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Justin Thomas
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Playing the Tips

NBC Predictor: BMW Championship

by Josh Culp
Updated On: August 14, 2019, 12:08 pm ET

Golf Channel (NBC Sports Predictor App)

It's FedExCup Playoffs time which means the FootJoy $100,000 Championship has kicked off. Make sure you use all of your tickets if you have them stockpiled. 

The format is simple as you pick six head-to-head matchups. Then you pick a winner and winning score. 

The FootJoy Championship is a three-event contest with $100,000 rewarded at the end of the Playoffs. It will be $50,000 to first and paid out to the top 10. If you've been playing all season then you've likely accumulating some tickets so make sure you use them all this week. 

We will provide our picks for the format below and then provide some notes about why we chose our matchup picks or why we like a certain golfer to win. 

Josh Culp 

Top Weekly Score: 85 pts

Tiger Woods over Phil Mickelson
Brooks Koepka over Bryson DeChambeau
Rory McIlroy over Jon Rahm
Jordan Spieth over Patrick Reed
Justin Rose over Keegan Bradley
Shane Lowry over Gary Woodland

Justin Rose (-18)


Josh's Notes: 

The first matchup is tough right out of the gate. We have Tiger Woods coming off a mid-tournament WD against Phil Mickelson who has struggled for months. If Tiger plays all four days this week then I like his chances. This is one I'll split half and half between my entries. 

Next we have the battle of Slow Play. Koepka who speaks out against it and Bryson who has become the poster child for the issue. Koepka has proven lethal when he plays the week before an event so let's fire him up this week. 

Rory versus Rahm is a battle of consistency but I give McIlroy the slight edge. This is a matchup I will split between entries. 

After that we have Spieth who is struggling with his driver against Reed who is red hot and just won at Liberty National. I have them projected within a quarter of a shot over the course of four rounds this week so I will split these picks but go with Spieth for this main entry. 

The next one is the free space. Rose has been the most consistent golfer in the world over the last few months and he's going up against Keegan Bradley who arrives with finishes outside the top 40 in seven of his last eight starts. I understand they wanted to work the defending champ into these picks but this seems like a lopsided matchup. 

Last is the U.S. Open champ versus Champion Golfer of the Year. Woodland has struggled since winning the big event so give me Lowry who shook off the rust last week in Jersey and should be ready to rock again. 


Mo Yoshimoto 

Top Weekly Score: 90 pts

Phil Mickelson over Tiger Woods
Brooks Koepka over Bryson DeChambeau
Rory McIlroy over Jon Rahm
Jordan Spieth over Patrick Reed
Justin Rose over Keegan Bradley
Gary Woodland over Shane Lowry

Justin Thomas (-17)


Mo's Notes: 

Five of Thomas' nine TOUR wins have been in no-cut events, two of his last three, including the 2018 WGC-Bridgestone as the 54-hole leader by three.

He's finished top 12 in five of his last six Playoffs events, including T12 at last week's NORTHERN TRUST, and T12 at the BMW last year (Aronimink), where he was T7 thru 54 holes.

The Alabama product has posted top-15 finishes in the post-season in 10 of 16 events, seven of those top 10s, including a win at the 2017 Dell as a 54-hole co-leader.

He ranks top 10 this season in SG: Approach (2nd), SG: Tee-to-Green (2nd), Greens in Regulation (5th), Birdie Average (1st) and Scoring Average (8th).

The 26-year-old's biggest drawback is the flat stick, where he ranks 160th (-.279), and true-to-form, was T1 in GIR last week and 56th in SGP.

Here's the thing. You can't be No. 1 in Birdie Average (4.52) this season without your fair share of balls going in the hole, so, I'm looking for the putting stroke to get hot again and for the 2017 FedExCup champion to walk off with the victory.

Josh Culp

Josh Culp joined NBC Sports Edge in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.