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Playing the Tips

Our Picks: AT&T Pebble Beach

by Mike Glasscott
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

 

 

Welcome to Playing the Tips!

 

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our group of fantasy staffers from Rotoworld.com. We’ll have all of our selections from the GolfChannel.com, Yahoo! Fantasy Golf, my weekly selection for One-and-Done players plus DFS love from Josh Culp and European Tour insight from Dave Tindall.

 

 

GolfChannel.com Fantasy Golf

 

 

AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am

 

 

Glass


@MikeGlasscott

 

 

 

2015 Earnings: $4,184,075

2015 Rank: 2,565

Another week, another ALMOST result! With Jimmy Walker entering Sunday one shot off the lead I couldn’t have been happier. After his T7 finish I knew that I was toast to the Jason Day-ers. Snedeker showed solidly but couldn’t find the top 10; Perez 75-65-77-83 brought out all the emotions and Peterson began Sunday three shots out of the lead before fading to T26. There is NO CHANCE in this format if the winner is not selected!

 

Group 1: Jimmy Walker

Group 2: Dustin Johnson

Group 3: Spencer Levin

Group 4: Sean O’Hair

 

 

ANALYSIS: Walker’s record here and his near miss last week should have him fired up just enough to make it back-to-back. Johnson tees it up with a familiar face, his dad-in-law, and has a record even Walker can admire. Levin’s GIR numbers last week fills me, and hopefully him, full of confidence as he returns to NoCal where he grew up. O’Hair has made the cut six straight years at this event. If more options are needed head back to the golf homepage and review my preview “Heaven on Earth”.

 

 

 

Rob Bolton


@RobBoltonGolf

 

 

 

2015 Earnings: $3,307,372

2015 Rank: 7,989

 

 

Group 1: Jimmy Walker

Group 2: Brandt Snedeker

Group 3: Spencer Levin

Group 4: Sean O’Hair

 

 

ANALYSIS: Rob and I matched three groups last week and some good that did us. He’s the only one shunning #TeamLevin in Group 3 but he gets back in my good graces with Indiana native Collins in 4. After seeing the whole gang on Walker I feel like I should go with Day like O did last week!

 

 

 

Ryan O’ Sullivan


@RyanGolfBlogger

 

 

 

2015 Earnings: $6,277,508

2015 Rank: 29

 

 

Group 1: Jimmy Walker

Group 2: Brandt Snedeker

Group 3: Spencer Levin

Group 4: Charlie Wi

 

ANALYSIS: I made fun of O last week for not four-peating so he went out and won again. That makes it four of the first five weeks as Day brought home even MOAR BACON. It didn’t even matter than his picks in Groups 3 and 4 didn’t even make the cut! This week he joins the Walker brigade and sends Sneds right back out in Group 2. We match Groups 1 and 3 this week and he’s rolling out the 1990 California Amateur Champion on this course, Wi, in Group 4. Hell, Wi will probably win this week once he finds out that O has chosen him!

 

 

 

Ned Brown


@Esoxgolf

 

 

 

2015 Earnings: $5,167,735

2015 Rank: 437

 

 

Group 1: Jimmy Walker

Group 2: Dustin Johnson

Group 3: Spencer Levin

Group 4: Vaughn Taylor

 

 

ANALYSIS: Ned went the Walker route last week and paid the price like the rest of us besides O, but he’s still resides inside the top 500. None of us found any love in Group 3 last week as we all went different directions. That’s not exactly the case this week! #TeamLevin. Taylor has bagged T15-T12 in his first two starts on the Web.com so he’s relatively hot.

 

 

 

Yahoo! Fantasy Golf

 

 

Ned Brown is a long-time contributor for Rotoworld Golf.  He’s had documented success in Yahoo!’s game for years.  Even if you’re confident in your selections for that game, give his insight a read. He’ll lead us off each week in the Yahoo! game.

 

 

“Pure Spin”

 

FIO Points: 206

WINTER Segment Points: 940

WINTER Segment Rank: 738  

 

 

 

Group A

 

Ryan Palmer: There are only five players in Group A this week which I find a bit shocking. Normally, I might skip Ryan Palmer because he doesn't have a good record at this event. What he does have right now is a hot-hand with a T17 at the Sony, a T10 at the Humana and a T2 at the WMPO.

 

J.B. Holmes: This pick comes down to J.B. Holmes and Jim Furyk and Holmes is coming off P2, so like Palmer, I'm going to try to play the hot-hand.

 

 

SUPER SUBS

 

Jim Furyk

 

 

 

Group B

 

Jimmy Walker: Another year, another red-hot start as he’s posted T2 at the TOC, a championship at the Sony and T7 last week at the FIO. His recent record here is very strong with T9s in '11 and '12, a T3 in '13 and a championship last year.

 

Jason Day: He’s got a hot-hand so far as he has notched a T3 at the HTOC, T17 at Sony and lifted the trophy last week at Torrey. His record at the AT&T is good with a pair of sixth place finishes ('07, ‘13) in five career starts.

 

Dustin Johnson: He missed the cut last week at the FIO, but he is a true horse-for-the-course at the AT&T Pebble Beach with a T7 in '08, championships in '09 and '10, a T5 in '12 and a T2 last year. I would have liked it if he had a couple more events under his belt, but his course history is so strong here that I'm using him this week.

 

Jordan Spieth: I think this pick is a real toss-up between Jordan Spieth and Brandt Snedeker. Snedeker is a past champion here and Spieth played well in last year's edition of the AT&T with a T4 result. Snedeker was going to get the nod because of Spieth's missed cut last week but I went to Spieth's OWGR page and saw that he can play well after missed cuts with a sixth place at the '13 AT&T National, a second place at the '13 Wyndham and a T2 last year at the Masters.

 

 

SUPER SUBS

 

Brandt Snedeker, Hunter Mahan, Chris Kirk

 

 

 

Group C

 

Patrick Reed: He’s cooled off a bit since his win at the HTOC, but he has a solid history here with a T7 in '13 and a T13 last year.

 

Kevin Na: He seemed to finally knock the rust off last time out when he was T26 at the WMPO. His recent record at the AT&T is strong with a T5 in '12 and a T4 last year.

 


SUPER SUBS

 

Shane Lowry, Spencer Levin, Alexander Levy

 

 

 

Ryan O’Sullivan (O)

 

 

The Golf Aficionado”

 

 

WMPO Points: 212

WINTER Segment Points: 957

WINTER Segment Rank: 296

 

 

 

Group A:

 

Ryan Palmer

Jim Furyk

 

 

Group B:

 

Jason Day

Brandt Snedeker

Jimmy Walker

Dustin Johnson

 

 

Group C:

 

Patrick Reed

Shane Lowry

 

 

 

Rob Bolton

 

 

“@RobBoltonGolf”

 

WMPO Points: 182

WINTER Segment Points: 895

WINTER Segment Rank: 3,403

 

 

Group A:

 

Jim Furyk

Ryan Palmer

 

 

 

Group B:

 

Dustin Johnson

Jordan Spieth

Jimmy Walker

Nick Watney

 

 

Group C:

 

Patrick Reed

Jason Kokrak

 

 

 

Glass

 

 

“@MikeGlasscott”

 

WMPO Points: 176

WINTER Segment Points: 895

WINTER Segment Rank: 3,402

 

 

The long climb back took another step in the proper direction last week. I was forced to pay by not going with Haas in Group A but three rounds of Day and Walker didn’t hurt in B. I scored more points with Perez than Bradley in C and that was with 77-83 on the weekend from Perez. The greatest part, in my humblest of humble opinions, in this column is gamers see what lineups look like when leading (O, Ned) or trailing (Glass).

 

 

Group A:

 

Ryan Palmer

J.B. Holmes

 

Both of these cats have finished T2 in their previous start so I’m hardly worried. I’ve seen plenty of Furyk love and I have no clue where it is coming from. Check the “Out to Sea” section in Range Rover, my preview to see why. Oh, and as Ned pointed out that there are only FIVE GUYS total in A and none of them are selling hamburgers. OBAMA, DO SOMETHING!!!

 

 

 

Group B:

 

 

Jimmy Walker

Jason Day

Brandt Snedeker

Dustin Johnson

 

I see no reason to move the top three and Johnson’s course history speaks for itself. My Plan B in B would have been Spieth, Mahan, Watney and Baddeley if curiosity kills yer cat. The CHALK at this event  last year was overwhelming, FYI.

 

 

 

Group C:

 

Patrick Reed

Shane Lowry

 

With 800 guys to choose from these two stick out like a pair of tourists from Indiana. HEY WAITASECKUND, I’M FROM INDIANA!  The point is the next 10 guys on the C list are 100 or WORSE in the OWGR. Scroll down to Kevin Na as he’s the only other “can’t-miss” from this choice. I’m riding Lowry’s hot hand because it hasn’t mattered where he’s teed it up.

 

 

 

Daily Fantasy Sports [DFS]

 

 

Josh Culp is our resident DFS guru. Every week, he’ll publish his lineup and alternatives for DraftKings.com.

 

 

AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am

 

 

Josh will enter the lineup below into the weekly $2 GPP on DraftKings called the Chip Shot.

The winner walks away $5,000 richer.

Come take him on this week: 

http://partners.draftkings.com/aff_c?offer_id=832&aff_id=26

 

 

 

DraftKings Picks

 

 

Jimmy Walker ($17,400) ... His salary is through the roof, but that won't stop people from pulling the trigger. His form is on top of the world, and so is his course history. May not "meet value" but will be worth the salary if you can surround him with the right value plays.

 

Rory Sabbatini ($7,300) ... This pick is all about current form as he's compiled top 25s in six of his last seven starts. The South African has missed seven of his 15 starts here but also turned five of his six cuts made into top 15s. He’s high-risk, high-reward for certain. Reserve him for GPPs only, and avoid in your cash games.

 

Aaron Baddeley ($7,200) ... After 25 missed cuts over the past two seasons, the Aussie is jumping out of the gates in 2014-15 with just one in his first six starts. He has four top 20s in seven Pebble Beach starts. His putter always keeps him in the hunt while his ball-striking will be the make-or-break wildcard this week.

 

Alex Prugh ($6,600) ... The 30-year-old journeyman is just 35-for-81 in his career on the PGA TOUR but we want to ride the hot streak while we can. He posted four rounds in red numbers at the difficult Farmers Insurance Open last week to earn top-five honors. His event history is juicy, as well, sporting top 30s in two of his three visits.

 

James Hahn ($6,300) ... He's rattled off four cuts made to open the 2015 calendar year. He has course history on his side as well as he shared the 54-hole lead here with Brandt Snedeker back in 2013 before settling for T3.

 

Charlie Wi ($5,200) ... The Southern California resident is 2-for-2 on the season and also boasts a 2012 runner-up finish at Pebble Beach on his resume. It wasn't a one-hit wonder either as he's missed just two cuts in nine appearances at this event.

 

 

Other Picks to Consider

 

 

Alternate for Sabbatini: Kevin Streelman ($7,100) ... A much safer option than Sabbatini if taking risks isn’t your style. Streelman opened his Pebble Beach National Pro-Am career with three missed cuts but is 4-for-4 since, including a T9 finish in 2012.

 

Alternate for Walker: Dustin Johnson ($12,400) ... If Walker's price tag gives you sticker shock, drop down to this course horse trying to shake off the rust. With five top 10s at this event in seven tries, his tournament history speaks for itself.

 

Alternate for Prugh: William McGirt ($6,100) ... If you can't trust Prugh, then McGirt is another contrarian option to help separate yourself from the field in GPPs. He has eclipsed 65 DraftKings points in four of his eight 2014-15 starts. Another start like that, and he will easily pay off this salary.

 

 

 

2015 Fantasy Race to Dubai

 

 

Dave Tindall is our newest contributor, but he’s been a fixture in Europe. In addition to his weekly previews of European Tour events on Mondays, he’ll share his selections and analysis for the Fantasy Race to Dubai at EuropeanTour.com.

 

 

Format:

 

Pick 10 golfers. Players accumulate points based on Race to Dubai (R2D) points earned. Star player’s points are doubled. Unlimited team changes and unlimited star player changes are available each week.

 

Last week

 

I feared the worst when early on day one our 10-man team had lost two of its main men, including the star player. Dubuisson had an illness and never made it to the start line while star player Willett WD after 13 holes. Thanks mainly to Wiesberger, losses were limited.

 

Current position: 3,540 (down from 3,205 the previous week)

 

 

This week

 

 

Team Tindall

(Team name: YESSIR!)

 

 

Prom Meesawat

Thongchai Jaidee

Kiradech Aphibarnrat

Alex Noren

Scott Hend

Anirban Lahiri

Marc Warren

Rikard Karlberg

Peter Uihlein

Miguel Angel Jimenez

 

       

Star Player:

 

Prom Meesawat

 

Risky play but the ‘Big Dolphin’ can make a big splash on his local course. He was T25 in Malaysia last week and T3 here in Asian Tour event last year.

 

 

 

The Rest

 

 

•       Thongchai Jaidee: Can’t leave Jaidee out on home soil as this is the perfect place to upgrade current solid form.

•       Kiradech Aphibarnrat: Great record in his native Thailand and good course form too.

•       Alexander Noren: Runner-up in Dubai and superb record in Asia suggests comeback trailer can stay hot.

•       Scott Hend: Good course form and has won a bunch of events on the Asian Tour in last few seasons.

•       Anirban Lahiri: Last week’s winner has hit the top five twice in three starts on this course. No-brainer.

•       Marc Warren: The Scot is flourishing and has happy memories of last trip to Thailand.

•       Rikard Karlberg: Fairytale alert: Black Mountain’s touring pro is getting married here next week.

•       Peter Uihlein: Poised for a huge week and big mate Koepka’s win will fuel him.

•       Miguel Angel Jimenez: Loves it in Asia, still a force at this level and a recent winner on the Champions Tour as well.

 

 

 

One-and-Done

 

 

Each week I painfully writhe and wretch trying to figure out the proper strategy to find a player that will hit the top 10. Wins are great but aren’t likely so I’m satisfied with having a CHANCE to hit the big money. Missed cuts are absolutely the death in this game but even the surest of things don’t always happen in the reality world of fantasy golf. Remember, fade or follow, it’s up to you! I’m going to leave my 2013-14 results up for a few weeks so if you have any questions “mapping” your season, you can learn from my plays from last year.

 

Those who don’t recall history are condemned to repeat it.

 

 

2014-15 Glass OAD

 

Frys.com: Brooks Koepka. Let’s get this started off on the right foot. Koepka, playing without any status last year, led on Sunday by three shots at the turn. He finished T3 and learned a valuable lesson. His recent form has been scintillating as he has four top 15s in his last four worldwide starts, including the PGA at Valhalla (T15). He was T9 last week at the Dunhill. Koepka, T8, did what was expected and racked up a top 10 for $168,000.

 

Shriners Open: It came down to Moore, Watney and Piercy for the OAD place this week. Laird was also in the conversation but I’m going with the best putter of the group mentioned above and there’s not a place that Moore HAS TO BE USED later. Sure, he beat Gary Woodland in a playoff last year at CIMB but I don’t use defending champions. #WeakSauce. He shares the tournament record has three top 10s in his last four. More Moore please! ANY SINGLE ONE OF THOSE THREE OTHER THAN MOORE would have been just fine. Moore has wiped me twice in eight events. The good news is I don’t even have to CONSIDER his presence again until October of 2015.

 

McGladrey Classic: This is the CLASSIC HEDGE MOVE for gamers. I’m going with Kuchar above but Simpson down here to cover my ASSet. Look, save Simpson for Greenbrier, Sedgefield or TPC Boston, but I’m going with a guy who is hot NOW and will find someone else later. HOW COULD THIS GO WRONG, Ryan Moore??? Nothing like a T41 to back up a MC; $19,600.

 

CIMB Classic: I’m loading up on Charl Schwartzel since I can’t play him on the Sunshine TOUR at the Dunhill or Joburg. His course form is overwhelming and in a limited field with limited views of this track, his experience and successes here are huge. He’ll probably WD. He couldn’t catch up after his opening round 74; T19, $94,500.

 

WGC-HSBC Champions: I’ll go with the guy who holds the course record, the 2011 title plus two other top eight finishes in four starts, Martin Kaymer. Did I mention he made 29 birdies here last year? Ok, good. If I was a casual golf fan and just picked up the newspaper on Monday morning to see that Kaymer finished T6 I would have been thrilled…$216,337

 

Sanderson Farms: It came down to Tony Finau or Hudson Swafford and I went with the Georgia ‘Dawg. Both are hot so I’ll go with the local-er of the two and the better ball-striker. I should be required to take the “Silly Season” off. BOTH missed the cut. I’m ready for 2015…

 

OHL Classic: Can I just pass? Since I couldn’t pull the trigger on Jason Bohn in the Golf Channel game, I’ll hedge him here with Stroud and Sabbatini right behind him. WHAT COULD POSSIBLY GO WRONG? I need a vacation. I was gun-shy but the hedge paid off with T7 and $196,275

 

HTOC: This is a good news/bad news event. The good news is that there are only 34 players and this is a track that requires previous experience. The bad news is if the guy you pick doesn’t finish in the top five it’s a complete waste of time. For the conservative/saver this is THE ONLY WEEK TO PICK Ogilvy since he’s won here twice. For the throw-caution-to-the-wind player, Kuchar, Day or Watson should lead the line. I’ll find myself right in the middle with Chris Kirk. WHAT COULD POSSIBLY GO WRONG? Kirk needed to tie the course record on Monday to hit six figures. Yeah, that’s all I needed to pocket $110,000, 11 birdies and 62. Day pulled the same trick but he finished T3.

 

Sony Open: I’m going with the man who has eight top 10s in 13 career starts, Charles Howell III. He’s hit the top five in five of the last six years and I’m not going to find that anywhere else on TOUR. #EasyChoice. Make it top five in five of the last SEVEN years. T26 paid $42,280.

 

Humana Challenge: Ryan Palmer gets the nod this week as he’s shown form on these tracks and has no problem getting low, yo! He’s a member at Colonial, FYI. The pain. The suffering. The life of a fantasy gamer. If reading from top to bottom it’s easy to see why my pain is prevalent. Shut up. T10 isn’t great but isn’t terrible, $136,000.

 

WMPO: This week, Hunter Mahan takes the wheel. With his wife due shortly, he knows his time, for the moment, is limited and it’s time to make hay. It doesn’t hurt that his game sets up for most layouts and it doesn’t hurt he won here in 2010 and was T4 last year. I’m not confident pulling the trigger on Watson, Spieth, Fowler or Mickelson just yet. THERE’S NOTHING WORSE than playing defense but these gentlemen are more valuable in majors/WGC than here in the desert. Brendan Steele was the backup plan. Mahan = T30 $36,729 but cashed more $$$ than Phil or Rickie! NOBODY CARES!!!

 

FIO: I’ve ridden Fowler here the last two years and he responded with T6 and MC so let’s hold off on the ticker tape parade. I’m throwing caution to the wind this week and sending the No. 1 player in the FedExCup to do work. With T2 and WIN in his last two Jimmy Walker is the play this week. I can’t use him next week at Pebble Beach where he is the defending champion (and I had him in OAD!) and his record at Riviera isn’t as strong as it is here. DO WORK, SON! One shot out of the lead entering Sunday resulted in a, for him (and me) a disappointing T7 and $189,787. Yep, that’s how high the bar is now set with him on the California coast.]

 

Pebble Beach: Day is tempting but if he keeps playing like this he’ll have chances in bigger paydays so he’s out. I’m saving Johnson for his redemption song next week at Riviera so he’s out. Walker was played last week plus he’s the defending champ so that leaves Patrick Reed. Hit it a mile. Find it. Make everything. Win. Kevin Na, Aaron Baddeley or would be a nice fill for a TOAD.

 

 

Results

 

 

SEASON TOTAL: $1,209,438; 12 events

 

Wins:

Seconds:

Thirds:

 

Top 10s: 5

Top 25s: 7

MC: 2, Ryan Moore (Shriners), Hudson Swafford (SFC)

Thermometer: Mercury rising

 

 

 

Coming Wednesday

 

And the analysis doesn't end here. Rotoworld's Rob Bolton and I will be co-hosting a live chat Wednesday at NOON ET.  We will be breaking down the field at the AT&T Pebble Beach and answering your questions. Simply return to the golf home page to join in on the chatter.

 

 

Mike Glasscott
Fantasy Golf columnist Mike Glasscott joined Rotoworld in 2012. He can be contacted via email at RotoworldGlass@gmail.com or on Twitter.