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MLB Daily Plays: Friday

by David “headChopper” Kaplen
Updated On: July 5, 2019, 4:15 pm ET

Friday night MLB DFS is here, and that means a full slate of games to choose from.

As always, be sure to remember the heavy variance that comes with baseball and to be very aware of your bankroll management. Additionally, the RotoGrinders MLB lineups page and push notifications are the best way to get all team lineups in a timely manner.

Now, let’s dig in to find some top FanDuel and DraftKings daily fantasy baseball picks. 

Pitcher

Eduardo Rodriguez (vs. Detroit Tigers)  

There are plenty of studs on the mound tonight that you can pay up for, so let’s try to take a stab at a cheaper option that can free up some cap room. Eduardo Rodriguez checks off many of the boxes I like in a SP1 for DFS. The opponent (Detroit) has the 5th lowest team total tonight (4.06). The Tigers rank second to last in MLB this season in ISO (.147). They strike out at a 26% clip on the season, again, second worst in MLB. Checking in on Rodriguez, we see a solid 9.4 K/9 this season, decent 4.14 xFIP and solid win equity tonight as a -235 favorite. For a massive discount on the studs, I’ll take a chance with the Boston left hander.                    

Others to Consider: Jacob deGrom, Julio Teheran

Catcher/ First Base

Paul Goldschmidt (vs. San Francisco Giants)      

There are several guys tonight that I tend to plug and play in these split matchups. One of them is Paul Goldschmidt. He has been exceptional his entire career against left handers, and this season is no different. In 2019 he has a .235 ISO and 54.8% hard hit rate vs southpaws. The St. Louis First Baseman has only struck out 14.3% of the time while walking nearly 5% more (19%). Amazing. Easy play with the reduced-price tag in this matchup.                  

Others to Consider: Eric Thames, Justin Smoak

 

Second Base

Brian Dozier (vs. Kansas City Royals)                   

I’m not liking a ton of options at the middle infield spots tonight, so I am going to play a couple of guys from the same teams and different spectrums of the salary cap. We might as well pick on this huge 6.16 team total presented to us in this matchup against Brad Keller. The obvious point of interest is the fantastic price tag we get. Only $3.3K on Draftkings and $2.6K on Fanduel leaves us plenty of wiggle room with the rest of our roster. He has rebounded from a poor season in 2018 with 13 home runs now in 2019. Brad Keller is below average as evidenced by his 4.94 xFIP and 16.3% K rate. We will pair Dozier with a running mate shortly.                   

Others to Consider: Jose Altuve, Keston Hiura

              

Third Base

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.(vs. Baltimore Orioles)       

Dylan Bundy is the enigmatic pitcher for the Orioles taking the mound tonight in a tough matchup on the road. The Toronto team total is 5.7 runs and I think we can pluck some guys from this lineup to play in DFS, starting with Vlad Guerrero Jr. In his young career, Vlad has nice numbers against RHP this season. A 40.7% hard hit rate and 90.7 mph average exit velocity tell me he hits the ball hard against righties. Bundy is a reverse splits pitcher that struggles more against right-handed batters. He has allowed a .281 ISO to righties this season and an 89.5 mph average exit velocity. A middle tier price tag pushed Vlad near the top of my list at 3rd base tonight.

Others to Consider: Josh Donaldson, Matt Chapman

              

Shortstop

Trea Turner (vs. Kansas City Royals)

This is the second part of the Nationals middle infield and that high team total I want to target tonight. We’ve already talked about Brad Keller being below average, and Trea Turner is one of the premier threats at the shortstop position in fantasy. The salary is big, but we can squeeze him in partly because we save at 2nd base with his teammate and gave ourselves a little 2-man stack in this shootout. Turner is just nasty with his .229 ISO and 37% hard hit rate vs righties this season. He is a threat from all angles also. He has 17 steals already this season and will run at any point of the game. We love to attack steals and this is the guy I am targeting tonight for the best chance at a steal. It just so happens he can crush fantasy stat lines with his power also.

Others to Consider: Xander Bogaerts, Marcus Semien

              

Outfield

Ryan Braun (vs. Pittsburgh Pirates)

Ryan Braun has been a long-time favorite of mine when he faces left-handed pitching. Some career numbers that stand out to me are the fact the he walks 3.5% more, strikes out 3.5% less, has a .281 ISO with a massive .415 wOBA against left handers in the big leagues. He takes on an average major league left hander tonight (Steven Brault), has a great salary ($4.3 K DK, $2.9K FD) and the Brewers have a luscious 5.25 team total as of Friday morning.

              

Joey Gallo (vs. Minnesota Twins)

Martin Perez left the Texas Rangers and seemingly turned himself into an excellent pitcher. I am not buying that he is legitimately this good so I think we can attack him here and there. I don’t like a full stack, but I don’t mind a one-off. For me Joey Gallo will always hold the best opportunity at a home run on almost any slate he plays on. The good thing about tonight is that the left on lefty matchup will drive down his ownership to nothing. The Texas slugger still has a .413 ISO against left-handed pitching this season and still put the ball in the air 47% of the time he makes contact. Gallo is a monster threat to crack multiple home runs on any slate, and anytime I can get him in my lineup when less than 5% of the field is on him with me, sign me up.

Others to Consider: Enrique Hernandez, Lorenzo Cain

                             

 

David “headChopper” Kaplen
David “headChopper” Kaplen is one of the godfathers of Daily Fantasy, having been near the top of the rankings since DFS emerged in 2010. Nearing double-digit live final qualifiers, David’s crowning achievement is winning the 2013 FanDuel Basketball Champion in Las Vegas. HeadChopper can be found on twitter @headChopper.