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Playing the Tips

Expert Picks: Travelers

by Josh Culp
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Welcome to Playing the Tips! 

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our fantasy staffers at Rotoworld.com. 

Page 1 is going to look at GolfChannel.com's fantasy game and also the PGATOUR.com's Fantasy Game. 

Page 2
 will have a look at One-and-Done options as well as Daily Fantasy Sports picks (FanDuel and DraftKings). 

Page 3 looks at European Tour's Race to Dubai.


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Golf Channel (PlayFantasyGolf.com)

Josh Culp 

“@FutureOfFantasy”


Last Week Points:
188.5
Last Week Rank: 7,857

Webb Simpson ($32,900)
Keegan Bradley ($21,400)
Brandt Snedeker ($17,700)
C.T. Pan ($10,800)
Vaughn Taylor ($9,400)
Troy Merritt ($7,700)

Analysis: Trying a balanced attack of stars at the top while taking some risks on Taylor and Merritt. Taylor has been solid when he actually tees it up and Merritt has a sneaky run of form going. 


Mo Yoshimoto

 “@BearsGolf3423”

 

Last Week Points: 158.0

Last Week Rank: 11257

 

Patrick Reed ($33,300)

Paul Casey ($33,200)

C.T. Pan ($10,800)

Aaron Baddeley ($9,800)

Troy Merritt ($7,700)

Dylan Meyer ($4,900)

Analysis: Riding the hot hand with Reed and Merritt. Meyer also popped last week at the U.S. Open. C.T. Pan has been posting steadily improving results lately. 

PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf presented by SERVPRO

Josh Culp

“@FutureOfFantasy”

 

Last Week Rank: 345

Season Rank: 2271 *Did not play most of Segment 1*

 

Starters:

Patrick Reed
Webb Simpson
Keegan Bradley
Bubba Watson

 

Bench:

Paul Casey
Brandt Snedeker

 

Mo Yoshimoto

“@BearsGolf3423”

 

Last Week Rank: 19361

Season Rank: 965

 

Starters:

Xander Schauffele

Patrick Reed

Daniel Berger

Paul Casey

 

Bench:

Marc Leishman

Webb Simpson

~


One-and-Done

Each week I will think out loud about my process in determining my One-and-Done selection. If you are new to the One-and-Done format, it is like an NFL survivor league. You pick one golfer per week, but you can't use them again all year. 

Took Koepka a week early but Dustin Johnson wasn't so bad himself last week at Shinnecock Hills. 

Let's lead things off this week with some tournament history, looking at weighted course history with an emphasis on the last 10 years: 


Bubba Watson (9-for-11 with TWO WINS)
Charley Hoffman (7-for-8 with three top 10s)
Brendan Steele (6-for-7 with six top 25s)
Paul Casey (2-T17-T5)
Marc Leishman (7-for-7 with four top 20s including a WIN)
Keegan Bradley (7-for-7 with six top 40s)
Daniel Berger (T5-2)
Webb Simpson (8-for-8 with three top 15s)
Patrick Reed (4-for-6 with three top 20s)
Ryan Moore (9-for-10 with six top 20s)
Patrick Rodgers (4-for-5 includiing a T3)
Brandt Snedeker (5-for-6 with three top 15s)
Hunter Mahan (11-for-16 including a WIN and two RUNNER-UPs)
Chris Stroud (9-for-9 with four top 20s)
Jim Furyk (4-for-6 with two top 5s)

After history, we can look at baseline performance over the last few years. More recent results are weighted more heavily: 

Jordan Spieth
Jason Day
Rory Mcilroy
Paul Casey
Justin Thomas
Patrick Cantlay
Brooks Koepka
Marc Leishman
Patrick Reed
Webb Simpson
Bubba Watson
Daniel Berger
Zach Johnson
Brandt Snedeker
Ryan Moore

Looking for overlap we see a few names pop up: Paul Casey, Marc Leishman, Patrick Reed, Webb Simpson, Bubba Watson, Daniel Berger, Brandt Snedeker, and Ryan Moore

That is a really large list of overlapping names which tells us the cream usually rises to the top here and those same stars often return for seconds. 

It seems like it'll be hard to go wrong from this list but inevitably some will finish better than others (obviously).

Personally, I'm going to ride the hot hand with Patrick Reed. He hasn't flirted with a missed cut since his last missed cut at the Honda Classic. He's been inside the top 35 thru 36 holes in seven straight starts. That is the kind of stress-free cut-making I like to see. Here at the Travelers he's posted top 20s in three of his six visits so the upside is still there. 


Daily Fantasy Sports [DFS]

I will be giving out selections for one team for each DFS site, per week. 
 

These lineups will be entered into a large-entry Guaranteed Prize Pool. That means we need to take a risk or two, in order to separate ourselves from the field. 

The idea is to provide you a list of names to consider. I would not recommend copying these teams, golfer for golfer. Duplicate teams are no fun and don't help anyone. 


FanDuel Picks:

Patrick Reed ($11,600): Has five top 10s in stroke-play events since the beginning of March. 
 
Justin Thomas ($12,300): Now playing the cat-and-mouse game with DJ for World No. 1. JT has a chance to pick up some points this week on a course that should allow him to hit plenty of wedges into greens. That's worked well for him at the CIMB Classic. 
 
Rory Sabbatini ($8,900): Hasn't missed a cut in a solo event since last October. That includes top 30s in four of his last five. 
 
Kyle Stanley ($8,900): Fairways and greens... that's the name of the game for this noted ball-striker. 
 
C.T. Pan ($8,600): Sometimes he's challenged by the length of courses but that's not the case this week on a 6,841-yard layout. Could be the breeding ground for a breakout win. 
 
Keegan Bradley ($9,700): Playing close to home, this one means a lot to Keegan. One of the best ball-strikers in the world too. That never hurts. 

 


DraftKings Picks:
 

Patrick Reed ($10,000): Riding a red-hot run of form since March and his win at the Masters certainly boosted his confidence. Not that it needed a boost. 

Rory Sabbatini ($7,200): Has five rounds of 66 or better over his last three starts. 

Kyle Stanley ($7,700): His ball-striking is steady but his results are not. He's posted top 15s in two of his last four starts, though, so the upside is there. 

Patrick Cantlay ($8,400): TPC River Highlands is the site of his lowest round on the PGA TOUR (10-under 60). It's actually his lowest round by five whole strokes. 


Zach Johnson
($8,200): He's roared out of the gate here at TPC River Highlands. He's been T16 or better after R1 in six of his last seven starts here. Just needs to piece that together for the entire week. 

Keegan Bradley ($7,900): He's 7-for-7 here and considers this a home game of sorts. 

 

 
~

2018 Fantasy Race to Dubai



Dave Tindall is our main man in Europe. In addition to his weekly previews of European Tour events on Mondays, he’ll share his selections and analysis for the Fantasy Race to Dubai at EuropeanTour.com.
 
Format: Pick 6 golfers. Players accumulate points based on Race to Dubai (R2D) points earned. Captain’s points are doubled. Unlimited team changes can be made each week.
 
Team Tindall (Team name: YESSIR!)


Last week:
 Had Reed but no Fleetwood so yet another week of frustration and a step in the wrong direction.

 
Pos: 8518

Tommy Fleetwood (captain): Top six in this event after a big US Open performance last year so happy that he can repeat the trick after his superb second place at Shinnecock.

Andy Sullivan:
 Three top sevens in his last four European Tour starts and some solid course form too.

Thomas Pieters:
 The closer we get to the Ryder Cup, the more I expect his performances to improve. Not qualifying for the US Open will have irritated him.

Matt Wallace:
 Already a two-time winner at European Tour level but still underrated. Missed the cut at the US Open but mixing it with the elite again should have a positive effect.

Alexander Bjork:
 Course debut but excellent win in China recently and looks a good fit for this course given his strong approach play.

Mike Lorenzo-Vera:
 Another chance to get that elusive first win. T9 on last start at course and lots of strong recent form. 


 
Matt Cooper is part of our European team. He contributes to player news, and he’ll share his selections and analysis for the Fantasy Race to Dubai at EuropeanTour.com. He was the winner of the Ladies European Tour’s Fantasy League in 2011.
 
Team Cooper (Team name: NormanStanleyFletcher)
 

Last week: Lost ground, but far from disastrous (which the major weeks easily can be in this format).

Position: 578th

Tommy Fleetwood (captain): Played this tournament after finishing solo fourth last year and does so again this week, this time having ticked that impressive solo second. Takes a very brave gamer to leave him off the team this week.

Sergio Garcia: His form is terrible, but I'm going to work on the principle that he's good enough to find it from anywhere and that his C game is as good as 80% of the field's A game.

Martin Kaymer: I have my doubts, but ultimately everything I wrote above about Garcia applies to my theory about backing Kaymer.

Andy Sullivan: The Englishman is in lovely form with three top tens from his last four starts.

Chris Wood: Quality performer who is hungry and has T3 and T12 on the course. Signs of his hard work paying off with his efforts at Wentworth and Gardagolf.

Thorbjorn Olesen: Second on the course two years ago and a winner in Italy, although his selection does owe a little to the lack of inspiration elsewhere.

 

 

Josh Culp

Josh Culp joined NBC Sports Edge in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.