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Playing the Tips

Our Picks: The Honda Classic

by Mike Glasscott
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

 

 

Welcome to Playing the Tips!

 

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our group of fantasy staffers from Rotoworld.com. We’ll have all of our selections from the GolfChannel.com, Yahoo! Fantasy Golf, my weekly selection for One-and-Done players plus DFS love from Josh Culp and European Tour insight from Dave Tindall.

 

 

GolfChannel.com Fantasy Golf

 

 

The Honda Classic

 

 

 

Glass 

 

 

2015 Earnings: $5,272,024

2015 Rank: 2,588

 

We’ve seen what the chalk can do in the GC and last week was more proof. Dustin Johnson did EVERYTHING but win the tournament and while it’s painful not to have the winner, have second place out of Group 2 never hurts. Walker never factored for me and course horses Choi and Beljan both cashed.

 

It’s pretty cool to “know” three guys in the top 10 in GC game, including No. 1, No. 4 and No. 8. I can proudly say I’ve done nothing to help them to achieve this ranking so they can’t blame me when it goes tits up. #Win-Win

 

 

Group 1: Rory McIlroy

Group 2: Keegan Bradley

Group 3: Freddie Jacobson

Group 4: Patrick Rodgers

 

 

ANALYSIS: Even the contrarian of contrarians will have a hard time fading McIlroy this week but guys like me that are 2,500 spots out of first might need to take a chance to make up some ground. The other side of this coin is if the alternative player bombs out and McIlroy is McIlroy, well, the deficit will grow greater. This week isn’t the week based on his WIN, WD, P2 in his last three. Bradley showed signs of life last week and he’s played well at Honda as well so he’s my “stretch” for the week. Jacobson is a massive course horse and I’ll take a chance on Patrick Spieth to continue his solid play coming off a win last time out on the Web.com.

 

 

 

Rob Bolton

 

 

 

2015 Earnings: $5,489,347

2015 Rank: 1,908

 

 

Group 1: Rory McIlroy

Group 2: Lee Westwood

Group 3: Freddie Jacobson

Group 4: Billy Hurley III

 

 

ANALYSIS: Last week Watson and Steele (both T14) backed DJ’s P2 so that helped pad the Bank of Bolton books. This week, we match Groups 1 and 3 and he goes crusty vet and military vet in Groups 2 and 4. Anchors aweigh!

 

 

 

Ryan O’ Sullivan

 

 

 

2015 Earnings: $8,415,283

2015 Rank: 8

 

 

Group 1: Rory McIlroy

Group 2: Graeme McDowell

Group 3: Paul Casey

Group 4: Blayne Barber

 

ANALYSIS: Similarly to Bolton, he backed DJ in Group 2 with a pair of T14s (Watson and McGirt) to ADD to his lead. He entered the week No. 10 and finished it No. 8. #BowsDown. This week he’s saddling up the NorIrish Mafia and adding two power finishers from last week in Groups 3 (P2) and 4 (T12).

 

 

 

Ned Brown

 

 

 

2015 Earnings: $6,407,465

2015 Rank: 461

 

 

Group 1: Rory McIlroy

Group 2: Keegan Bradley

Group 3: Paul Casey

Group 4: Michael Thompson

 

 

ANALYSIS: With DJ in Group 2 and Watson in Group 1, Ned picked off a few more players last week and returns to the top 500. We match the top two and he shares Casey with O in Group 3. Thompson is the 2012 so he’s not going too far off the beaten path in Group 4.

 

 

Event No. 2 Honda Thailand LPGA

 

Glass

 

Group 1: Inbee Park

Group 2: Lexi Thompson

Group 3: Jenny Shin

Group 4: Yani Tseng

 

 

Rob

 

Group 1: Inbee Park

Group 2: Lexi Thompson

Group 3: Gerina Piller

Group 4: Yani Tseng

 

 

O

 

Group 1: Inbee Park

Group 2: Anna Nordqvist

Group 3: Ariya Jutanugarn

Group 4: Mika Miyazato

 

 

Ned

 

Group 1: Inbee Park

Group 2: Hyo-Joo Kim

Group 3: Ariya Jutanugarn

Group 4: Mirim Lee

 

 

 

 

Yahoo! Fantasy Golf

 

 

Ned Brown is a long-time contributor for Rotoworld Golf.  He’s had documented success in Yahoo!’s game for years.  Even if you’re confident in your selections for that game, give his insight a read. He’ll lead us off each week in the Yahoo! game.

 

 

“Pure Spin”

 

NTO Points: 192

WINTER Segment Points: 1,290

WINTER Segment Rank: 852

 

 

Group A

 

 

Rory McIlroy: No need to over think this pick. McIlroy is in great form right now with a second place in Abu Dhabi and championship last time out at the Dubai Desert Classic. His recent history at PGA National is strong with a championship in '12 and T2 last year.

 

Sergio Garcia: He was having all sorts of problems off the tee in the final round of last week's Northern Trust Open and he still almost won the event because of his chipping and putting. I'm hoping that his putter stays hot and that he can improve on last year's T8 result.

 

 

SUPER SUBS

 

Ryan Palmer, Victor Dubuisson, Brooks Koepka

 

 

 

Group B

 

 

Graeme McDowell: Group B is very strong this week with additions of top players from the European Tour and Graeme McDowell is one of those players. He has only played in two events this year with T9 at the Dubai Desert Classic being the highlight. His recent record at the Honda is pretty strong with T6 in '11 and a pair of T9s in '12 and '13.

 

Justin Rose: He missed the cut last time out at the FIO but before that he was playing well with T12 in Abu Dhabi and T13 at Qatar. His last three starts in the Honda have been great with a third place in '10, T5 in '12 and T4 in '13.

 

Lee Westwood: He ended 2014 with a championship at the Thailand Golf Championship and that good play has continued into 2015 with T9 in Dubai and T5 at the Malaysian Open. His recent record at the Honda is very solid with a T9 in '10, a T5 in '12 and a T4 in '10.

 

Paul Casey: Like last week I feel very confident in the first three picks that I can take a shot with the final pick. This week I'm going with Paul Casey, who looked great last week, losing in a playoff at the NTO. His history in three starts here is good with a T4 in '10 and a T12 last year.

 

 

SUPER SUBS

 

Martin Kaymer, Dustin Johnson, Nick Watney, Rickie Fowler

 

 

 

Group C

 

 

Keegan Bradley: He looked great in the final round of the NTO, where his 68, moved him into a T4 finish which missed the playoff by a shot. His recent record at the Honda is good, with a T4 in'13 and a pair of T12s in '12 and '14.

 

Charl Schwartzel: There quite a few ways to go with the second pick in Group C. I felt a little burnt by Schwartzel in his T41 at the NTO, but I am going to go back to him again due to his solid recent record here of a T14 in '11, a T5 in '12 and a T9 in'13.

 

 

SUPER SUBS

 

Patrick Reed, Russell Henley, Freddie Jacobson

 

 

 

Ryan O’Sullivan (O)

 

 

The Golf Aficionado”

 

 

NTO Points: 184

WINTER Segment Points: 1,135

WINTER Segment Rank: 119

 

 

 

Group A:

 

Sergio Garcia

Rory McIlroy

 

 

Group B:

 

Justin Rose

Lee Westwood

Paul Casey

Graeme McDowell

 

 

Group C:

 

Keegan Bradley

Patrick Reed

 

 

 

Rob Bolton

 

 

“@RobBoltonGolf”

 

NTO Points: 186

WINTER Segment Points: 1,239

WINTER Segment Rank: 3,407

 

 

 

Group A:

 

Rory McIlroy

Sergio Garcia

 

 

Group B:

 

Dustin Johnson

Justin Rose

Lee Westwood

Graeme McDowell

 

 

Group C:

 

Keegan Bradley

Russell Henley

 

 

 

Glass

 

 

“@MikeGlasscott”

 

NTO Points: 186

WINTER Segment Points: 1,225

WINTER Segment Rank: 4,592

 

 

I had a solid week thanks to the Haas and Snedeker news on Wednesday that forced Garcia and Watney in as replacements. As per usual, I left a big round on the bench in all three of the first rounds before getting it right on Sunday. Garcia’s capitulation and Spieth’s failure to get down in two on No. 18 summed up my winter in Yahoo.

 

 

Group A

 

Rory McIlroy

Brooks Koepka

 

 

I’m not sure why I’ll put McIlroy on the bench but if I do I’ll need another young and fearless player and Koepka fits that bill. Dubuisson has too many questions lingering and I believe Garcia when he says he did it with smoke and mirrors last week. Palmer proved he could get around here last season so he’s another “zag” option if your opponent “zigs”.

 

 

 

Group B:

 

 

Justin Rose

Lee Westwood

Graeme McDowell

Dustin Johnson

 

Heck, add Kaymer or Casey and have a Ryder Cup-esque crew! DeLaet was one of the last cut but would make for a solid plan B. I love Stroud as a dark-horse in this group but there is plenty of chalky firepower that needs to be looked at first.

 

 

 

Group C:

 

Keegan Bradley

Brendan Steele

 

Gamer’s remorse on Schwartzel last week leads me away this week but Bradley slides right in. Henley and Reed should get a look, rightfully so, but I’m going with Steele to build on his excellent finish from Riviera last week.

 

 

 

 

Daily Fantasy Sports [DFS]

 

 

Josh Culp is our resident DFS guru. Every week, he’ll publish his lineup and alternatives for DraftKings.com.

 

 

The Honda Classic

 

 

Josh has put together a roster and provided some insights below. He enters this team into the weekly $2 Chip Shot contest on DraftKings that pays out $4K to the winner.

 

Compete against his team and draft your entry now: 

http://partners.draftkings.com/aff_c?offer_id=832&aff_id=26

 

 

 

DraftKings Picks

 

 

Justin Rose ($10,800) ... Sat this one out last year but owns top 5s in each of his past three starts at The Honda Classic. Don’t forget five of his last seven international starts have gone for top 15s and this week should be no different.

 

Keegan Bradley ($9,800) ... Back-door top 5 last week at Riviera CC and his last three trips to PGA National have resulted in top 12s. If he can overcome the Sunday setup here then a win could be in his near future.

 

Lee Westwood ($9,300) ... A home game for him this week and his success here is massive. He has top 20s in each of his first three starts of the new season and four straight international top 20s ahead of this week, as well. If he makes some putts then a win is possible, otherwise a top 25 will do.

 

Paul Casey ($8,400) ... The first man out of last week's three-man playoff but he should get right back on the horse this week while playing a venue where he's had some prior success as two of his last three starts here have yielded top 15s. Fire him back up.

 

Luke Donald ($7,800) ... He's always thrived in Florida and on tough courses. This venue checks both boxes as PGA National is a course he can plod his way around.

 

Derek Ernst ($3,900) ... Gained 4.763 strokes tee-to-green last year at this event on his way to a T33. Not a recommended cash game play, but we're trying to take down a GPP here. If there is one place he could reappear, this might be the location.

 

 

Other Picks to Consider

 

 

Alternate for Ernst: Luke Guthrie ($5,800) ... I understand your skepticism on Ernst, and rightfully so. If you want to take a safer path, Guthrie is a good option. He was the 54-hole co-leader in 2013 and wasn't too far off in his return last year.

 

Alternate for Donald: Freddie Jacobson ($7,200) ...  Donald has some rough form entering the week. You could choose another course horse in Jacobson. He's gained a remarkable 28.859 strokes with the flat stick in his last five trips to PGA National.

 

Alternate for Casey: Russell Knox ($7,600) ... It's been a rollercoaster lately for the Scot.  The good news is he still has produced 60 or more DraftKings points in six of his nine starts this season. After losing in a playoff in his Honda debut, this Jacksonville resident and his ball-striking prowess should be in-play yet again.

 

 

 

2015 Fantasy Race to Dubai

 

 

Dave Tindall is our newest contributor, but he’s been a fixture in Europe. In addition to his weekly previews of European Tour events on Mondays, he’ll share his selections and analysis for the Fantasy Race to Dubai at EuropeanTour.com.

 

 

Format:

 

Pick 10 golfers. Players accumulate points based on Race to Dubai (R2D) points earned. Star player’s points are doubled. Unlimited team changes and unlimited star player changes are available each week.

 

Last week:

 

We had the winner (Anirban Lahiri) last week but not making the pre-tournament favorite our star player probably cost us a little as many will have doubled their points on the Indian. Enough contributions from elsewhere meant we slipped just 133 spots.

 

 

Current Position: 2,382 (down from 2,249 the previous week)

 

 

This week:

 

Frustratingly, some of our potential picks (Asian Tour card holders) aren’t available for selection in the European Tour game. This lot should go well though…..

 

 

Team Tindall

 

(Team name: YESSIR!)

 

Alex Noren

Gregory Bourdy

Andy Sullivan

George Coetzee

Jaco van Zyl

Justin Walters

Tjaart Van Der Walt

Garth Mulroy

Seve Benson

       

 

Star Player:

 

Byeong-Hung An

 

The 2009 U.S. Amateur champ was excellent on the Gulf Swing and prominent for 54 holes here last year.

 

The Rest

 

 Alex Noren: Rejuvenated Swede is a must, even without the bonus of a T13 here

 

Gregory Bourdy: Two top fives in last three starts; T16 here last year

 

Andy Sullivan: Won recent SA Open, 5th here last year and in form of his life

 

George Coetzee: Defending champ another automatic pick; recent form good enough

 

Jaco van Zyl: Back to form with T3 in Dimension Data last week; course horse too

 

Justin Walters: Hit and miss in recent weeks but runner-up here 12 months ago

 

Tjaart Van Der Walt: Strong recent form, including T3 last week

 

Garth Mulroy: Double Web.com winner is a two-time runner-up in this event.

 

Seve Benson: T10 here last year and showed some decent form on Gulf Swing​.

 

 

 

One-and-Done

 

 

Each week I painfully writhe and wretch trying to figure out the proper strategy to find a player that will hit the top 10. Wins are great but aren’t likely so I’m satisfied with having a CHANCE to hit the big money. Missed cuts are absolutely the death in this game but even the surest of things don’t always happen in the reality world of fantasy golf. Remember, fade or follow, it’s up to you! I’m going to leave my 2013-14 results up for a few weeks so if you have any questions “mapping” your season, you can learn from my plays from last year.

 

Those who don’t recall history are condemned to repeat it.

 

 

2014-15 Glass OAD

 

Frys.com: Brooks Koepka. Let’s get this started off on the right foot. Koepka, playing without any status last year, led on Sunday by three shots at the turn. He finished T3 and learned a valuable lesson. His recent form has been scintillating as he has four top 15s in his last four worldwide starts, including the PGA at Valhalla (T15). He was T9 last week at the Dunhill. Koepka, T8, did what was expected and racked up a top 10 for $168,000.

 

Shriners Open: It came down to Moore, Watney and Piercy for the OAD place this week. Laird was also in the conversation but I’m going with the best putter of the group mentioned above and there’s not a place that Moore HAS TO BE USED later. Sure, he beat Gary Woodland in a playoff last year at CIMB but I don’t use defending champions. #WeakSauce. He shares the tournament record has three top 10s in his last four. More Moore please! ANY SINGLE ONE OF THOSE THREE OTHER THAN MOORE would have been just fine. Moore has wiped me twice in eight events. The good news is I don’t even have to CONSIDER his presence again until October of 2015.

 

McGladrey Classic: This is the CLASSIC HEDGE MOVE for gamers. I’m going with Kuchar above but Simpson down here to cover my ASSet. Look, save Simpson for Greenbrier, Sedgefield or TPC Boston, but I’m going with a guy who is hot NOW and will find someone else later. HOW COULD THIS GO WRONG, RYAN MOORE??? Nothing like a T41 to back up a MC; $19,600.

 

CIMB Classic: I’m loading up on Charl Schwartzel since I can’t play him on the Sunshine TOUR at the Dunhill or Joburg. His course form is overwhelming and in a limited field with limited views of this track, his experience and successes here are huge. He’ll probably WD. He couldn’t catch up after his opening round 74; T19, $94,500.

 

WGC-HSBC Champions: I’ll go with the guy who holds the course record, the 2011 title plus two other top eight finishes in four starts, Martin Kaymer. Did I mention he made 29 birdies here last year? Ok, good. If I was a casual golf fan and just picked up the newspaper on Monday morning to see that Kaymer finished T6 I would have been thrilled…$216,337

 

Sanderson Farms: It came down to Tony Finau or Hudson Swafford and I went with the Georgia ‘Dawg. Both are hot so I’ll go with the local-er of the two and the better ball-striker. I should be required to take the “Silly Season” off. BOTH missed the cut. I’m ready for 2015…

 

OHL Classic: Can I just pass? Since I couldn’t pull the trigger on Jason Bohn in the Golf Channel game, I’ll hedge him here with Stroud and Sabbatini right behind him. WHAT COULD POSSIBLY GO WRONG? I need a vacation. I was gun-shy but the hedge paid off with T7 and $196,275

 

HTOC: This is a good news/bad news event. The good news is that there are only 34 players and this is a track that requires previous experience. The bad news is if the guy you pick doesn’t finish in the top five it’s a complete waste of time. For the conservative/saver this is THE ONLY WEEK TO PICK Ogilvy since he’s won here twice. For the throw-caution-to-the-wind player, Kuchar, Day or Watson should lead the line. I’ll find myself right in the middle with Chris Kirk. WHAT COULD POSSIBLY GO WRONG? Kirk needed to tie the course record on Monday to hit six figures. Yeah, that’s all I needed to pocket $110,000, 11 birdies and 62. Day pulled the same trick but he finished T3.

 

Sony Open: I’m going with the man who has eight top 10s in 13 career starts, Charles Howell III. He’s hit the top five in five of the last six years and I’m not going to find that anywhere else on TOUR. #EasyChoice. Make it top five in five of the last SEVEN years. T26 paid $42,280.

 

Humana Challenge: Ryan Palmer gets the nod this week as he’s shown form on these tracks and has no problem getting low, yo! He’s a member at Colonial, FYI. The pain. The suffering. The life of a fantasy gamer. If reading from top to bottom it’s easy to see why my pain is prevalent. Shut up. T10 isn’t great but isn’t terrible, $136,000.

 

WMPO: This week, Hunter Mahan takes the wheel. With his wife due shortly, he knows his time, for the moment, is limited and it’s time to make hay. It doesn’t hurt that his game sets up for most layouts and it doesn’t hurt he won here in 2010 and was T4 last year. I’m not confident pulling the trigger on Watson, Spieth, Fowler or Mickelson just yet. THERE’S NOTHING WORSE than playing defense but these gentlemen are more valuable in majors/WGC than here in the desert. Brendan Steele was the backup plan. Mahan = T30 $36,729 but cashed more $$$ than Phil or Rickie! NOBODY CARES!!!

 

FIO: I’ve ridden Fowler here the last two years and he responded with T6 and MC so let’s hold off on the ticker tape parade. I’m throwing caution to the wind this week and sending the No. 1 player in the FedExCup to do work. With T2 and WIN in his last two Jimmy Walker is the play this week. I can’t use him next week at Pebble Beach where he is the defending champion (and I had him in OAD!) and his record at Riviera isn’t as strong as it is here. DO WORK, SON! One shot out of the lead entering Sunday resulted in a, for him (and me) a disappointing T7 and $189,787. Yep, that’s how high the bar is now set with him on the California coast.]

 

Pebble Beach: Day is tempting but if he keeps playing like this he’ll have chances in bigger paydays so he’s out. I’m saving Johnson for his redemption song next week at Riviera so he’s out. Walker was played last week plus he’s the defending champ so that leaves Patrick Reed. Hit it a mile. Find it. Make everything. Win. Kevin Na, Aaron Baddeley or would be a nice fill for a TOAD. Imagine if Reed didn’t close with 67 to finish T29 and pocket $44,200? Wait, it could have been WORSE? Blimey…

 

NTO: I’m a romantic so Dustin Johnson gets the call this week. His six months on the sideline were spent playing and practicing in his adopted home town and his form at Riviera is better than most. He lost in a playoff to James Hahn. That sums up my career in OAD. P2 $589,600. I liked when he was solo second last year when I had him…#MOARMONEY

 

Honda: I’m going to keep the big hitter motif going this week as I sent Keegan Bradley to bat. I’m looking to grab a guy who’s hot and has course form and he checks both boxes.

 

 

 

Results

 

 

SEASON TOTAL: $1,253,838; 13 events

 

Wins:

Seconds: Johnson, P2, NTO

Thirds:

 

Top 10s: 6

Top 25s: 8

MC: 2, Ryan Moore (Shriners), Hudson Swafford (SFC)

Thermometer: With top 10s in two of the last three, I’m not complaining as much.

 

 

 

Coming Wednesday

 

And the analysis doesn't end here. Rotoworld's Rob Bolton and I will be co-hosting a live chat Wednesday at 11 ET.  NOTICE THE TIME CHANGE FOR THIS WEEK! We will be breaking down the field at the NTO and answering your questions. Simply return to the golf home page to join in on the chatter.

 

 

Mike Glasscott
Fantasy Golf columnist Mike Glasscott joined Rotoworld in 2012. He can be contacted via email at RotoworldGlass@gmail.com or on Twitter.