan Spieth
Beau Hossler
Matt Kuchar
Sergio Garcia

 

Bench:

Hideki Matsuyama
Adam Scott

 

Mo Yoshimoto

“@BearsGolf3423”

 

 

Last Week Rank: 15283

Season Rank: 852


Starters:

Billy Horschel

Charles Howell III

Matt Kuchar

Beau Hossler

 

Bench:

Jimmy Walker

Jordan Spieth

~


One-and-Done

Each week I will think out loud about my process in determining my One-and-Done selection. If you are new to the One-and-Done format, it is like an NFL survivor league. You pick one golfer per week, but you can't use them again all year. 

Made a major blunder last week with Rory McIlroy even though I knew he'd be a better option down the road. Time to bounce back this week. 

This isn't any course history this week so let's keep things simple. Looking at adjusted strokes gained per round in 2018, here are the top 15 performers:  


Jordan Spieth
Charles Howell III
Branden Grace
Marc Leishman
Hideki Matsuyama
Martin Laird
Matt Kuchar
James Hahn
Rory Sabbatini
Joaquin Niemann
Beau Hossler
John Huh
Kevin Na
Jimmy Walker
Scott Piercy

The winner gets a smooth $1.38 Million this week but the overall purse is just $7.7 Million. For that reason, I will avoid the obvious pick of Jordan Spieth. If this was a 5-and-Done, he'd be locked in for sure. Actually, I already used him but the same logic applies for anyone that is considering Spieth. He has a high chance of winning this week but a top-heavy, non-win result will be worth much less than week compared to a major or WGC. 

Instead, I will pop down to #11 on the list and go with Beau Hossler this week. In this field, only Sabbatini, Spieth, and CH3 have gained more adjusted strokes in 2018. Add in the fact that Hossler practices out of Trinity Forest, and this is an easy decision. 

Daily Fantasy Sports [DFS]

I will be giving out selections for one team for each DFS site, per week. 
 

These lineups will be entered into a large-entry Guaranteed Prize Pool. That means we need to take a risk or two, in order to separate ourselves from the field. 

The idea is to provide you a list of names to consider. I would not recommend copying these teams, golfer for golfer. Duplicate teams are no fun and don't help anyone. 


FanDuel Picks:

Jordan Spieth ($12,900): Doesn't have much success at the Byron Nelson but a change of venues (to one of his home courses) should help change that. 
 
Beau Hossler ($9,500): Home game for Hossler who has been eyeing the winner's circle all season. 
 
Grayson Murray ($9,300): This big hitter has added consistency to his game since the early struggles last year. He's also proven to love putting on bermuda which is what he'll see at Trinity Forest. 
 
Marc Leishman ($11,200): Firm and fast suits this Aussie who tends to pop from time to time at The Open Championship. 
 
Scott Piercy ($9,600): The Vegas resident is very comfy in the warm weather that we'll see this week in Dallas. A recent team win has his confidence high. 
 
Will Zalatoris ($7,500): Went to school at Trinity Christian just down the road. He's very familiar with the course and the area in general. That's a good recipe for success when it comes to an up-and-comer who may struggle with comfort on a week-to-week basis. 

 


DraftKings Picks:
 

Beau Hossler ($9,000): Had a near miss in Houston. Now he gets a home game here at Trinity Forest. 

Branden Grace ($9,400): Noted links specialist but does he play so well on links due to the grass types? Hopefully not because this week's zoysia and bermuda combination won't be like any of the courses back in Europe or South Africa. 

Keith Mitchell ($7,800): This Georgia Bulldog has been flirting with the first-round lead in nearly every start it seems. Now, he gets the dew-sweeping position on Thursday which may lead to another low opener. 

Joaquin Niemann ($7,800): Playing for his TOUR status, we know Niemann will stay focused for the entirety of the week. Already flashed a big game in Texas with a top 10 at the Valero. 

Grayson Murray ($8,200): Loves bermuda and loves racking up birdies and eagles. He's the type of golfer that will outscore his finishing position more often than not.  

Bill Haas ($7,500): Ending this team with the steady, cut-making option. That's all we need out of him at this price. 

 

 
~

2018 Fantasy Race to Dubai



Dave Tindall is our main man in Europe. In addition to his weekly previews of European Tour events on Mondays, he’ll share his selections and analysis for the Fantasy Race to Dubai at EuropeanTour.com.
 
Format: Pick 6 golfers. Players accumulate points based on Race to Dubai (R2D) points earned. Captain’s points are doubled. Unlimited team changes can be made each week.
 
Team Tindall (Team name: YESSIR!)


Last week: Took a punt on Guerrier as skipper. He's the 36-hole leader, one back after 54 but finishes T6, two behind everyone's captain Andy Sullivan. That's the way it's gone. Down 37.

Position: 8,886th

Joost Luiten (captain): New venue but Luiten has excellent form at the course from both Amateur and Alps Tour days. A win and two other top tens in his last five starts.

Jorge Campillo: Wouldn't be the first time a player is throwing all around the bullseye in strokeplay (four recent top fives) but then nails it when the format changes. Another who did well here in amateur days.

Adrian Otaegui: Only win came in a different format (Paul Lawrie Match Play) and he's been super-consistent in recent times. Looks a solid bet to make the weekend and hopefully can kick on from there.

Andrea Pavan: Putts well and racking up the top 25s (seven in his last eight starts). Consistency hopefully gets rewarded this week.

Thomas Detry: Under less pressure than tournament host Thomas Pieters and T6 the last time he played on home Belgian soil (Challenge Tour event).

Jordan Smith: Classy Englishman made the top three in China last time so gets the final place.



 
Matt Cooper is part of our European team. He contributes to player news, and he’ll share his selections and analysis for the Fantasy Race to Dubai at EuropeanTour.com. He was the winner of the Ladies European Tour’s Fantasy League in 2011.
 
Team Cooper (Team name: NormanStanleyFletcher)
 

Last week: Lagergren did the business and Sullivan wore the armband in style. Back in three figures. Tricky week ahead though.

Position: 893rd

Joost Luiten (captain): Likes parkland golf, not far from home, as relentless as they come at this level and has T4 on the track as an amateur.

Thomas Pieters: Every chance that his links to organisation and promotion of the event will be a distraction, but a good chance he'll thrive on it too. In an event with a bigger purse I might have swerved on the 50-50 call, but this week I'm happy to hope for the best.

Adrian Otaegui: The strong vein of form is the real factor, but the format being a little bit reminiscent of how he won last August is no bad thing.

Thomas Detry: With the new format and the almost completely unknown course it's hard to get a grip of angles. As with Pieters, a bigger purse would see me favor the quality types. Instead I'll take the home factor to work.

Haydn Porteous: Due a good week and I'm hoping to steal a march given that few will be backing him to produce it.

Callum Shinkwin: Can't lie - a total hunch that the course will suit him.

 

Josh Culp

Josh Culp joined NBC Sports Edge in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.