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Playing the Tips

Expert Picks: WGC-HSBC

by Josh Culp
Updated On: October 24, 2018, 9:46 am ET

Welcome to Playing the Tips! 

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our fantasy staffers at Rotoworld.com. 

Page 1 is going to look at GolfChannel.com's fantasy game and also the PGATOUR.com's Fantasy Game. 

Page 2
 will have a look at One-and-Done options as well as Daily Fantasy Sports picks (FanDuel and DraftKings). 

Page 3 will feature the Fantasy Race to Dubai selections.

As a reminder, this event takes place in China so it will begin at 8:50 PM ET on Wednesday. Make sure you set your lineups early! 

Editor’s Note: With over 15,000 reviews, DRAFT is the highest rated fantasy sports app. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link.

 

 

PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf presented by SERVPRO

Josh Culp

“@FutureOfFantasy”

 

Last Week Rank: 2,787

Season Rank: 2,149

 

Starters:

Justin Rose
Dustin Johnson
Rory McIlroy
Tony Finau


Bench:

Hideki Matsuyama
Brooks Koepka

 

Mo Yoshimoto

“@BearsGolf3423”

  

Last Week: 5604

Season Rank: 3224

 

Starters:

Brooks Koepka
Justin Rose
Tony Finau
Ian Poulter

 

Bench:

Dustin Johnson
Rory McIlroy

 


Golf Channel (PlayFantasyGolf.com)

The GolfChannel fantasy game will return for the Tournament of Champions. 

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One-and-Done

Each week I will think out loud about my process in determining my One-and-Done selection. If you are new to the One-and-Done format, it is like an NFL survivor league. You pick one golfer per week, but you can't use them again all year. 

Let's start our search this week with who played well at Sheshan International:


Paul Casey (4 top 12s)
Dustin Johnson (WIN, T5, and T2 in four starts)
Rory Mcilroy (T11 or better in all 6 starts)
Justin Rose (WIN, 5th, and T7 in four starts)
Francesco Molinari (T10, WIN, and T6 in six starts)
Matthew Fitzpatrick (T7-T16-T9)
Hideki Matsuyama (WIN, T41, T50 and two WDs)
Branden Grace (T39-T5-T30-T15)
Russell Knox (WIN-T9)
Rafa Cabrera Bello (T19-T5)
Brooks Koepka (T40-T2)
Alex Noren (two top 20s in five starts)
Ian Poulter Four top 15s in six starts)
Tyrrell Hatton (T54-T23-T11)
Tommy Fleetwood (T18-T24-T30-T20)

 

After history, we can look at baseline performance over the last few years. More recent results are weighted more heavily: 

Dustin Johnson
Rory Mcilroy
Justin Rose
Jason Day
Jon Rahm
Tommy Fleetwood
Hideki Matsuyama
Paul Casey
Brooks Koepka
Patrick Cantlay
Adam Scott
Francesco Molinari
Tony Finau
Patrick Reed
Tyrrell Hatton

Looking for an overlap list we see a few names pop up: Paul Casey, Dustin Johnson, Rory McIlroy, Justin Rose, Francesco Molinari, Hideki Matsuyama, Brooks Koepka, Tyrrell Hatton, and Tommy Fleetwood

As a WGC event, we don't have to worry about our golfers missing the cut. It's easy to go with a mid-tier pick for that reason. However, last year I chose Justin Rose and that really cemented my spot near the top of the OAD leaderboard all year long. 

This year, I'm going to go further down the board to pick Tyrrell Hatton for the WGC-HSBC Champions. I don't see any other spots down the road where I'll be dying to pick him. With $100K+ being paid out all the way down to 19th place, that is what I will be shooting for this week but if he catches fire then a top 5 wouldn't be out of the question. 


Daily Fantasy Sports [DFS]

I will be giving out selections for one team for each DFS site, per week. 
 

These lineups will be entered into a large-entry Guaranteed Prize Pool. That means we need to take a risk or two, in order to separate ourselves from the field. 

The idea is to provide you a list of names to consider. I would not recommend copying these teams, golfer for golfer. Duplicate teams are no fun and don't help anyone. 


FanDuel Picks:

Hideki Matsuyama ($11,400): Has a win here but the rest of his history here is spotty. Staying in Asia for another week, he should be comfortable and well-acclimated to the time zone by now. 

Brooks Koepka ($12,600): New World No. 1 after his win last week. I don't think he wants to give that title up just yet. 
 
Kyle Stanley ($9,000): Steady as they come which should help him stay out of trouble here on a course with a lot of water in play. 
 
Matthew Fitzpatrick ($9,600): Three of his seven best PGA TOUR finishes have come at Sheshan. 
 
HaoTong Li ($8,700): Playing in his home country and arriving with back-to-back top 10s. 
 
Julian Suri ($8,400): One of the best at posting ultra-low rounds. I like that in a no-cut event where he'll have four chances to take it deep. 

 


DraftKings Picks:
 

Lucas Bjerregaard ($7,800): Five top 10s over his last six starts on the Euro Tour. Ride the hot hand here. 
 
Kyle Stanley ($7,600): Talked about him in the DFS Dish yesterday. I like his style of play here on a course that yields a lot of big numbers. 
 
Julian Suri ($7,000): Birdies, Birdies, Birdies. He racks them up in bunches. 
 
Tyrrell Hatton ($9,100): Leads the field in Bogey Avoidance if we isolate to each golfer's last 24 rounds played on the PGA TOUR.  
 
Patrick Cantlay ($8,800): As steady as they come so I like his chances to post a top 20 with top-5 upside. 
 
Tommy Fleetwood ($9,500): Fairways and Greens gets the job done at Sheshan. Nobody better at that than Tommy Flushwood. 

 


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Fantasy Race to Dubai

Dave Tindall is our main man in Europe. In addition to his weekly previews of European Tour events on Mondays, he’ll share his selections and analysis for the Fantasy Race to Dubai at EuropeanTour.com.

 
Format: Pick 6 golfers. Players accumulate points based on Race to Dubai (R2D) points earned. Captain’s points are doubled. Unlimited team changes can be made each week.

Team Tindall (Team name: YESSIR!)
@DaveTindallGolf


Last week:
Nice job from skipper Sergio and good back-up from Lowry and Westwood was enough for a jump of 500 spots.

Pos: 5,991


Justin Rose (captain): T8 at Walton Heath last time was impressive given that he had hosting duties and a stomach bug. Very easy to envisage a big title defense.


Rory McIlroy: Five top sixes and T11 in his half-a-dozen visits. Will come here fresh and I expect his usual high finish.

Jon Rahm: Not at his best here last year but I have a feeling that taking down Tiger in the Ryder Cup singles was huge for him.

Rafa Cabrera Bello: Lots of good form in the region including top five here last year. Returns after top three at the CJ Cup where he posted twin 65s on the weekend.

Tommy Fleetwood: We're at the stage now where something around T9 (his finish at the British Masters) feels slightly disappointing. Three previous top 25s here.

Tyrrell Hatton: Lots of contenders for the final spot but Hatton has five top 20s from his last six worldwide starts and has improved his finish here each year - 54-23-11.

Team Cooper (Team name: NormanStanleyFletcher)

Last week: Sergio lead the team home, Westwood and Lowry were just behind him. That's the good news. The bad news is that everyone else saw it coming too. A move of 79 place though.

Position: 699th

Justin Rose (Captain): The Englishman might struggle to defend his title but it might also be the perfect place for him to topple Dustin Johnson again (this time in the world rankings as well). Whatever, with three top sevens in four visits it's easy to see him enjoying another prolific week.

Rory McIlroy: The course *nearly* suits him. In six visits he has never finished outside the top 11, but he's also never been within four shots of the lead heading into the final round. A Fantasy no-brainer (especially in this game), but I'd steer clear with the bookmakers.

Paul Casey: A very persuasive record in China and on the course (never worse than T23 in his ten completed efforts). Form only so-so, but a good place to turn that around.

Ian Poulter: I like a player who recently made a bit of a mess of a shot at glory and that's what he half-did last Sunday. He likes China and loves the time of year.

Lucas Bjerregaard: Throwing in a leftfield pick to try and steal a few points. The Dane gets the vote with his Chinese consistency (five top sixes in 11 starts) and stunning form (six top 20s on the trot).

Tommy Fleetwood: Intrigued to see how he deals with these season-ending events after last year. Then he was the fox, this time he's the chase. Course never been a great fit, but far from a bad one either.

Josh Culp
Josh Culp joined Rotoworld in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.