With barely a week to go until Eagles/Falcons, here are my crunch-time rankings. These are my favorite 32 quarterbacks, 50 running backs, 60 receivers and 25 tight ends. I tried to go format-agnostic, but hewed much closer to PPR than standard. Ultimately, I abide by, “would I really draft this player over this player?” For more in-depth analysis, check out the Rotoworld Draft Guide.
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Top 32 Quarterbacks
1. Aaron Rodgers — Led 2017 NFL in TDs before breaking collarbone. Has better overall supporting cast in ‘18.
2. Tom Brady — MVP had SB-record 505 yards in last start. Age and WR corps are questions, but annual ones.
3. Russell Wilson — Recovered from injury-ruined ‘16 for QB1 finish. SEA’s plan to run more likely dropped quickly.
4. Drew Brees — 2017’s flukily-low 4.3 TD percentage likely to regress closer to 5.3 career mean.
5. Cam Newton — Last year’s QB2 has enhanced play-caller and supporting cast after addition by subtraction.
6. Deshaun Watson — Dual-threat coming off major injury whose TD and INT rates are likely to normalize.
7. Matthew Stafford — Has remained prolific while growing ever-more efficient. Impressive stable of weapons.
8. Carson Wentz — League-leading 7.5 TD rate will regress. Possible sluggish start as he returns from torn ACL.
9. Ben Roethlisberger — League’s best trio of weapons should help Ben equal last year’s QB10 finish.
11. Andrew Luck — 5.9 TD percentage since start of ‘14 season second highest in league. Slow start the worry.
12. Jimmy Garoppolo — Lots to love, but needs unheralded supporting cast to fully tap projected upside.
13. Philip Rivers — Has averaged 30 TDs over past decade while posting 7.87 YPA and 64.8 completion percentage.
14. Pat Mahomes — Uber-aggressive Mahomes’ fourth-best weapon (Watkins) would be second on most teams.
15. Matt Ryan — Reversion to three-year touchdown mean of 26 would make Ryan QB1 more weeks than not.
16. Alex Smith — #NewAlex won’t repeat his career 2017, but he has decent stable of weapons in pass-happy O.
17. Marcus Mariota — Old system was poor, but Mariota never rose above it. Cautious optimism, not breathless anticipation.
18. Derek Carr — A supposed natural in Chucky’s system. Carr looking to get back to ‘15-16 average of 30 TDs.
22. Dak Prescott — Cavalry didn’t come for a WR corps that needed upgrading. OL issues mounting.
23. Eli Manning — So many weapons, but Eli’s dead arm was hospital ball-ing teammates in the preseason.
24. Ryan Tannehill — Now on the wrong side of 30, Tanne’s supporting cast is deeper if not necessarily better.
25. Mitchell Trubisky — Everything is new. That increases Trubisky’s upside, but leaves his downside intact.
26. Blake Bortles — Narrative would be different had the Jags been eliminated by his 87-yard WC performance.
27. Case Keenum — If nothing else, Keenum has proven he can have serviceable games with two stud receivers.
28. Sam Darnold — Youngest Week 1 starter in NFL history figures to alternate eye-poppers with catastrophes.
30. Tyrod Taylor — Taylor is good, but he is not “hold off the No. 1 overall pick for 16 games” good.
31. Josh Allen — Inefficient college quarterback begins NFL career with uniquely inefficient receiver trio.
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Top 50 Running Backs
3. Todd Gurley — Even with disastrous '16 mixed in, TG tied for league lead in rushing TDs over past three years.
4. Ezekiel Elliott — Only Bell has averaged more touches since Zeke entered NFL. ‘Boys have nowhere else to turn.
5. Alvin Kamara — Was RB3 on 201 touches. Inevitable regression will be countered by enhanced Weeks 1-4 role.
6. Melvin Gordon — Missed three games in '16 and still has third most touches over past two years. No competition.
7. Saquon Barkley — Special player who will begin career with the role dreams are made of.
9. Christian McCaffrey — 25-30 weekly touches isn’t happening, but 18-22 could turn CMC into a league-winner.
10. Devonta Freeman — Fifth in RB YFS over the past three seasons. Role is secure and his RB1 output predictable.
11. Leonard Fournette — Durability and stamina were major rookie bugaboos. Responded by losing 15 pounds.
12. LeSean McCoy — Risk on every front. Age, OL, 2017 production, bad QB, off field. Mammoth role indisputable.
14. Jordan Howard — Third in rushing and 11th in TDs over past two years in offense that couldn’t tie its shoes.
15. Joe Mixon — Lost weight after hot 2017 finish (5.02 YPC over final four). Has the skills to do it all.
16. Kenyan Drake — One of 2017’s great swing players. Capable of winning leagues if Dolphins get out of his way.
18. Lamar Miller — Miller has averaged just 3.87 yards on 501 Texans carries but is locked into an every-down role
20. Jay Ajayi — Missed summer practice time in Eagles’ bottomless backfield has upped intrigue factor.
22. Dion Lewis — Can handle any situation. Increased Titans hurry-up O would be trump card over Henry.
23. Derrick Henry — A more limited player than Dion, but the things he’s good at, he’s really good at.
30. Tevin Coleman — Won’t escape the RB3 twilight zone without injury to Freeman.
33. Adrian Peterson — 16 games of lead-back duty probably isn’t happening, but AD looks like early-season freebie.
34. Sony Michel — Fact that B.B. invested 1st-round pick speaks volumes, but knee and fumbling issues foreboding.
36. Isaiah Crowell — Once undervalued, Crowell let a “hot-hand” situation develop with disappointing summer.
39. Duke Johnson — New deal was intriguing, but Hyde and Chubb means it’s still not happening on early downs.
43. Theo Riddick — Break glass in case of bye week emergency.
44. Devontae Booker — Seems destined for third-down duties, at worst.
45. Jordan Wilkins — The best combination of projected early work and future upside in chaotic backfield.
46. James White — You never know when you might need White, but you usually know when you don’t.
47. Alfred Morris — The band began with zero expectations for reunion album, but early sounds surprisingly good.
48. Ty Montgomery — Seems determined to miss out on every last chance.
50. Marlon Mack — Idk.
Top 60 Receivers
1. Antonio Brown — Brown’s 582 catches and 7,848 yards since 2013 most ever over five-year span.
2. DeAndre Hopkins — Let’s see what this guy can do with 16 games of a real quarterback.
3. Odell Beckham — Second in receiving TDs since 2014 despite missing 17 games.
4. Julio Jones — Only second receiver in league history to post four-straight 1,400-yard seasons.
5. Michael Thomas — 2,382 yards over first two seasons ninth most in NFL history. Unquestioned lead target.
6. A.J. Green — 80.5 receiving yards per game for Green’s career would rank fifth in NFL history.
8. Davante Adams — Stranger player. One of four WRs ever to post back-to-back sub-1,000-yard/10-TD seasons.
10. Mike Evans — Evans has No. 1 overall upside, but enough question marks for WR2 downside.
12. Tyreek Hill — Last year’s WR8 probably doesn’t get enough respect. I’m hedging on variance-prone skill-set.
13. Adam Thielen — Has just nine touchdowns on 2,243 yards over past two seasons. Regression coming?
15. JuJu Smith-Schuster — Made only seven rookie starts and still finished as the WR20.
16. Amari Cooper — Circumstance seems to be forcing Cooper toward more slot. Would be ideal “slump buster.”
17. Doug Baldwin — Summer knee injury a concern, but Baldwin has less target competition than ever.
18. Chris Hogan — Was a top-10 receiver before injury last season. Pats lost 240 targets from 2017 team.
19. Jarvis Landry — Coming off a deeply bizarre 2017 season, but has a way of making himself indispensable.
20. Josh Gordon — Probably too optimistic, but unbeatable upside in the late fourth round.
22. Brandin Cooks — Upside perennially capped by outside forces, but will give the “Watkins role” a better name.
25. Marvin Jones — Last year’s WR11 has volatile fantasy skill-set in an increasingly crowded receiver corps.
26. Robby Anderson — Genuinely explosive player who is growing into featured role quite nicely.
27. Allen Robinson — Coming off torn ACL and was disappointing in 2016. Everything is new in Chicago.
29. Emmanuel Sanders — A good player likely to rebound from lost 2017.
30. Kenny Stills — Gets better and more vestaile with each passing season. Quietly WR28 last year.
32. Alshon Jeffery — Missing multiple weeks. It’s been four years since last 1,000-yard season.
35. Julian Edelman — Will return from suspension in Week 5 to an offense that probably missed him dearly.
41. Michael Crabtree — Born to be a post-30 Ravens receiver. Should score his typical eight TDs.
46. John Brown — Tantalizing talent derailed by sickle cell issues. Ravens projecting big things.
48. Jordy Nelson — I hate betting against Nelson, but he appeared three steps slow in 2017.
49. Allen Hurns — Could be useful in fantasy if he finally shakes injury bug for target-desperate Cowboys.
50. Rishard Matthews — Missed entire summer for offense in transition.
52. Quincy Enunwa — Primary middle-of-field threat for team lacking a tight end.
53. Tyrell Williams — Always a potential week winner, but you never know which weeks.
54. Mike Williams — Touchdown upside in an offense that never stops throwing.
56. D.J. Moore — Panthers want Moore to happen, but summer was an exercise in tedium.
57. Chris Godwin — Makes plays when he’s on the field. D-Jax still there and QBs changing in Week 4.
60. Anthony Miller — Has slot role on lock, but hard to know what Bears’ new offense will actually look like.
Top 25 Tight Ends
1. Rob Gronkowski — Gronk appeared in only 13 games last season and was … the TE2 by a mile.
2. Travis Kelce — Just the eighth tight end in NFL history to post back-to-back 1K seasons.
3. Zach Ertz — Has progressed from TE9 to TE6 to TE3. Will be leaned on especially heavily while Jeffery is out.
4. Delanie Walker — In same vein as Kelce, just eighth TE in NFL history with four-straight 800-yard seasons.
5. Jimmy Graham — At “TD Frankenstein” stage of his career, Graham positioned to improve on 2017’s TE7 finish.
6. Evan Engram —People are so afraid of overdrafting Engram that his TE6/TE7 ADP is actually quite reasonable.
7. Greg Olsen — Drew “back to normal” summer raves, but caution warranted with 33-YO TE coming off lost year.
8. Trey Burton — Bossed the summer for the Bears’ under construction offense.
9. Jack Doyle — Ebron was a summer ghost. Doyle will be inviting short-area target for a regenerating Luck.
10. Kyle Rudolph — Pure floor play who has exceeded 532 yards once in seven years.
11. Jordan Reed — Has appeared in more than 12 games once. Supposedly healthy now.
13. George Kittle —Injuries were a problem in college, as a rookie and this summer.
14. Tyler Eifert — Poor man’s Gronk a top-eight tight end whenever healthy.
16. Jared Cook — Has quietly thrown career narrative in reverse.
18. Ben Watson — A high-end streamer in an offense that always targets tight ends.
21. Austin Seferian-Jenkins — Catch-and-fall specialist in a crowded, perhaps dysfunctional offense.
22. Cameron Brate — Harvard man has a TE2 PhD.
23. Mike Gesicki — Great athlete who could develop into TE2 streamer.
24. Vance McDonald — Legitimate upside in Steelers O, but battling mysterious foot issue.
25. Virgil Green — Post-post-post hype sleeper for a quarterback used to nailing seam touchdowns?