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Playing the Tips

Our Picks: WM Phoenix Open

by Mike Glasscott
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

 

 

Welcome to Playing the Tips!

 

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our group of fantasy staffers from Rotoworld.com. We’ll have all of our selections from the GolfChannel.com, Yahoo! Fantasy Golf, my weekly selection for One-and-Done players plus DFS love from Josh Culp and European Tour insight from Dave Tindall.

 

 

GolfChannel.com Fantasy Golf

 

 

Waste Management Phoenix Open (WMPO)

 

 

Glass


@MikeGlasscott

 

 

 

2015 Earnings: $2,230,924

2015 Rank: 5,505

 

 

What’s my favorite beer, you ask?

ESB

Extra

Special

Bitter

 

I’m not concerned about Reed but last week was further proof if safety is job one, Kuchar is pick one. Period. End. Of. Sentence.

 

Ryan Palmer was tied for the lead on Sunday when he made a triple on front. He almost holed out TWICE on back-to-back par threes and lost by three shots. A triple bogey is three-over-par. I hate fantasy golf. Kokrak’s quiet Sunday didn’t help and Overton continued a steady, if not spectacular, run of form.

 

Bitter? Nah, not me!

 

 

Group 1: Bubba Watson

Group 2: Ryan Palmer

Group 3: Scott Piercy

Group 4: Pat Perez

 

 

ANALYSIS: I’m fading myself in an attempt to get back into the game with my three cohorts. I have a feeling we’ll see plenty of Spieth action in Group 1 and that’s fine with me. He can finish second to Watson! Palmer goes right back out as him, Piercy and Perez have spent enough time in the desert to know how to avoid sand in the cracks.

 

 

 

Rob Bolton


@RobBoltonGolf

 

 

 

2015 Earnings: $2,066,394

2015 Rank: 8,226

 

 

Group 1: Jordan Spieth

Group 2: Gary Woodland

Group 3: Brendan Steele

Group 4: Pat Perez

 

 

ANALYSIS:

The Reed-Bradley axis didn’t hit last week so Rob reloads with Spieth and Woodland in Groups 1 and 2. Steele has hit the top six in his last three here and was T2 last week so there are much worse choices for Group 3. We all share the Perez love, minus O, which you’ll see below. Man, I’m on FIYAH this week!

 

 

 

Ryan O’ Sullivan


@RyanGolfBlogger

 

 

 

2015 Earnings: $3,625,867

2015 Rank: 136

 

 

Group 1: Bubba Watson

Group 2: Hideki Matsuyama

Group 3: Scott Piercy

Group 4: Lucas Glover

 

 

ANALYSIS: O makes it three out of three to start the “season” in 2015. Bravo. Hat-tip. Standing O (see what I did there?). Reed, Walker, Haas and…Watson. We match picks one and three and I’ve never felt better! Matsuyama taking the place of Haas is surprising but O found time for another Clemson Tiger, Glover, to get in the lineup. I hope Haas goes back-to-back just to see his reaction on Twitter! Just kidding, O!*

*not really; it would be fun!

 

 

 

Ned Brown


@Esoxgolf

 

 

 

2015 Earnings: $2,955,281

2015 Rank: 1,322

 

 

Group 1: Bubba Watson

Group 2: Hideki Matsuyama

Group 3: Brendan Steele

Group 4: Pat Perez

 

 

ANALYSIS: For the second week in a row we match the bookends, Groups 1 and 4. Ned matches O with Matsuyama but is flying solo on Steele.

 

 

Event No. 2: Omega Dubai Desert Classic

 

 

Glass

 

Group 1: Rory McIlroy

Group 2: Stephen Gallacher

Group 3: Emiliano Grillo

Group 4: Anders Hansen

 

 

Rob

 

Group 1: Rory McIlroy

Group 2: Stephen Gallacher

Group 3: Emiliano Grillo

Group 4: Matthew Fitzpatrick

 

 

O

 

Group 1: Rory McIlroy

Group 2: Branden Grace

Group 3: Emiliano Grillo

Group 4: Anders Hansen

 

 

Ned

 

Group 1: Rory McIlroy

Group 2: Bernd Wiesberger

Group 3: Emiliano Grillo

Group 4: Alexander Noren

 

 

Yahoo! Fantasy Golf


 

 

Ned Brown is a long-time contributor for Rotoworld Golf.  He’s had documented success in Yahoo!’s game for years.  Even if you’re confident in your selections for that game, give his insight a read. He’ll lead us off each week in the Yahoo! game.

 

 

“Pure Spin”

 

Humana Points: 160

WINTER Segment Points: 562

WINTER Segment Rank: 2,675

 

 

Group A

 

Bubba Watson: His excellent 2014 carried into the FedEx Cup playoffs and that play continued into 2015 as he kicked off with T10 at the TOC. His recent play at the Phoenix Open has been also strong with a T5 in '12 and a T2 last year.

 

Bill Haas: He opened the season last week with a one-stroke victory at the Humana. His record at the Phoenix Open is good with two top 10s (T9 in '08, T6 in '13) in eight starts.

 

SUPER SUBS

 

Harris English, Brooks Koepka, Tiger Woods

 

Group B

 

Jordan Spieth: He was super-hot at the end of '14 with T3 at the Phoenix, a championship at the Australian Open and then the next week he won the Hero Challenge by a whopping 10 shots. This is his first start of 2015 and his first start at the WMPO, so I'm hoping that he still is riding that momentum he had at the end of the year.

 

Rickie Fowler: He had a rough go a couple of weeks ago in Abu Dhabi but before that he was a top ten machine with top 10s in 10 of 11 starts. He has missed the cut in his last two starts here, so it’s about playing the hot hand.

 

Phil Mickelson: Opened his season last week at the Humana and didn't look too bad with a T24 result. He is a three-time winner at the Phoenix Open with his most recent title being in '13.

 

Hideki Matsuyama: The young Japanese came into 2015 with a championship at the Dunlop Phoenix and he looked very good at the TOC in a T3 finish. He had a rough go in the Sony Open, but I'm looking for him to rebound this week on a course that he tied for fourth place last year.

 

SUPER SUBS

 

Hunter Mahan, Matt Kuchar, Gary Woodland, Billy Horschel

 

Group C

 

Brendan Steele: Last week he put together a final round of 8-under-par 64 to finish T2 at the Humana. He also has a very strong recent record at the WMPO with T5 in'12, T6 in '13 and T6 last year.

 

Scott Piercy: He played great at the Sony Open a few weeks ago with a second place finish. He cooled off a little bit at the Humana, but I'm looking for him to play well this week on a course that he has three top 10s ( T6 in '09, T8 in '11 and a third place in '13) in six career starts.

 

SUPER SUBS

 

Patrick Reed, Charley Hoffman, Jamie Donaldson, Robert Streb

 

 

Ryan O’Sullivan (O)

 

 

The Golf Aficionado”

 

 

Humana Points: 166

WINTER Segment Points: 539

WINTER Segment Rank: 7,006

 

 

 

Group A:

 

Bubba Watson

Brooks Koepka

 

 

Group B:

 

Jordan Spieth

Matt Kuchar

Phil Mickelson

Hideki Matsuyama

 

 

Group C:

 

Justin Thomas

Charley Hoffman

 

 

 

Rob Bolton

 

 

“@RobBoltonGolf”

 

Humana Points: 174

WINTER Segment Points: 547

WINTER Segment Rank: 5,187

 

 

Group A:

 

Harris English

Bubba Watson

 

 

Group B:

 

Rickie Fowler

Jordan Spieth

Gary Woodland

Hunter Mahan

 

 

Group C:

 

Jamie Donaldson

Brendan Steele

 

 

 

Glass

 

 

“@MikeGlasscott”

 

Humana Points: 166

WINTER Segment Points: 537

WINTER Segment Rank: 7,481

 

Haas and Palmer did exactly what gamers had expected from that chalk. I missed out on Simpson (went Snedeker) in Group B and never caught a big one from Piercy or Reed in Group C. I guess not using Snedeker was a positive. Whatever.

 

 

Group A:

 

Ryan Palmer

Bubba Watson

 

Haas’s post-round remarks on Sunday didn’t inspire the confidence as his game did so I’m sending Palmer right back out. Brooks Koepka would have been third if that was a choice. J.B. Holmes, winner here twice is course-horse home run and Harris English is starting to warm up. I’m leaving Woods for courses he DOMINATES; this does not qualify.

 

 

Group B:

 

Matt Kuchar

Hunter Mahan

Jordan Spieth

Hideki Matsuyama

 

I’m no longer trying to “time” Kuchar. If I’m out of starts by the RBC Heritage, I’m out of starts. I’m going young with Spieth and Matsuyama and with experience in Mahan. I’ll let Fowler get a bit of US golf in before bringing him in but note I did mismanage him the entire 2014 season, to be fair. Woodland and DeLaet make decent subs as well.

 

 

Group C:

 

Charley Hoffman

Scott Piercy

 

I’m zagging here as I would guess that most will keep Reed and will be adding Thomas. There’s something to be said about guys in their prime playing well recently that I prefer in a tougher field. The kids are all right but sometimes, you can’t win anything with kids. Brendan Steele should get a look as well if ground needs to be gained.

 

 

 

Daily Fantasy Sports [DFS]

 

 

Josh Culp is our resident DFS guru. Every week, he’ll publish his lineup and alternatives for DraftKings.com.

 

Josh provides his DFS picks for this week's Waste Management Phoenix Open.

DraftKings upped the stakes this week in what they call the Winter Golf Classic.

He will enter this team below into that $2 guaranteed prize pool contest that rewards the winner with $5,000.

Come take him on this week at  ...

Link:  http://partners.draftkings.com/aff_c?offer_id=832&aff_id=26

 

 

DraftKings Picks

 

Phil Mickelson ($11,400) ... The lefty out of Arizona State has to use all 10 fingers to count his top 10s here in 25 visits. That's a rate of 40 percent, over six percent higher than his career top 10 percentage elsewhere on TOUR. It's those small percentages that add up and also make him a great pick to lead with this week.

 

Hunter Mahan ($8,900) ... It must be something in the Arizona air as he won here in 2010 and makes a nearly annual pilgrimage to the final four in the WGC Match Play Championship event, previously played at The Golf Club at Dove Mountain, including a 2012 victory. His last five starts here have all yielded top 35s and he should be safe to knock out another one this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker ($7,400) ... Showed signs of rust last week with a missed cut at the Humana but that's not too crazy when you consider he had time to cool over the holiday break. He took the lead into Sunday here back in 2010 so you know he can contend. Time to get back on the train before it leaves the station.

 

Matt Every($5,400) ... The trend is clear here. Previous TOUR winners who have also had success at this venue. In order to turn two dollars into five thousand, you have to think outside the box a little. When most people zig, we zag straight into Every who has gone cold since grabbing his maiden win. His laid-back demeanor is perfect for this event, and two top 10s in three starts backs that up.

 

Scott Piercy ($8,400) ... This Las Vegas native is the poster child for desert golf. He rakes in Nevada and owns five top 15s in six trips to TPC Scottsdale.

 

Keegan Bradley ($8,400) ... Gets a chance to avenge his second-round 80 from last year's Phoenix Open. With six of his 10 career rounds here posted at 68 or better, you have to like his chances for the salary.

 

 

Other Picks to Consider

 

Alternate for Every: Ben Crane ($5,500) ... Three top 20s in his last four trips here, including a runner-up to Kyle Stanley in 2012. This has become one of his favorite stops and the price is right.

 

Alternate for Snedeker: Jason Dufner ($7,600) ... Showed some rust last week with an opening 76 before settling into a 65 and 69 in the second and third rounds. With top 10s in two of his last three visits to TPC Scottsdale, we may have been a week early on Dufner.

 

Alternate for Mickelson: Bubba Watson ($14,300) ... If you don't trust the inconsistent Mickelson, I don't blame you. Instead, you could opt for the other lefty, Watson, who has cleaned up at TPC Scottsdale in the past. In 30 rounds, he has yet to post an over-par round. He is the most expensive option this week for a reason. 

 

 

 

2015 Fantasy Race to Dubai

 

Dave Tindall is our newest contributor, but he’s been a fixture in Europe. In addition to his weekly previews of European Tour events on Mondays, he’ll share his selections and analysis for the Fantasy Race to Dubai at EuropeanTour.com.

 

Format

 

Pick 10 golfers. Players accumulate points based on Race to Dubai (R2D) points earned. Star player’s points are doubled. Unlimited team changes and unlimited star player changes are available each week.

 

Last week

 

Pretty good.

 

We had winner Branden Grace and third-placed Bernd Wiesberger on board in Qatar.

 

Then again, star player Charl Schwartzel missed the cut to remind us that 2 x 0 = 0.

 

Current Position: 4,581 (up from 9,226 the previous week)

 

 

This week

 

 

Team Tindall (Team name: YESSIR!)

 

 

Byeong-Hun An

Nicolas Colsaerts

Tommy Fleetwood

Stephen Gallacher

Emiliano Grillo

Martin Kaymer

Rory McIlroy

Eddie Pepperell

Thomas Pieters

Lee Westwood

 

 

       

Star Player

 

Rory McIlroy

 

Surely he’ll win this again sooner rather than later. Finishing second everywhere at the moment but we’ll take that.

 

 

The Rest

 

•       Byeong-Hun An: 2009 US Amateur-champ is taking to the Euro Tour like a duck to water.

•       Nicolas Colsaerts: Starting to thrive now he’s back with his Euro Tour mates. T9 here last time.

•       Tommy Fleetwood: Will land a big one soon. Second at halfway here two years ago.

•       Stephen Gallacher: Course form of 1-1-2. Holidays here; will be able to build own palace soon.

•       Emiliano Grillo: Last year’s runner-up shone in Qatar last week. Stay on board.

•       Martin Kaymer: What 10-shot lead? Forget it, move on. Kaymer will and he likes this course.

•       Eddie Pepperell: Will rub salt into your wounds if you leave him out. Loves a back-to-back top 5.

•       Thomas Pieters: Two Belgians on the team? Yep, Colsaerts’ pal has been hot on the Gulf Swing

•       Lee Westwood: Lots of near misses here; an easy pick

 

One-and-Done

 

Each week I painfully writhe and wretch trying to figure out the proper strategy to find a player that will hit the top 10. Wins are great but aren’t likely so I’m satisfied with having a CHANCE to hit the big money. Missed cuts are absolutely the death in this game but even the surest of things don’t always happen in the reality world of fantasy golf. Remember, fade or follow, it’s up to you! I’m going to leave my 2013-14 results up for a few weeks so if you have any questions “mapping” your season, you can learn from my plays from last year.

Those who don’t recall history are condemned to repeat it.

 

 

2014-15 Glass OAD

 

Frys.com: Brooks Koepka. Let’s get this started off on the right foot. Koepka, playing without any status last year, led on Sunday by three shots at the turn. He finished T3 and learned a valuable lesson. His recent form has been scintillating as he has four top 15s in his last four worldwide starts, including the PGA at Valhalla (T15). He was T9 last week at the Dunhill. Koepka, T8, did what was expected and racked up a top 10 for $168,000.

 

Shriners Open: It came down to Moore, Watney and Piercy for the OAD place this week. Laird was also in the conversation but I’m going with the best putter of the group mentioned above and there’s not a place that Moore HAS TO BE USED later. Sure, he beat Gary Woodland in a playoff last year at CIMB but I don’t use defending champions. #WeakSauce. He shares the tournament record has three top 10s in his last four. More Moore please! ANY SINGLE ONE OF THOSE THREE OTHER THAN MOORE would have been just fine. Moore has wiped me twice in eight events. The good news is I don’t even have to CONSIDER his presence again until October of 2015.

 

McGladrey Classic: This is the CLASSIC HEDGE MOVE for gamers. I’m going with Kuchar above but Simpson down here to cover my ASSet. Look, save Simpson for Greenbrier, Sedgefield or TPC Boston, but I’m going with a guy who is hot NOW and will find someone else later. HOW COULD THIS GO WRONG, RYAN MOORE??? Nothing like a T41 to back up a MC; $19,600.

 

CIMB Classic: I’m loading up on Charl Schwartzel since I can’t play him on the Sunshine TOUR at the Dunhill or Joburg. His course form is overwhelming and in a limited field with limited views of this track, his experience and successes here are huge. He’ll probably WD. He couldn’t catch up after his opening round 74; T19, $94,500.

 

WGC-HSBC Champions: I’ll go with the guy who holds the course record, the 2011 title plus two other top eight finishes in four starts, Martin Kaymer. Did I mention he made 29 birdies here last year? Ok, good. If I was a casual golf fan and just picked up the newspaper on Monday morning to see that Kaymer finished T6 I would have been thrilled…$216,337

 

Sanderson Farms: It came down to Tony Finau or Hudson Swafford and I went with the Georgia ‘Dawg. Both are hot so I’ll go with the local-er of the two and the better ball-striker. I should be required to take the “Silly Season” off. BOTH missed the cut. I’m ready for 2015…

 

OHL Classic: Can I just pass? Since I couldn’t pull the trigger on Jason Bohn in the Golf Channel game, I’ll hedge him here with Stroud and Sabbatini right behind him. WHAT COULD POSSIBLY GO WRONG? I need a vacation. I was gun-shy but the hedge paid off with T7 and $196,275

 

HTOC: This is a good news/bad news event. The good news is that there are only 34 players and this is a track that requires previous experience. The bad news is if the guy you pick doesn’t finish in the top five it’s a complete waste of time. For the conservative/saver this is THE ONLY WEEK TO PICK Ogilvy since he’s won here twice. For the throw-caution-to-the-wind player, Kuchar, Day or Watson should lead the line. I’ll find myself right in the middle with Chris Kirk. WHAT COULD POSSIBLY GO WRONG? Kirk needed to tie the course record on Monday to hit six figures. Yeah, that’s all I needed to pocket $110,000, 11 birdies and 62. Day pulled the same trick but he finished T3.

 

Sony Open: I’m going with the man who has eight top 10s in 13 career starts, Charles Howell III. He’s hit the top five in five of the last six years and I’m not going to find that anywhere else on TOUR. #EasyChoice. Make it top five in five of the last SEVEN years. T26 paid $42,280.

 

Humana Challenge: Ryan Palmer gets the nod this week as he’s shown form on these tracks and has no problem getting low, yo! He’s a member at Colonial, FYI. The pain. The suffering. The life of a fantasy gamer. If reading from top to bottom it’s easy to see why my pain is prevalent. Shut up. T10 isn’t great but isn’t terrible, $136,000.

 

WMPO: This week, Hunter Mahan takes the wheel. With his wife due shortly, he knows his time, for the moment, is limited and it’s time to make hay. It doesn’t hurt that his game sets up for most layouts and it doesn’t hurt he won here in 2010 and was T4 last year. I’m not confident pulling the trigger on Watson, Spieth, Fowler or Mickelson just yet. THERE’S NOTHING WORSE than playing defense but these gentlemen are more valuable in majors/WGC than here in the desert. Brendan Steele was the backup plan.

 

 

Results

 

 

SEASON TOTAL: $982,922; 10 events

 

Wins:

Seconds:

Thirds:

 

Top 10s: 4

Top 25s: 6

MC: 2, Ryan Moore (Shriners), Hudson Swafford (SFC)

Thermometer: Kirk “saved” me late; Howell never fired and Palmer couldn’t hold the lead. I can only dream of what awaits this week!

 

 

 

Coming Wednesday

 

And the analysis doesn't end here. Rotoworld's Rob Bolton and I will be co-hosting a live chat Wednesday at NOON ET.  We will be breaking down the field at the WMPO and answering your questions. Simply return to the golf home page to join in on the chatter.

 

Mike Glasscott
Fantasy Golf columnist Mike Glasscott joined Rotoworld in 2012. He can be contacted via email at RotoworldGlass@gmail.com or on Twitter.