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Playing the Tips

Expert Picks: Safeway Open

by Josh Culp
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Welcome to Playing the Tips! 

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our fantasy staffers at Rotoworld.com. 

Page 1 is going to look at GolfChannel.com's fantasy game and also the PGATOUR.com's Fantasy Game. 

Page 2
 will have a look at One-and-Done options as well as Daily Fantasy Sports picks (FanDuel and DraftKings). 

Page 3 looks at European Tour's Race to Dubai.

Look for a new schedule starting next week but for now, the picks will be laid out as above, as you are used to if you've been reading all year. 

Editor’s Note: With over 15,000 reviews, DRAFT is the highest rated fantasy sports app. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link.

 

 

PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf presented by SERVPRO

Josh Culp

“@FutureOfFantasy”

 

Last Week Rank: N/A

Season Rank: N/A, New Season

 

Starters:

Ryan Moore
Brandt Snedeker
Patrick Cantlay
Emiliano Grillo

 

Bench:

Phil Mickelson
Patrick Rodgers

 

Mo Yoshimoto

“@BearsGolf3423”

  

Last Week: N/A

Season Rank: N/A, New Season

 

Starters:

Brendan Steele

Emiliano Grillo

Chez Reavie

Brandt Snedeker

 

Bench:

Joaquin Niemann

Patrick Cantlay

 

Golf Channel (PlayFantasyGolf.com)

The GolfChannel fantasy game will return for the Tournament of Champions. 

~


One-and-Done

Each week I will think out loud about my process in determining my One-and-Done selection. If you are new to the One-and-Done format, it is like an NFL survivor league. You pick one golfer per week, but you can't use them again all year. 

I cashed in both of my One-and-Done leagues so I'm going to stick with the same (or similar) process this year. The goal is to find top-heavy potential and not get too carried away with future events. The exceptions are elite golfers (top 10 or so golfers) which I want to save for the biggest purses. 

Let's start our search with a weighted look at course history since Silverado started hosting:


Brendan Steele (T21-T17-WIN-WIN)
Phil Mickelson (T8-T3)
Martin Laird (T3-T64-T8-T17)
Chez Reavie (T53-T17-T22-T13)
Emiliano Grillo (WIN-T26-T28)
Scott Piercy (MC-T3-T17)
Tyrone Van Aswegen (T73-T3-MC-T9)
Bud Cauley (T50-T7)
Bill Haas (T20-T17)
Chris Kirk (T81-T8-T30)
Fabian Gomez (T17-T26-T43)
Ryan Moore (T10-T17)
Jamie Lovemark (T48-T20-T43)
Tyler Duncan (T5)
Chesson Hadley (T57-MC-T3)

 

After history, we can look at baseline performance over the last few years. More recent results are weighted more heavily: 

Patrick Cantlay
Phil Mickelson
Joaquin Niemann
Brandt Snedeker
Ryan Moore
Emiliano Grillo
Luke List
Russell Henley
J.B. Holmes
Bill Haas
Brendan Steele
Chez Reavie
Russell Knox
Adam Hadwin
Jason Dufner

Looking for overlap we see a few names pop up: Phil Mickelson, Ryan Moore, Emiliano Grillo, Bill Haas, Brendan Steele, and Chez Reavie

Haas has been a shell of himself since the car accident. I will pass there. 

Mickelson is arriving straight from Paris. I will pass. 

Steele is back-to-back champ here but arrives in sub-par form. I will use him in other formats but not One-and-Done. 

That narrows it down to Moore, Grillo, and Reavie. 

Reavie is more of a top-20 guy so I will pass there. We're looking for winners in One-and-Done or at least top 5s. 

Grillo is a past champ here and he's returned to post a pair of top 30s. Not bad. 

However, Ryan Moore still grades out slightly better in terms of top-5 probability for me. Moore is enticing to save for the CIMB but there is no guarantee he'll even make the trip this year. I will use the best option available this week which I think is Ryan Moore


Daily Fantasy Sports [DFS]

I will be giving out selections for one team for each DFS site, per week. 
 

These lineups will be entered into a large-entry Guaranteed Prize Pool. That means we need to take a risk or two, in order to separate ourselves from the field. 

The idea is to provide you a list of names to consider. I would not recommend copying these teams, golfer for golfer. Duplicate teams are no fun and don't help anyone. 


FanDuel Picks:

Brandt Snedeker ($12,000): He loves poa annua and he's not afraid to bring that up, whenever possible. Five of his wins have come on poa annua greens. Don't be scared of the price tag, Sneds brings winning upside which is perfect for GPPs. 

Beau Hossler ($10,800): One of the best at starting fast. The next step for the youngster is to finish off tournaments. Heading home to California, I like his chances of playing himself into contention. 
 
Anirban Lahiri ($9,200): This course doesn't demand distance which is good for Lahiri as most of his success has come on tracks that are shorter and allow plenty of wedges and short irons. He can rack up birdies quickly when he gets those scoring clubs in hand. 
 
Patrick Rodgers ($9,000): Has a T6 on his Silverado resume. Still looking for that breakout win and this is a good spot to give it a run. 
 
Chez Reavie ($9,500): This straight shooter has finished T17-T22-T13 his last three trips to Silverado Resort and Spa. 
 
Martin Laird ($8,800): Loves it in California and loves these green complexes that force you to hit a high ball. 

 


DraftKings Picks:
 

Ryan Moore ($10,700): Top 20s in both visits to Silverado Resort and Spa. 
 
Patrick Cantlay ($11,600): Making his course debut but he's a native Californian so these poa annua greens will be no trouble for him. His ball-striking travels well.  
 
Maverick McNealy ($6,500): Another California kid, McNealy hasn't burst onto the scene quite yet but we know the talent is there. Opened with 68-71 here last year before weekend rounds of 73-74. If he gets in that spot again, I like his chances to finish better this time around. 
 
Carlos Ortiz ($6,800): He's 12-for-12 since becoming a father. Some of his best career finishes have come on poa annua greens which is what he grew up on. A bit of a long shot but a long shot I'm willing to take a risk on. 
 
Fabian Gomez ($6,600): His fairways-and-greens style of play is put to good use on a classical course like Silverado Resort and Spa's North Course. He's finished T17-T26-T43 in three tries here. 
 
Dylan Frittelli ($7,600): Has spent most of his 2018 on the Euro Tour where he ranks inside the top 20 in Tee-to-Green play. That makes him a great DFS target early in the fall, or until his salary catches up to his talent. 

 
~

2018 Fantasy Race to Dubai



Dave Tindall is our main man in Europe. In addition to his weekly previews of European Tour events on Mondays, he’ll share his selections and analysis for the Fantasy Race to Dubai at EuropeanTour.com.
 
Format: Pick 6 golfers. Players accumulate points based on Race to Dubai (R2D) points earned. Captain’s points are doubled. Unlimited team changes can be made each week.
 
Team Tindall (Team name: YESSIR!)


Last week: Finished in the top 500 on the week in Portugal, leading to rise of 300 spots overall.

 

Pos: 6,762

 

Chris Wood (captain): After three second places this year, perhaps he's saving himself for an event he'd love to win. 4-9-7-15 the last four years and T12 in Portugal last time.

 

Shane Lowry: T6 in Portugal two weeks ago added to the belief that he's in his best form of the season. Lots of good form here as you'd expect from a links specialist.

 

Erik Van Rooyen: Under the radar so a great contrary option. The South African shone on the links in the Irish Open and at Carnoustie in the summer and has stayed hot since.


Eddie Pepperell: A run of five top tens in seven starts began with second place in the Scottish Open followed by T6 at Carnoustie. T7 here last year after a closing 65 at the Old Course.

 

Tyrrell Hatton47-under for the last two years here and going for a Three-peat. On a high after Ryder Cup triumph.

 

Tommy Fleetwood: Ryder Cup star has a great record in the event and I'll give him the benefit of the doubt in terms of being fatigued.


 
Matt Cooper is part of our European team. He contributes to player news, and he’ll share his selections and analysis for the Fantasy Race to Dubai at EuropeanTour.com. He was the winner of the Ladies European Tour’s Fantasy League in 2011.
 
Team Cooper (Team name: NormanStanleyFletcher)
 

Last week: Made a little ground on the leaders, but it seems a long time ago even it was just over a week. Was the Ryder Cup really only three days?

Position: 817th

Branden Grace (captain): The former winner of the event loves links golf and finds a way of peaking for this week.

Tommy Fleetwood: Got to be a worry that he will suffer a huge dip post-Ryder Cup glory, but he might also notch a nice top ten. Six top 25s, three of them top fives.

Tyrrell Hatton: Ditto from above, but the difference being that he might feel he still has something to give and might also be enthused rather than fatigued. Back-to-back tournament winner.

Matthew Southgate: Sooner or later he surely must have a good week here? Winner at St Andrews as an amateur, Carnoustie member, links specialist.

Eddie Pepperell: In the form of his life and adores links golf. If he bags himself a good amateur who keeps his brain engaged he could go far.

Shane Lowry: Loves the Old Course, plays links superbly, never outside the top 25 in his last five starts here, surely sore to have missed the Ryder Cup?

 

Josh Culp
Josh Culp joined Rotoworld in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.