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Playing the Tips

Our Picks: Valspar

by Mike Glasscott
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

 

 

Welcome to Playing the Tips!

 

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our group of fantasy staffers from Rotoworld.com. We’ll have all of our selections from the GolfChannel.com, Yahoo! Fantasy Golf, my weekly selection for One-and-Done players plus DFS love from Josh Culp and European Tour insight from Dave Tindall.

 

 

GolfChannel.com Fantasy Golf

 

 

Valspar Championship

 

 

Glass


@MikeGlasscott

 

 

 

2015 Earnings: $6,283,223

2015 Rank: 3,017

 

When I saw that O had Bubba last week I was giddy; when O saw that I had Bubba last week he probably wanted to change his pick. A two-shot lead with eight holes to go, Watson was overtaken by Johnson and O was back in the winner’s circle. Now, if he would have had Cejka in Puerto Rico I would have calmly quit yesterday morning. #Surrender.

 

 

Group 1: Jim Furyk

Group 2: Luke Donald

Group 3: George McNeill

Group 4: Robert Garrigus

 

 

ANALYSIS: I’ll ride THE course horse in Furyk this week and it doesn’t hurt that he’s off to a very solid start. Donald is the surprise in a LOADED Group 2 but his last four starts here lend plenty of support. Na would have been the next one on this list and Berger if you believe in the youth. It’s a home game for McNeill on the west coast of Florida but I’d take a look at Laird if a hidden gem is needed. Jonathan Byrd is the cheeky Group 4 favorite but I’m going with the mercurial Garrigus.

 

 

 

Rob Bolton


@RobBoltonGolf

 

 

 

2015 Earnings: $7,636,225

2015 Rank: 590

 

 

Group 1: Jim Furyk

Group 2: Luke Donald

Group 3: Boo Weekley

Group 4: Jonathan Byrd

 

 

ANALYSIS: His DJ winner in Group 2 last week saw him jump almost 2,000 places and his T9 for McIlroy didn’t hurt. We match the first two groups this week unlike last week where we matched the bottom two.

 

 

 

Ryan O’ Sullivan


@RyanGolfBlogger

 

 

 

2015 Earnings: $11,073,998

2015 Rank: 4th; FOURTH. Top Four.

 

 

Group 1: Jim Furyk

Group 2: Lee Westwood

Group 3: Will MacKenzie

Group 4: Jonathan Byrd

 

 

ANALYSIS: Another week, another winner! He had DJ and Watson last week so as long as pesky Holmes got out of the way, which he did with a five-shot lead, O was back in business. This week, he’s trying to resuscitate the WINNING ways of two guys (Furyk & Westwood) who just don’t win on this TOUR anymore. Throw in 40-year old Mackenzie and 37-year old Byrd and this feels more like 2008 than 2015. At least O is using his powers for good and not evil!

 

 

 

Ned Brown

 

@Esoxgolf


 

2015 Earnings: $7,300,230

2015 Rank: 929

 

 

Group 1: Jim Furyk

Group 2: Luke Donald

Group 3: Martin Laird

Group 4: Robert Garrigus

 

 

ANALYSIS: Group 2 was the great separator last week as Ned (Spieth) and I (Reed) learned the hard way but unlike me, Ned remains in the top 1,000. This week, we share three players and will let McNeill and Laird battle it out for Group 3. Funny, Laird was my plan B in that group…

 

 

 

 

Yahoo! Fantasy Golf


 

 

Ned Brown is a long-time contributor for Rotoworld Golf.  He’s had documented success in Yahoo!’s game for years.  Even if you’re confident in your selections for that game, give his insight a read. He’ll lead us off each week in the Yahoo! game.

 

 

“Pure Spin”

 

WGC-CC Points: 147

WINTER Segment Points: 1,540

WINTER Segment Rank: 613

 

 

Group A

 

 

Jim Furyk: He has played in three events this season and has finished no worse than T14. This week he returns to a course that he has racked up three top 7s, including a championship in '10, in his last five starts.

 

Luke Donald: He looked good at the Honda Classic (T7) but last week at Doral he was just giving up too much distance off the tee (T49). This week he returns to a course that he has shined at in his last four visits, with a T6 in '10, a championship in '12 and a pair of T4s in '13 and '14.

 

 

SUPER SUBS

 

 

Henrik Stenson, Harris English, Adam Scott

 

 

 

Group B

 

 

Matt Kuchar: He started the year on fire with T3 at Sony and T2 at Humana. His last two starts have been rather quiet. It's a good time to use him again with this much weaker field than the last two weeks. His record at the Copperhead Course is good with top 14s in three of his last four starts.

 

Brandt Snedeker: He won last month at the AT&T Pebble Beach but there was no momentum the next week at the NTO (74th place).  He looked good last week at Doral (T17) so I think he good to use this week against this field. His record in the Valspar is solid with two top 10s (T8 in '08, fourth in '11) in seven career starts.

 

Jordan Spieth: He finished T17 at Doral and it felt like a disappointing result after T7 or better in his four previous starts. I was tempted to try to not put him on a roster this week because I'm down to five starts on him, but after looking at this field, I’m loading up. I'll try to keep him on the bench, but he has been playing so well, I wouldn't be surprised if he forces me to use him.

 

Lee Westwood: It's really surprising that Westwood has never played here. He’s in good form with Top 9s in his two European Tour stops and top 25s in his PGA Tour stops (T25, Honda; T12, Doral).

 

 

SUPER SUBS

 

 

Gary Woodland, Will MacKenzie, Justin Rose, Ian Poulter

 

 

 

Group C

 

 

Martin Laird: Group C has plenty of real interesting players this week. Laird is among the hottest with T5 WMPO and T7 FIO. He has had some success at the Valspar, with a T5 in '11 far and away being his best result in four starts.

 

Patrick Reed: Similar to Spieth, Reed is another player that I have burned plenty of times this year. He won the TOC this year and he has looked good in his last two starts with T7 at Honda and T23 at Doral.

 

 

SUPER SUBS

 

 

Kevin Na, Jamie Donaldson, Ryan Moore

 

 

 

Ryan O’Sullivan (O)

 

 

The Golf Aficionado”

 

 

WGC-CC Points: 159

WINTER Segment Points: 1,641

WINTER Segment Rank: 15

 

 

 

Group A:

 

Jim Furyk

Henrik Stenson

 

 

Group B:

 

Matt Kuchar

Lee Westwood

Will MacKenzie

Jordan Spieth

 

 

Group C:

 

Martin Laird

Kevin Na

 

 

 

Rob Bolton

 

 

“@RobBoltonGolf”

 

WGC-CC Points: 127

WINTER Segment Points: 1,446

WINTER Segment Rank: 4,984

 

 

 

Group A:

 

Jim Furyk

Luke Donald

 

 

Group B:

 

Gary Woodland

Brandt Snedeker

Will MacKenzie

Nick Watney

 

 

Group C:

 

Kevin Na

Boo Weekley

 

 

 

Glass

 

 

“@MikeGlasscott”

 

WGC-CC Points: 157

WINTER Segment Points: 1,462

WINTER Segment Rank: 3,850

 

 

I used Watson for all four rounds and 47 points. Wish I could have said the same for DJ but 86 points from B isn’t a disaster especially after 0, yes, NIL, in round one. This game is easy when you have the winner and third place! I feel like O for a day!

 

 

Group A


 

Jim Furyk

Luke Donald

 

 

Put the saddle on ‘em and don’t look back! Scott? Stenson? Dufner? Sure, but I know I’ll be watching starts on them later. That won’t be the case with Donald and his history here is immaculate.

 

 

 

Group B:

 

 

Daniel Berger

Jordan Spieth

Justin Rose

Brian Harman

 

 

Berger and Harman turned it on at Honda and in the Yahoo! format can be hugely valuable. I’m flush with Rose starts but getting nervous about Spieth starts as this will be No. 4 already. Kuchar doesn’t have the track record here that he will possess on seven other tracks where I can use him down the road. Westwood and Watney/Snedeker would be the safe angles if the Harman-Berger combo doesn’t interest.

 

 

 

Group C:

 

 

Kevin Na

Brendon Todd

 

 

Todd is continuing down a very steady path and Na was excellent last week and last year. I love Laird as the sleeper here but since he’s listed No. 1 in C that cat is currently nowhere near the bag. No Reed this week for me as that would put me down to five starts. #GAAAAAHHHHH

 

 

 

Daily Fantasy Sports [DFS]

 

 

Josh Culp is our resident DFS guru. Every week, he’ll publish his lineup and alternatives for DraftKings.com.

 

 

The Lineup

 

Luke Donald = $9,900

Gary Woodland = $9,200

Martin Laird = $8,600

Brendon Todd = $8,100

Russell Knox = $7,900

Francesco Molinari = $6,300

 

 

 

Plan B

 

Jim Furyk = $10,900

Matt Kuchar = $10,300

Luke Donald = $9,900

Rory Sabbatini = $6,400

Francesco Molinari = $6,300

Freddie Jacobson = $6,200

 

 

 

 

2015 Fantasy Race to Dubai

 

 

Dave Tindall is our newest contributor, but he’s been a fixture in Europe. In addition to his weekly previews of European Tour events on Mondays, he’ll share his selections and analysis for the Fantasy Race to Dubai at EuropeanTour.com.

 

 

Format:

 

 

Pick 10 golfers. Players accumulate points based on Race to Dubai (R2D) points earned. Star player’s points are doubled. Unlimited team changes and unlimited star player changes are available each week.

 

 

Last Week

 

 

Oh dear.

 

With all that money on the line at the WGC-Cadillac, it wasn't the time to have a bad week. But with Rory the only selection to make the top 10, a bad week it was and a nasty drop of 1,237 spots.

 

 

Current Position: 2,982 (down from 1,745 the previous week)

 

 

This Week

 

Team Tindall

 

(Team name: YESSIR!)

 

Ross Fisher

Andy Sullivan

Romain Wattel

Morten Orum Madsen

Jorge Campillo

Maximilian Kieffer

Jbe Kruger

Trevor Fisher, Jr.

Jaco Van Zyl

 

       

Star Player: Julien Quesne

 

 

Two-time European Tour winner but still a bit of a secret but four top 8s in last seven starts in South Africa with the latest last week. He’s worth a gamble in a wide-open event.

 

 

The Rest

 

 

•       Ross Fisher: Defending champ won on different course but strong final 54 holes at WGC-Cadillac

•       Andy Sullivan: Big blip last week but the Englishman is a stud in South Africa

•       Romain Wattel: Promising Frenchman is playing his way back to form; T10 in this last year

•       Morten Orum Madsen: Loves South Africa. Last 13 starts in SA have resulted in 1 win, 9 other top 25s

•       Jorge Campillo: Consistent cut maker stepped up with T3 last week

•       Maximilian Kieffer: Has cashed in last 7 starts; T8 at East London last week

•       Jbe Kruger: Likes course; turned corner with top 25 in Africa Open

•       Trevor Fisher, Jr.: Cruised to victory last week; can shine again at familiar venue

•       Jaco Van Zyl: Course form not great but 6-2-3 in last three starts

 

 

 

One-and-Done

 

 

Each week I painfully writhe and wretch trying to figure out the proper strategy to find a player that will hit the top 10. Wins are great but aren’t likely so I’m satisfied with having a CHANCE to hit the big money. Missed cuts are absolutely the death in this game but even the surest of things don’t always happen in the reality world of fantasy golf. Remember, fade or follow, it’s up to you! I’m going to leave my 2013-14 results up for a few weeks so if you have any questions “mapping” your season, you can learn from my plays from last year.

 

Those who don’t recall history are condemned to repeat it.

 

 

2014-15 Glass OAD

 

Frys.com: Brooks Koepka. Let’s get this started off on the right foot. Koepka, playing without any status last year, led on Sunday by three shots at the turn. He finished T3 and learned a valuable lesson. His recent form has been scintillating as he has four top 15s in his last four worldwide starts, including the PGA at Valhalla (T15). He was T9 last week at the Dunhill. Koepka, T8, did what was expected and racked up a top 10 for $168,000.

 

Shriners Open: It came down to Moore, Watney and Piercy for the OAD place this week. Laird was also in the conversation but I’m going with the best putter of the group mentioned above and there’s not a place that Moore HAS TO BE USED later. Sure, he beat Gary Woodland in a playoff last year at CIMB but I don’t use defending champions. #WeakSauce. He shares the tournament record has three top 10s in his last four. More Moore please! ANY SINGLE ONE OF THOSE THREE OTHER THAN MOORE would have been just fine. Moore has wiped me twice in eight events. The good news is I don’t even have to CONSIDER his presence again until October of 2015.

 

McGladrey Classic: This is the CLASSIC HEDGE MOVE for gamers. I’m going with Kuchar above but Simpson down here to cover my ASSet. Look, save Simpson for Greenbrier, Sedgefield or TPC Boston, but I’m going with a guy who is hot NOW and will find someone else later. HOW COULD THIS GO WRONG, RYAN MOORE??? Nothing like a T41 to back up a MC; $19,600.

 

CIMB Classic: I’m loading up on Charl Schwartzel since I can’t play him on the Sunshine TOUR at the Dunhill or Joburg. His course form is overwhelming and in a limited field with limited views of this track, his experience and successes here are huge. He’ll probably WD. He couldn’t catch up after his opening round 74; T19, $94,500.

 

WGC-HSBC Champions: I’ll go with the guy who holds the course record, the 2011 title plus two other top eight finishes in four starts, Martin Kaymer. Did I mention he made 29 birdies here last year? Ok, good. If I was a casual golf fan and just picked up the newspaper on Monday morning to see that Kaymer finished T6 I would have been thrilled…$216,337

 

Sanderson Farms: It came down to Tony Finau or Hudson Swafford and I went with the Georgia ‘Dawg. Both are hot so I’ll go with the local-er of the two and the better ball-striker. I should be required to take the “Silly Season” off. BOTH missed the cut. I’m ready for 2015…

 

OHL Classic: Can I just pass? Since I couldn’t pull the trigger on Jason Bohn in the Golf Channel game, I’ll hedge him here with Stroud and Sabbatini right behind him. WHAT COULD POSSIBLY GO WRONG? I need a vacation. I was gun-shy but the hedge paid off with T7 and $196,275

 

HTOC: This is a good news/bad news event. The good news is that there are only 34 players and this is a track that requires previous experience. The bad news is if the guy you pick doesn’t finish in the top five it’s a complete waste of time. For the conservative/saver this is THE ONLY WEEK TO PICK Ogilvy since he’s won here twice. For the throw-caution-to-the-wind player, Kuchar, Day or Watson should lead the line. I’ll find myself right in the middle with Chris Kirk. WHAT COULD POSSIBLY GO WRONG? Kirk needed to tie the course record on Monday to hit six figures. Yeah, that’s all I needed to pocket $110,000, 11 birdies and 62. Day pulled the same trick but he finished T3.

 

Sony Open: I’m going with the man who has eight top 10s in 13 career starts, Charles Howell III. He’s hit the top five in five of the last six years and I’m not going to find that anywhere else on TOUR. #EasyChoice. Make it top five in five of the last SEVEN years. T26 paid $42,280.

 

Humana Challenge: Ryan Palmer gets the nod this week as he’s shown form on these tracks and has no problem getting low, yo! He’s a member at Colonial, FYI. The pain. The suffering. The life of a fantasy gamer. If reading from top to bottom it’s easy to see why my pain is prevalent. Shut up. T10 isn’t great but isn’t terrible, $136,000.

 

WMPO: This week, Hunter Mahan takes the wheel. With his wife due shortly, he knows his time, for the moment, is limited and it’s time to make hay. It doesn’t hurt that his game sets up for most layouts and it doesn’t hurt he won here in 2010 and was T4 last year. I’m not confident pulling the trigger on Watson, Spieth, Fowler or Mickelson just yet. THERE’S NOTHING WORSE than playing defense but these gentlemen are more valuable in majors/WGC than here in the desert. Brendan Steele was the backup plan. Mahan = T30 $36,729 but cashed more $$$ than Phil or Rickie! NOBODY CARES!!!

 

FIO: I’ve ridden Fowler here the last two years and he responded with T6 and MC so let’s hold off on the ticker tape parade. I’m throwing caution to the wind this week and sending the No. 1 player in the FedExCup to do work. With T2 and WIN in his last two Jimmy Walker is the play this week. I can’t use him next week at Pebble Beach where he is the defending champion (and I had him in OAD!) and his record at Riviera isn’t as strong as it is here. DO WORK, SON! One shot out of the lead entering Sunday resulted in a, for him (and me) a disappointing T7 and $189,787. Yep, that’s how high the bar is now set with him on the California coast.]

 

Pebble Beach: Day is tempting but if he keeps playing like this he’ll have chances in bigger paydays so he’s out. I’m saving Johnson for his redemption song next week at Riviera so he’s out. Walker was played last week plus he’s the defending champ so that leaves Patrick Reed. Hit it a mile. Find it. Make everything. Win. Kevin Na, Aaron Baddeley or would be a nice fill for a TOAD. Imagine if Reed didn’t close with 67 to finish T29 and pocket $44,200? Wait, it could have been WORSE? Blimey…

 

NTO: I’m a romantic so Dustin Johnson gets the call this week. His six months on the sideline were spent playing and practicing in his adopted home town and his form at Riviera is better than most. He lost in a playoff to James Hahn. That sums up my career in OAD. P2 $589,600. I liked when he was solo second last year when I had him…#MOARMONEY

 

Honda: I’m going to keep the big hitter motif going this week as I sent Keegan Bradley to bat. I’m looking to grab a guy who’s hot and has course form and he checks both boxes. Dead-beat MC. Wow. #NaeDollars

 

WGC-CC: There’s no point for me to start “saving” anybody for anything as this season is slowly slipping away. Plus, this is a WGC and the prize pool is only bigger in a couple events (PLAYERS/Open Championship). Bubba Watson is being sent out to stop the bleeding. Go on son! Bring the General Lee if necessary! HELP ME BUBBA! Other considerations would include Day (any event) or McIlroy (any event) and for TOADYS, I’m not sure how I’d talk anyone out of Jamie Donaldson. Watson finished solo third for $540,000. WHO TOLD HIM ON THE BACK NINE THAT I HAD HIM IN OAD?

 

PRO: I’ll give Overton a chance to keep up the heat on a track where he’s had success in the recent past. T27; $18,736.

 

Valspar: Time to strike while the iron is hot with Luke Donald. His four trips around here have been quite tight.  He’ll be happy to be inland this week and he’ll also be happy to see a yardage book with familiar marks on it. I’m not sure he has a better course history anywhere else and that’s been his calling card the last two years: course form.

 

 

Results

 

 

SEASON TOTAL: $1,812,574; 17 events

 

Wins:

Seconds: Johnson, P2, NTO

Thirds: Watson, solo, WGC-CC

 

Top 10s: 7

Top 25s: 9

MC: 3, Ryan Moore (Shriners), Hudson Swafford (SFC) & Bradley (Honda)

Thermometer: What could have been with Bubba sums up my untidy career in this maddening game.

 

 

 

Coming Wednesday

 

And the analysis doesn't end here. Rotoworld's Rob Bolton and I will be co-hosting a live chat Wednesday at 12 ET.  We will be breaking down the field at the Valspar Championship and answering your questions. Simply return to the golf home page to join in on the chatter.

 

 

Mike Glasscott
Fantasy Golf columnist Mike Glasscott joined Rotoworld in 2012. He can be contacted via email at RotoworldGlass@gmail.com or on Twitter.