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Playing the Tips

Expert Picks: St. Jude Classic

by Josh Culp
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Welcome to Playing the Tips! 

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our fantasy staffers at Rotoworld.com. 

Here is a quick rundown of what sites and formats we will cover each week: 

Page 1 will feature all of our selections for GolfChannel.com and Yahoo! Fantasy Golf.

Page 2 will go over One-and-Done as well as Daily Fantasy Golf picks. 

Page 3 will take a look at the European Tour, with the Fantasy Race to Dubai.

Before we look ahead, Mo Yoshimoto takes a look at last week's action in his Memorial Tournament Recap.

  

Now for the picks... 
 

GolfChannel.com Fantasy Golf
 
Josh Culp

@futureoffantasy
 

Last Week: 294 points

Last Week Rank: 6,708
 

Phil Mickelson ($33,100)
Peter Uihlein ($17,800)
Ben Martin ($13,900)
Scott Stallings ($11,800)
Nick Watney ($10,800)
Camilo Villegas ($10,700)
 

ANALYSIS:  Took a stand with Mickelson at the top, which left my remaining salary in the dumps. Thought Uihlein was underpriced and Villegas has loads of course history. Ben Martin grabs my attention whenever we see bermuda greens. Stallings has Tennessee ties and plenty of course experience under his belt.
 

Ryan O’Sullivan
@RyanGolfBlogger

 

Last Week: 308.5 points

Last Week Rank: 5,720

 

Kyle Stanley ($23,400)
Fabian Gomez ($17,700)
Stewart Cink ($16,200)
Kevin Tway ($15,400)
Seung-yul Noh ($15,000)
Ben Crane ($8,600)

ANALYSIS:  Crane, Gomez, and Noh bring in good course history while Stanley, Tway, and Cink bring the recent form.

 

Mori Yoshimoto
@Bears3423


Last Week: 321.0 points

Last Week Rank: 4,868

 

Brooks Koepka ($33,200)

Harold Varner III ($19,900)

Seung-Yul Noh ($15,000)

Scott Stallings ($11,800)

Sam Saunders ($11,300)

Shawn Stefani ($8,800)

 

ANALYSIS: Mo's strategy this week appears to be stacking as many 'S' names as possible. In all seriousness, he mixes course history and recent form here with a heavy emphasis on course history.

 
Yahoo! Fantasy Golf

*Make sure you check our Twitter accounts for any updates before the first tee ball flies on Thursday. Change in weather, tee times, etc. can always lead to last-minute changes and we will let you know through our social media channels. 


This week's Strategy: Pretty calm weather this week, so I'm not worried about starting tee-time waves. Given the huge dropoff in field strength, I am perfectly fine ignoring tee-time waves entirely. With the U.S. Open on deck, one potential strategy would be to target golfers that are on the bubble of earning their way in. I wouldn't lean to heavily on that myself, but it is a possibility.
  

Josh Culp
“Future of Fantasy” 

Last Week Points: 88
Segment Points: 1,337
Segment Rank: 4,410
 
Season Points: 2,939
Season Rank: 9,497

Group A

Rickie Fowler (7): Playing great golf and we've seen him win before a major before (2015 Scottish Open). 

Adam Scott (4): He doesn't play frequently enough to worry about saving starts. I will start with Scott in Round 1 and plan to play him rounds 2 and 4, as well. 

=SUPER SUBS =

Graeme McDowell, Smylie Kaufman
 

Group B

Francesco Molinari (5): Not many studs in Group B this week, but Molinari has plenty of top-20 potential. 

Phil Mickelson (6): Has three podiums in his last four starts here. Still hasn't won at TPC Southwind, but this could be the week.
 

Kevin Chappell (10): Found his groove when he switched back to his old clubs at the Masters. Looks like normal Chappell since then. Given our options in Group B, he's a pretty easy choice.

Sung Kang (8): Debated a high-upside but out of form Russell Knox or William McGirt who is in better form but not as much upside. Ultimately went with the hot hand, Kang, who has played well enough this season to pick up a win. Don't want to miss out on that bonus if he finally pops this week but I'm not planning on heavy usage here. I plan on starting Phil in all four rounds and alternating the other three in and out. 
  

=SUPER SUBS=
Russell Knox, William McGirt, Jim Furyk

 

Group C
Peter Uihlein (10): A lot of decent options in Group C so I'm hoping Uihlein gets overlooked. He qualified for the U.S. Open via sectional qualifying but he's not going to let this rare sponsor's invite goto waste. 

Brooks Koepka (7): Went to check out Erin Hills on Tuesday which says he's fully ready for TPC Southwind or it says he doesn't care about TPC Southwind. Given his track record of T19-T3-T2 here in three tries, I think he's ready to battle this course with minimal prepartions. 
 

=SUPER SUBS=
Daniel Berger, Charl Schwartzel, Ryan Palmer

 
 

Ryan O’Sullivan (O)
“The Golf Aficionado”

Last Week Points: 110
Segment Points: 1293
Segment Rank: 8993

Overall Points: 3129
Overall Rank: 1209

 

Group A

Rickie Fowler (5) and Adam Scott (7)


Group B

Phil Mickelson (6), Francesco Molinari (10), Kevin Chappell (7) and Harris English (10)

Group C

Brooks Koepka (9) and Billy Horschel (9)

 
 

Mo Yoshimoto
“@BearsGolf3423”

 

Last Week Points: 70

Spring Points: 1,336

Spring Rank: 4,469

Full Season Points: 3,214

Full Season Ranking: 232

 

Group A

Adam Scott (6) and Rickie Fowler (8)


Group B

Phil Mickelson (9), Kevin Chappell (7), Francesco Molinari (7) and Scott Brown (9) 

Group C

Harold Varner III (10) and Brooks Koepka (8) 

 

~

Daily Fantasy Sports [DFS]

I will be giving out selections for one team each week. 
 

These lineups will be entered into a large-entry Guaranteed Prize Pool. That means we need to take a risk or two, in order to separate ourselves from the field. 

I would also advise you to change a roster spot or two if you are trying to enter this lineup yourself. Duplicate entries are no fun. 

 
FanDuel Picks:
 

FanDuel is back and they have a new format. You no longer have to split your lineup into pre-cut and post-cut sections. A very good change, so let's see what we can put together. 

Peter Uihlein ($7,000): Trying to play his way onto the PGA TOUR, this week presents a good opportunity against a weaker field. It's not dissimilar to the fields he is used to seeing on the European Tour where he's posted five straight top 35s. 

Phil Mickelson ($9,700): 
Podiums in three of his last four TPC Southwind starts. Good enough for me.

Kevin Chappell ($7,400): Has had a few weeks to cool down after his breakthrough win. Gained 5.8 strokes off-the-tee in his lone appearance at this event en route to a T22.  

Ian Poulter ($7,100):
FanDuel's scoring format penalizes double bogeys and worse. Poulter is generally steady and avoids the big numbers. 

Camilo Villegas ($5,800): Looking for a low-owned pick, we can search through the course history vaults and see Villegas has seven top 20s in 11 starts here at TPC Southwind.

Kyle Stanley ($6,800): 
 He was a key piece to winning lineups on FanDuel last week, as he was very highly owned. I expect more of the same, but this time I'm jumping along for the ride.

With two spots remaining, we have $16,200 left to work with. Golfers that could fill the final two spots: Ryan Palmer, Russell Henley, Francesco Molinari, Billy Horschel, Peter Uihlein, Sung Kang, Charl Schwartzel, Daniel Berger.

DraftKings Picks:
 

Phil Mickelson ($10,200): Has three podium finishes in his last four trips to TPC Southwind. 

Brooks Koepka ($11,500): 
A stellar track record here just like Lefty. Koepka has played here three times and recorded finishes of T19, T3, and T2.

Peter Uihlein ($7,200): Earned his way into the U.S. Open but he still has a sponsor's invite to take advantage of this week. High upside pick here that doesn't break the bank. 

Camilo Villegas ($6,700):
Plenty of good form from the trio above, but Villegas doesn't fit that bill. Instead, he brings course history with seven top 20s in 11 starts here. 

Luke List ($6,600): Has found himself in a bit of a slump (MCs in five of last six). A return to Tennessee might be just what the Vandy product needs to crack the code. Produces birdies in bunches so we really just need him to get through the cut. 

Ian Poulter ($7,600):  Looking for a safe option to round out the squad, Poulter provides the cut-making skills we need. He hasn't played here since 2014 but recorded a T6 in his last appearance at TPC Southwind.

 

 

One-and-Done

Each week I think aloud to provide you with my One-and-Done selection as well as a few alternatives. Fade or Follow? You decide!
 

Last week my pick Tony Finau rallied to make the cut but then sputtered on Sunday. I think we can do better this week.

First, let's have a look at some courses horses:

Phil Mickelson (T11 or better in Last 4)
Brooks Koepka (T2-T3-T19)
Seung-Yul Noh (T7-T3-MC-T7)
Daniel Berger (WIN)
Camilo Villegas (Seven top 20s in 11 starts)
Ben Crane (10-for-11 including WIN)
Harris English (T26-T45-MC-WIN)
Fabian Gomez (MC-WIN-MC-T15)
Boo Weekley (9-for-11 including T8 and T4)
Brian Gay (11-for-17 including WIN and three other top 10s)

From there, let's hit the magnifying glass backwards to look at long-term performance on the PGA TOUR and Euro Tour since 2014

Adam Scott
Rickie Fowler
Jim Furyk
Phil Mickelson
Francesco Molinari
Brooks Koepka
Charl Schwartzel
Ryan Palmer
Daniel Berger
Russell Knox

 

A few golfers check the box in both long-term skill AND course history: Phil Mickelson, Daniel Berger, and Brooks Koepka.

I've already all three so it's time to rethink the plan. 

While he doesn't have a long track record here, Rickie Fowler finished T13 in his only appearance. He arrives in great form and he likes to peak before a major championship. We saw that was true when he won the 2015 Scottish Open before the Open Championship.

I will ride the hot hand and use Rickie Fowler this week. 
 

Season Tracking

Wins: 2
Top 10s: 11
Top 25s: 15
Missed Cuts: 5
Total Picks: 29

~
Fantasy Race to Dubai

Dave Tindall is our main man in Europe. In addition to his weekly previews of European Tour events on Mondays, he’ll share his selections and analysis for the Fantasy Race to Dubai at EuropeanTour.com.

 

Format: Pick 6 golfers. Players accumulate points based on Race to Dubai (R2D) points earned. Captain’s points are doubled. Unlimited team changes can be made each week.


Team Tindall (Team name: YESSIR!)

 

Last week: Minor drop last week despite good finishes by Coetzee and Olesen.

 

Position: 1,923

 

This week: 

 

Bernd Wiesberger: Ultimate no-brainer. One of the European Tour’s most consistent players on home soil. Has a win, a second and three other top 15s at Diamond CC in six starts.


Joost Luiten: Picks himself on course form figures of 6-3-1-3. Dutchman has been consistent this season but this is the perfect venue to step it up.


Gregory Bourdy: Frenchman is a real course horse here with 6-6-8-18 on his four visits. T21 at Nordea on Sunday suggests he’ll take his usual place on the leaderboard.


James Morrison: Didn’t make weekend at Wentworth but he’s been strong for most of the season and can shine in events of this level. Showed it last year when T4.


David Horsey: Nice mix of course and current form. Has two top 10s in last four Euro Tour events (India and Italy) while he was T9 here in 2014.


Benjamin Hebert: Top 10 in Sweden last week and now heads to a course where he’s 4-for-4, including T6 on last but one visit.

 
 

Matt Cooper is part of our European team. He contributes to player news, and he’ll share his selections and analysis for the Fantasy Race to Dubai at EuropeanTour.com.

Team Cooper (Team name: NormanStanleyFletcher)

Last week: Managed to bag both the second placed golfers and slightly gutted it only merited a move of 90 spots. Onwards and upwards though.

Position: 779th

Bernd Wiesberger (captain): An obvious pick, maybe, but why make him captain rather than one of the next three selections? A hunch that he’s due to take this title again.

Joost Luiten: Never outside the top six in four rides across the course, leaving him out would be foolhardy.

Gregory Bourdy: A nice warm-up last week in Scandinavia. Four top 20s from four visits and twice a contender.

James Morrison: Finished in the top five 12 months ago and has been ultra-consistent all season until the missed cut at Wentworth. I’ll forgive that.

Zander Lombard: Can’t decide if he is banging on the door of the Tour’s winner’s room or hesitantly tapping when he should be knocking. Whatever, nearly won in Sicily and nearly won here 12 months ago.

Benjamin Hebert: A nice performance last week when T8 and he has a nice log book on the course, including T6 in 2012.

Josh Culp

Josh Culp joined NBC Sports Edge in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.