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Playing the Tips

Expert Picks: Farmers

by Josh Culp
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Welcome to Playing the Tips! 

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our group of fantasy staffers from Rotoworld.com. We’ll have all of our selections from the GolfChannel.com, Yahoo! Fantasy Golf, as well as One-and-Done & DFS recommendations. 

 

Farmers Insurance Open

GolfChannel.com Fantasy Golf
 

Ryan O’Sullivan

@RyanGolfBlogger

2016 Earnings: $2,466,879

2016 Rank: 7,074 of 30,483
 

Group 1: Jason Day Update: Swapping in Rickie Fowler for Day.

Group 2: Brandt Snedeker

Group 3: Charles Howell III

Group 4: Scott Stallings

ANALYSIS: Another week, another Howell III selection. And why not? He's scorching currently with top 20s in 6-of-7 to kick off the new season. Day, Snedeker, and Stallings are all past winners at this event so course history is the theme of the week here.



Josh Culp

@futureoffantasy
 

2016 Earnings: $1,974,725

2016 Rank: 11,766 of 30,483

Group 1: Jason Day Update: Swapping in Dustin Johnson for Day.

Group 2: Brandt Snedeker

Group 3: Charles Howell III

Group 4: Carlos Ortiz

ANALYSIS: Just one tweak from O's lineup, and thas is Carlos Ortiz in group 4. The youngster posted nine top 25s during his rookie season but is 0-for-6 in that regard thus far. This is the perfect spot for him to get back in contention as he's long off the tee and finished T11 here last year.

 

 

Mo Yoshimoto

@Bears3423

2016 Earnings: $1,381,962

2016 Rank: 18,925 of 30,483

Group 1: Jason Day

Group 2: Brandt Snedeker

Group 3: Charles Howell III

Group 4: Harold Varner III

ANALYSIS: It appears we officially have a trend here. All three of us have selected Day, Snedeker, and CH3 to start off our squads. Could the Expert Chalk Curse take hold or does this trio get the job done? Only one way to find out.

 
Yahoo! Fantasy Golf

*Make sure you check our Twitter accounts for any updates before the first tee ball flies on Thursday. Tee time pairings and/or weather scenarios can always lead us to change our lineups prior to lock. 
 
Josh Culp

“Future of Fantasy” 
 

Last week's points: 377
Ranking: 3,851


Group A

Jason Day: Makes his way back to defend his title. We saw him shake off the cob webs at the Hyundai TOC. His closing round of 8-under 65 is a promising sign that he's ready to roll again. Update: With flu-like symptoms causing Day trouble, there is no need to risk it here. I will be swapping out Day and putting in Keegan Bradley in his place. Fowler also makes a good choice here.

Dustin Johnson: Enters with disappointing course history, but is a great fit on paper. I consider Day to be a safe play, so I really want the highest chance of bonus points in this second slot. I say DJ is that guy. It helps that he goes off on the South Course first while the Aussie will take on the easier, North Course on Thursday.

SUPER SUBS 

Phil Mickelson, Rickie Fowler

 

Group B

Charles Howell III: A perfect combination of form and course history. Enters with top 20s in six of seven to open the season. Course history? He sports top 10s in six of 13 starts at the Farmers, with zero missed cuts.

Hideki Matsuyama: Will not have any trouble with the length of Torrey Pines South. It will come down to the flat stick, which was his demise last year when he missed the cut here. As long as he has an average week putting, I see a top 25 in his future. Better than average? Well, he could certainly be in contention come Sunday.

Brandt Snedeker: Mister poa greens himself is a lock-o-matic at this event where he owns top 10s in five of nine tries. To pile on, he also grabbed a T9 at the 2008 U.S. Open here at Torrey Pines.

Justin Rose: Just like DJ from group A, Rose doesn't have the coruse history you would expect. Combine that with the fact he's way down at the bottom of the list this week and he's makes a perfect play as a golfer with great upside but low ownership.
  

SUPER SUBS

Patrick Reed, J.B. Holmes, Harris English, Jimmy Walker

 

Group C

Brendan Steele: The California native was right in the thick of things last week before a final-round implosion dropped him outside the top 30. No matter, he should bounce back in a big way as he's 4-for-5 in his career at Torrey Pines, with three top 30s. He's always got that low round in his back pocket, which is great for Yahoo scoring purposes.

Update: Yahoo! has added Patrick Rodgers to the player pool, so I will be using Rodgers over Steele in this roster spot.

Paul Casey: Class is permanent, which is why I want the Englishman on my squad, despite his lack of recent play. He ended 2015 with five straight top 25s, so we know his game is in a good place. With his announcement that he will be sticking to the PGA TOUR full-time, I think we can say his mind is in a good place, as well.
 

SUPER SUBS 

Bill Haas, Jamie Lovemark

 

Ryan O’Sullivan (O)

“The Golf Aficionado”
 

Winter Segment points: 534
Ranking: 9,446

 

Group A
Jason Day and Phil Mickelson Update: Swapping out Day and replacing with Rickie Fowler

Group B
Brandt Snedeker, Charles Howell III, Jimmy Walker and Hideki Matsuyama

Group C
Bill Haas and Jamie Lovemark

 

Mo Yoshimoto

“@BearsGolf3423”

Last week's points: 241
Season Ranking: 10,167

Group A
Jason Day and Gary Woodland

Group B
Brandt Snedeker, Charles Howell III, Jimmy Walker and Graham DeLaet

Group C
Bill Haas and Smylie Kaufman

 

 

~

Daily Fantasy Sports [DFS]

Josh will be giving out his selections for one team each week, entered into the $3 Drive the Green contest.

This contest has a large number of entries, with guaranteed prize payouts, which means we can't play it safe if we want to see our name at the top!

Give DFS golf a whirl and draft your team today!

 
DraftKings Picks:
 

Patrick Reed ($10,600): After he disappointed many gamers as one of the highest owned last week, I'm ready to get on board. The hope is that his ownership plummets, but his upside remains.
 

Charles Howell III ($9,400): The new sticks are treating him well as he continues to rack up top 20 after top 20. His course history is just as good as his current form, which makes him a lethal play this week.

Patrick Rodgers ($7,600): The second Patrick on our squad, this one is making his first start of the calendar year. Fear not, because he ended the fall in GREAT form, posting top 20s in five of his six starts. Don't worry, being a professional golfer is like riding a bike, you can hop back on at any time. Unless you're like the six percent of Americans that don't know how to ride a bike.

Smylie Kaufman ($7,300): The LSU product is tearing through his rookie season. He's tallied four top 25s in seven starts, failing to miss a cut along the way. He's also establishing himself as one of the longest drivers on TOUR, which is great on a setup like Torrey Pines South which is insanely long, just under 7,700 yards.

Tony Finau ($7,500): A Saturday meltdown prevented him from playing last Sunday, as he missed the cut by one measly stroke. Luckily we get away from the treacherous bermudagrass greens that he seems to hate, and turn our attention to poa annua. This bomber has top 25 written all over him.

Harold Varner III ($7,000): Have you picked up on the theme yet? It's bombs away this week at Torrey Pines. HV3 is last on our list, but he's just as long as everyone else on this squad. The dabbing up-and-comer can rack up birdies in a hurry.

Other Picks to Consider

Brandt Snedeker ($10,700): He didn't fit the mold of our bomb squad, but his course history makes up for that. An easy pick at the top here. Warning: He WILL be highly owned this week.

J.B. Holmes ($9,300): Mister Holmes could have easily fit the theme of our orginal team, but his price just wasn't doing it. That being said, he makes a great play this week on a course that is perfect for his play style. 
 

Jamie Lovemark ($8,300): Just like the free space in Bingo, this is a free spot on DraftKings this week as he should see remarkable ownership levels. In a large-entry GPP like this one, we don't need to tag along for the ride. Still a great selection given his current form of three straight top 10s paired with his local knowledge. 

One-and-Done

Each week I think aloud to provide you with my One-and-Done selection as well as a few alternatives. Fade or Follow? You decide!
 

This week is a relatively easy one. The Farmers has plenty of course history, unlike last week. The two names that stick out above the rest are Brandt Snedeker and Charles Howell III. Can we cross out either due to poor form? Nope. Both are playing excellent golf currently. Will we miss either of them down the road at future tournaments? Yes. Snedeker has many stops on TOUR that he enjoys. That includes Pebble Beach in just a couple weeks. So, let's save Snedeker and go with Charles Howell III this week at the Farmers.
 

Past Results:

CareerBuilder: Sticking to my plan, I want as much chalk as possible. I've already used Matt Kuchar and Bill Haas. Zach Johnson is better left for the Crowne Plaza or John Deere Classic. I'm not high on Reed due to his poor track record on Pete Dye courses, so scratch him off, as well. That leaves me with Kevin Na for my pick this week! Given the pace of play with all the amateurs on the course this week, Na should fit right in and pick up his fourth podium finish of the season (hopefully)!... Na pulled through with that podium finish we asked for. Successful week.

Sony Open: My strategy is to stick to the chalk as much as possible, and try not to overthink myself out of the easy picks. This week that narrows it down to Matt Kuchar or Jimmy Walker. The latter has more pressure on him as the two-time defending champ entering the week. Therefore, I will go with Matt Kuchar this week...  He teased us but fought his way back to a T13, which is acceptable. 
 

Hyundai TOC: "Right up the gut, and this week that gut tells me Dustin Johnson is the safest route. In 19 rounds at the Hyundai, he's never posted an over-par round. In 11 of those 19 rounds, he signed for sub-70. He hoisted the trophy in 2013 and his worst finish in five tries is a T16." ... Finished T10, not killer but I really wanted a little more out of my DJ usage.

 

 

Josh Culp
Josh Culp joined Rotoworld in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.