Loading scores...
Playing the Tips

Our Picks: Arnie's Invite

by Mike Glasscott
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

 

 

Welcome to Playing the Tips!

 

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our group of fantasy staffers from Rotoworld.com. We’ll have all of our selections from the GolfChannel.com, Yahoo! Fantasy Golf, my weekly selection for One-and-Done players plus DFS love from Josh Culp and European Tour insight from Dave Tindall.

 

 

GolfChannel.com Fantasy Golf

 

 

Arnold Palmer Invitational (API)

 

 

Glass


@MikeGlasscott

 

 

 

2015 Earnings: $6,335,652

2015 Rank: 4,152

I got exactly what I deserved last week for leading my squad with a guy who hasn’t won since 2011 and putting faith in Donald to back him up. More proof of why course horse cannot be THE factor in determining lineups weekly. For the second week in a row I was a dumpster fire burning bright in the Midwestern sky. See, you’re not the only one…

 

 

Group 1: Rory McIlroy

Group 2: Keegan Bradley

Group 3: Martin Laird

Group 4: Sean O’Hair

 

 

ANALYSIS: I’m fading myself this week as I think Stenson’s course form will be an asset as McIlroy has never played here. Group 2 does nothing for me so I’ve gone crawling back to Bradley because I haven’t had enough torture already this season. I really like Laird again this week as he’s not done much to put gamers off in 2015. Molinari is a nice back-up plan there if necessary. If O’Hair makes the cut again this week, that’s a victory in a very thin Group 4. Kokrak or Singh is a decent plan B.

 

 

 

Rob Bolton


@RobBoltonGolf

 

 

 

2015 Earnings: $7,682,788

2015 Rank: 899

 

 

Group 1: Henrik Stenson

Group 2: J.B. Holmes

Group 3: Brendan Steele

Group 4: Jason Kokrak

 

 

ANALYSIS: Hahaha! Don’t tell him I liked Stenson this week. I don’t want him upset. Holmes has been on fire and led the field in putts here last year. Steele hasn’t played since Honda but his last two are T14-T11 and Kokrak finally broke into the top 10 with T7 last week at Valspar.

 

 

 

Ryan O’ Sullivan


@RyanGolfBlogger

 

 

 

2015 Earnings: $11,194,274

2015 Rank: 4th; FOURTH. Top Four.

 

 

Group 1: Henrik Stenson

Group 2: Keegan Bradley

Group 3: Brendan Steele

Group 4: Sean O’Hair

 

 

ANALYSIS: Let’s all bow our heads and pray for O as he didn’t have the winner last week. In these tough times, we sent all our energy and positive thoughts for him to make a rousing comeback this week. We match Groups 2 and 4; he matches Rob in Groups 1 and 3.

 

 

 

Ned Brown


@Esoxgolf

 

 

 

2015 Earnings: $7,477,737

2015 Rank: 1,168

 

 

Group 1: Henrik Stenson

Group 2: Keegan Bradley

Group 3: Charles Howell III

Group 4: Sean O’Hair

 

 

ANALYSIS: Nobody cracked the top 10 with any of their selections last week but Ned has found separation from the group with ATM CHIII in Group 3.

 

 

Event No.2 Golf Channel

 

JTBC Founder’s Cup LPGA

 

Glass

 

Group 1: Lydia Ko

Group 2: Jessica Korda

Group 3: Ariya Jutanugarn

Group 4: Mirim Lee

 

Rob

 

Group 1: Stacy Lewis

Group 2: Jessica Korda

Group 3: Sun-Young Yoo

Group 4: Mirim Lee

 

O

 

Group 1: Lydia Ko

Group 2: Amy Yang

Group 3: Ariya Jutanugarn

Group 4: Mirim Lee

 

Ned

 

Group 1: Lydia Ko

Group 2: Amy Yang

Group 3: Ariya Jutanugarn

Group 4: Mirim Lee

 

 

 

 

Yahoo! Fantasy Golf

 

 

Ned Brown is a long-time contributor for Rotoworld Golf.  He’s had documented success in Yahoo!’s game for years.  Even if you’re confident in your selections for that game, give his insight a read. He’ll lead us off each week in the Yahoo! game.

 

 

“Pure Spin”

 

Valspar Points: 206

WINTER Segment Points: 1,746

WINTER Segment Rank: 478

 

 

 

Group A

 

 

Henrik Stenson: I discounted Stenson a bit going into last week's Valspar because it was his first time to the course. Well, he played great in Tampa on his way to solo fourth and he would have been very tough if he had made the playoff. His recent history at the API is strong with T8 in '13 and  T5 last year.

 

Bubba Watson: I wanted to save a start on Watson this week, but he has played so well this season that I'm going to stick with him over players like J.B. Holmes and Harris English. Watson has two top 10 finishes in nine career starts here, with the most recent being T4 in '12.

 

 

SUPER SUBS

 

J.B. Holmes, Harris English, Rory McIlroy

 

 

Group B

 

 

Hideki Matsuyama: His great West Coast Swing included a pair of T2 finishes at WMPO and NTO. This is his first time at Bay Hill but he is a safe play this week in a volatile Group B.

 

Ian Poulter: The Orlando resident has played well in the Florida Swing with T3 at Honda, T49 at Doral and T24 last week at Valspar. He has a good recent record at Bay Hill with four top 21s in his last four starts including solo third in '12.

 

Jason Day: He played great on the West Coast Swing this year with a championship at the Farmers and T4 at AT&T Pebble Beach. His record at Bay Hill isn’t sharp with only one top 25 in four career starts but his current form is the difference.

 

Rickie Fowler: It's tempting to go with Paul Casey in here but he is too similar to Jason Day that he played well on the West Coast and faltered a bit at the WGC-CC. Instead I'm going with Rickie Fowler who had a so-so West Coast Swing and then looked good at Doral. Fowler missed the cut last year at the API but the year before he finished T3.

 

 

SUPER SUBS

 

 

Charles Howell III, Paul Casey, Brandt Snedeker, Daniel Berger

 

 

Group C

 

 

Keegan Bradley: He showed signs of life at the NTO with T4 but has been a disappointment on the Florida Swing. I'm going to the well once more with him because of his outstanding recent record at Bay Hill. He posted T3 in '13 and a solo second place last year.

 

Kevin Na: He has played well on the Florida Swing with T9 at Doral and T10 last week at Valspar. His recent record at the API is solid with T2 in '10, T4 in '12 and T14 last year.

 

 

SUPER SUBS

 

 

Martin Laird, Shane Lowery, Sean O'Hair

 

 

 

Ryan O’Sullivan (O)

 

 

The Golf Aficionado”

 

 

Valspar Points: 180

WINTER Segment Points: 1,821

WINTER Segment Rank: 36

 

 

 

Group A:

 

Rory McIlroy

Henrik Stenson

 

 

Group B:

 

Graeme McDowell

Rickie Fowler

Hideki Matsuyama

Jason Day

 

 

Group C:

 

Keegan Bradley

Sean O’Hair

 

 

 

Rob Bolton

 

 

“@RobBoltonGolf”

 

Valspar Points: 150

WINTER Segment Points: 1,596

WINTER Segment Rank: 8,275

 

 

 

Group A:

 

Henrik Stenson

J.B. Holmes

 

 

Group B:

 

Jason Day

Rickie Fowler

Hideki Matsuyama

Ian Poulter

 

 

Group C:

 

Kevin Na

Keegan Bradley

 

 

 

Glass

 

 

“@MikeGlasscott”

 

Valspar Points: 172

WINTER Segment Points: 1,634

WINTER Segment Rank: 5,011

 

 

I had Spieth on the bench for his two best rounds of the week and also left Kevin Na on the bench when he fired 66 on Sunday. I had the winner and LOST sufficient ground for the week. My hate for this game runs so deeply that it will only be eradicated by an alien anal probe. SOUNDS LIKE FUN!!! Right now, that sounds like a better option than following my picks. Shut up.

 

 

Group A

 

Henrik Stenson

Rory McIlroy

 

 

If Stenson continues his current form, McIlroy will be an unused substitute and the best insurance policy on the planet. I wouldn’t talk you out of Watson or Scott either as both have had recent successes here. This is by far the hardest group to handicap on the week.

 

 

Group B:

 

 

Hideki Matsuyama

Ian Poulter

Graeme McDowell

Rickie Fowler

 

 

Wow. The Group of Misfit Toys. Jason Day, Gary Woodland or Paul Casey would be the others who would get a quick look. Day has been too coursey-horsey for me so Matsuyama goes instead. Gotta watch starts on both of them.

 

 

Group C:

 

 

Martin Laird

Keegan Bradley

 

 

Glad I left Reed out last week because I was concerned about his starts. #GoodPlan. Na will sub out for Laird if the tee times are goofy.

 

 

 

Daily Fantasy Sports [DFS]

 

 

Josh Culp is our resident DFS guru. Every week, he’ll publish his lineup and alternatives for DraftKings.com.

 

Josh has pieced together this lineup below to throw into the $3 Birdie Contest this week on DraftKings. DK has also announced the largest fantasy golf contest ever which will take place at The Masters. Don't forget to reserve your entry now: http://partners.draftkings.com/aff_c?offer_id=948&aff_id=26

 

 

DraftKings Picks

 

 

Keegan Bradley ($9,700) ... His 12th ranked strokes gained: tee-to-green will get him to the weekend. His putter will be the wildcard. His flat stick putter has been average here the past two seasons on the way to a pair of podium finishes, so it if gets hot then a win is not out of the question.

 

Graeme McDowell ($8,800) ... Playing in a home game this week, it's time for the Ulsterman to bounce back after St. Patrick's Day.

 

Kevin Na ($8,800) ... Enters the week on the heels of back-to-back top 10s and owns four top 15s in his last five trips to this event. Safe as it gets this week.

 

Ian Poulter ($8,700) ... The Orlando resident enjoys playing locally as he sports top 25s in each of his last four trips to Bay Hill. He also has four top 25s on the season in six starts. Trends are converging in the right direction.

 

Zach Johnson ($7,200) ... He enters out of form but this price is just plain too low for a guy that's won 11 times since 2004. If we were playing bingo, this is essentially the free space.

 

Retief Goosen ($6,500) ... He made the cut in over 80% of starts in his career and it's not slowing down as he's 8-for-10 this year. He’s bagged top 40s in nine of his 13 trips to Bay Hill.

 

 

Other Picks to Consider

 

 

Alternate for Johnson: Chad Collins ($4,600) ... If you want to fit in some more top-tier plays then you may need to save some salary on someone like Chad Collins. He is 0-for-2 here but has just two missed cuts in nine starts this season. The form is worth the squeeze.

 

Alternate for McDowell: J.B. Holmes ($8,900) ...  Comes in sizzling and owns an 8-for-8 record at Bay Hill. He looks amazing on paper, almost too amazing! Letdown potential but a great option that will be highly owned in cash games.

 

Alternate for Bradley: Henrik Stenson ($12,500) ... Back-to-back top 5s and is another Orlando resident that has feasted on local knowledge.

 

 

 

2015 Fantasy Race to Dubai

 

 

Dave Tindall is our newest contributor, but he’s been a fixture in Europe. In addition to his weekly previews of European Tour events on Mondays, he’ll share his selections and analysis for the Fantasy Race to Dubai at EuropeanTour.com.

 

 

Format:

 

 

Pick 10 golfers. Players accumulate points based on Race to Dubai (R2D) points earned. Star player’s points are doubled. Unlimited team changes and unlimited star player changes are available each week.

 

 

Last week

 

 

The previous week we’d dropped 1,237 spots while last week it was a tumble of 1,277.

You have to admire our consistency.

Hmmm, yes, it was an abysmal collective effort at the Tshwane where our chosen 10 either missed the cut or limped home in the pack. Onwards and upwards though!

 

 

Current position: 4,259 (down from 2,982 the previous week)

 

 

This week

 

 

Team Tindall (Team name: YESSIR!)

 

 

Bradley Dredge

Ricardo Santos

Joakim Lagergren

JB Hansen

John Hahn

Kevin Phelan

Victor Riu

Carlos Del Moral

Pedro Oriol

       

Star Player: Scott Henry

 

Trending upwards, runner-up last year and big hitting should see him challenge again.

 

 

The Rest

 

•       Bradley Dredge: Former winner loves this course so can’t be left out in such a weak field.

•       Ricardo Santos: The home hero won this in 2012 so why not more Portuguese perfection?

•       Joakim Lagergren: Wow. Checks both course form and current form; T3 in India; top four here in 2012.

•       JB Hansen: That back-nine 28 in Joburg suggests he could run riot again.

•       John Hahn: Buddy Peter Uihlein won this in 2013; Inspiration by comparison.

•       Kevin Phelan: In a different league to most of these rivals; T2 in Joburg.

•       Victor Riu: Frenchman has a pair of recent top 25s and plays well in the mountains.

•       Carlos Del Moral: 54-hole leader in this event in 2012. Form looks relatively good.

•       Pedro Oriol: Huge hitter is 2-for-2 here and has better recent form than most.

 

 

 

One-and-Done

 

 

Each week I painfully writhe and wretch trying to figure out the proper strategy to find a player that will hit the top 10. Wins are great but aren’t likely so I’m satisfied with having a CHANCE to hit the big money. Missed cuts are absolutely the death in this game but even the surest of things don’t always happen in the reality world of fantasy golf. Remember, fade or follow, it’s up to you! I’m going to leave my 2013-14 results up for a few weeks so if you have any questions “mapping” your season, you can learn from my plays from last year.

 

Those who don’t recall history are condemned to repeat it.

 

 

2014-15 Glass OAD

 

Frys.com: Brooks Koepka. Let’s get this started off on the right foot. Koepka, playing without any status last year, led on Sunday by three shots at the turn. He finished T3 and learned a valuable lesson. His recent form has been scintillating as he has four top 15s in his last four worldwide starts, including the PGA at Valhalla (T15). He was T9 last week at the Dunhill. Koepka, T8, did what was expected and racked up a top 10 for $168,000.

 

Shriners Open: It came down to Moore, Watney and Piercy for the OAD place this week. Laird was also in the conversation but I’m going with the best putter of the group mentioned above and there’s not a place that Moore HAS TO BE USED later. Sure, he beat Gary Woodland in a playoff last year at CIMB but I don’t use defending champions. #WeakSauce. He shares the tournament record has three top 10s in his last four. More Moore please! ANY SINGLE ONE OF THOSE THREE OTHER THAN MOORE would have been just fine. Moore has wiped me twice in eight events. The good news is I don’t even have to CONSIDER his presence again until October of 2015.

 

McGladrey Classic: This is the CLASSIC HEDGE MOVE for gamers. I’m going with Kuchar above but Simpson down here to cover my ASSet. Look, save Simpson for Greenbrier, Sedgefield or TPC Boston, but I’m going with a guy who is hot NOW and will find someone else later. HOW COULD THIS GO WRONG, RYAN MOORE??? Nothing like a T41 to back up a MC; $19,600.

 

CIMB Classic: I’m loading up on Charl Schwartzel since I can’t play him on the Sunshine TOUR at the Dunhill or Joburg. His course form is overwhelming and in a limited field with limited views of this track, his experience and successes here are huge. He’ll probably WD. He couldn’t catch up after his opening round 74; T19, $94,500.

 

WGC-HSBC Champions: I’ll go with the guy who holds the course record, the 2011 title plus two other top eight finishes in four starts, Martin Kaymer. Did I mention he made 29 birdies here last year? Ok, good. If I was a casual golf fan and just picked up the newspaper on Monday morning to see that Kaymer finished T6 I would have been thrilled…$216,337

 

Sanderson Farms: It came down to Tony Finau or Hudson Swafford and I went with the Georgia ‘Dawg. Both are hot so I’ll go with the local-er of the two and the better ball-striker. I should be required to take the “Silly Season” off. BOTH missed the cut. I’m ready for 2015…

 

OHL Classic: Can I just pass? Since I couldn’t pull the trigger on Jason Bohn in the Golf Channel game, I’ll hedge him here with Stroud and Sabbatini right behind him. WHAT COULD POSSIBLY GO WRONG? I need a vacation. I was gun-shy but the hedge paid off with T7 and $196,275

 

HTOC: This is a good news/bad news event. The good news is that there are only 34 players and this is a track that requires previous experience. The bad news is if the guy you pick doesn’t finish in the top five it’s a complete waste of time. For the conservative/saver this is THE ONLY WEEK TO PICK Ogilvy since he’s won here twice. For the throw-caution-to-the-wind player, Kuchar, Day or Watson should lead the line. I’ll find myself right in the middle with Chris Kirk. WHAT COULD POSSIBLY GO WRONG? Kirk needed to tie the course record on Monday to hit six figures. Yeah, that’s all I needed to pocket $110,000, 11 birdies and 62. Day pulled the same trick but he finished T3.

 

Sony Open: I’m going with the man who has eight top 10s in 13 career starts, Charles Howell III. He’s hit the top five in five of the last six years and I’m not going to find that anywhere else on TOUR. #EasyChoice. Make it top five in five of the last SEVEN years. T26 paid $42,280.

 

Humana Challenge: Ryan Palmer gets the nod this week as he’s shown form on these tracks and has no problem getting low, yo! He’s a member at Colonial, FYI. The pain. The suffering. The life of a fantasy gamer. If reading from top to bottom it’s easy to see why my pain is prevalent. Shut up. T10 isn’t great but isn’t terrible, $136,000.

 

WMPO: This week, Hunter Mahan takes the wheel. With his wife due shortly, he knows his time, for the moment, is limited and it’s time to make hay. It doesn’t hurt that his game sets up for most layouts and it doesn’t hurt he won here in 2010 and was T4 last year. I’m not confident pulling the trigger on Watson, Spieth, Fowler or Mickelson just yet. THERE’S NOTHING WORSE than playing defense but these gentlemen are more valuable in majors/WGC than here in the desert. Brendan Steele was the backup plan. Mahan = T30 $36,729 but cashed more $$$ than Phil or Rickie! NOBODY CARES!!!

 

FIO: I’ve ridden Fowler here the last two years and he responded with T6 and MC so let’s hold off on the ticker tape parade. I’m throwing caution to the wind this week and sending the No. 1 player in the FedExCup to do work. With T2 and WIN in his last two Jimmy Walker is the play this week. I can’t use him next week at Pebble Beach where he is the defending champion (and I had him in OAD!) and his record at Riviera isn’t as strong as it is here. DO WORK, SON! One shot out of the lead entering Sunday resulted in a, for him (and me) a disappointing T7 and $189,787. Yep, that’s how high the bar is now set with him on the California coast.]

 

Pebble Beach: Day is tempting but if he keeps playing like this he’ll have chances in bigger paydays so he’s out. I’m saving Johnson for his redemption song next week at Riviera so he’s out. Walker was played last week plus he’s the defending champ so that leaves Patrick Reed. Hit it a mile. Find it. Make everything. Win. Kevin Na, Aaron Baddeley or would be a nice fill for a TOAD. Imagine if Reed didn’t close with 67 to finish T29 and pocket $44,200? Wait, it could have been WORSE? Blimey…

 

NTO: I’m a romantic so Dustin Johnson gets the call this week. His six months on the sideline were spent playing and practicing in his adopted home town and his form at Riviera is better than most. He lost in a playoff to James Hahn. That sums up my career in OAD. P2 $589,600. I liked when he was solo second last year when I had him…#MOARMONEY

 

Honda: I’m going to keep the big hitter motif going this week as I sent Keegan Bradley to bat. I’m looking to grab a guy who’s hot and has course form and he checks both boxes. Dead-beat MC. Wow. #NaeDollars

 

WGC-CC: There’s no point for me to start “saving” anybody for anything as this season is slowly slipping away. Plus, this is a WGC and the prize pool is only bigger in a couple events (PLAYERS/Open Championship). Bubba Watson is being sent out to stop the bleeding. Go on son! Bring the General Lee if necessary! HELP ME BUBBA! Other considerations would include Day (any event) or McIlroy (any event) and for TOADYS, I’m not sure how I’d talk anyone out of Jamie Donaldson. Watson finished solo third for $540,000. WHO TOLD HIM ON THE BACK NINE THAT I HAD HIM IN OAD?

 

PRO: I’ll give Overton a chance to keep up the heat on a track where he’s had success in the recent past. T27; $18,736.

 

Valspar: Time to strike while the iron is hot with Luke Donald. His four trips around here have been quite tight.  He’ll be happy to be inland this week and he’ll also be happy to see a yardage book with familiar marks on it. I’m not sure he has a better course history anywhere else and that’s been his calling card the last two years: course form. Well that streak of course form is over; T53, $13,468.

 

API: Orlando residents Ian Poulter, Graeme McDowell or Henrik Stenson work this week. Kevin Na is also a tasty angle if he’s still available. Since Match Play is all jacked up different this year, this will be the spot I burn Poults. Hopefully he bought another Ferrari this week and feels he needs to pay for it immediately…

 

 

Results

 

 

SEASON TOTAL: $1,826,042; 18 events

 

Wins:

Seconds: Johnson, P2, NTO

Thirds: Watson, solo, WGC-CC

 

Top 10s: 7

Top 25s: 9

T53: 1, Luke Donald on a course where he’s never finished worse than 6th.

MC: 3, Ryan Moore (Shriners), Hudson Swafford (SFC) & Bradley (Honda)

Thermometer: Consistently inconsistent

 

 

 

Coming Wednesday

 

And the analysis doesn't end here. Rotoworld's Rob Bolton and I will be co-hosting a live chat Wednesday at 12 ET.  We will be breaking down the field at the API and answering your questions. Simply return to the golf home page to join in on the chatter.

 

 

Mike Glasscott
Fantasy Golf columnist Mike Glasscott joined Rotoworld in 2012. He can be contacted via email at RotoworldGlass@gmail.com or on Twitter.