Tonight we have a 13-game MLB slate that features a lot of great hitters and pitchers to choose from.
Noah Syndergaard @ San Diego Padres
We had a great display of pitching last night in San Diego, and the Mets are following it up with another ace here tonight. Syndergaard looked great in his last start and draws a lineup with only one projected left-handed hitter. Since the start of 2018, Syndergaard has a .292 wOBA with a .127 ISO and a 27.7 percent strikeout rate against right-handed hitters. While the Padres lineup is certainly better than in years past, it still has a combined 23.7 percent strikeout rate against righties since the start of 2018. Given the ballpark and umpire, Syndergaard is my top pitcher for cash and tournaments tonight.
Max Fried @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Fried is one of my favorite tournament options tonight, even though I highly doubt he's going to get much love. The Dodgers have struggled with left-handed pitching over the years, and Fried is a young, talented pitcher with really good stuff. The projected lineup for LA has a 22.3 percent strikeout rate against left-handed hitters since the start of last season. Fried has a much higher strikeout rate against lefties, but he has a .280 wOBA with a .119 ISO and a 23.8% strikeout rate against right-handed hitters. I like the upside at low ownership, but there is always risk when taking a pitcher against the Dodgers.
Francisco Cervelli vs. Texas Rangers
I like the Pirates a ton tonight, and I'm always willing to pay down at catcher. In 117 PAs against righties since the start of 2018, Rangers starter Adrian Sampson has a .412 wOBA with a .286 ISO and a very low 14.5 percent strikeout rate. He allows a lot of hard contact with a lot of fly balls, and while I don't think Cervelli will homer here, I do think that adds to his upside. Against a pitcher like Sampson and the bullpen of the Rangers, there is a lot of potential for RBIs in this spot.
Brandon Belt @ Colorado Rockies
I try not to write up too many bats from Coors Field, but Belt is my favorite bat from the Giants tonight. He's not getting a massive bump in price, which makes him playable against Antonio Senzatela. Since the start of 2018, the righty has thrown his fastball 64.27 percent of the time against left-handed hitters. Belt has good numbers on fastballs, but more importantly, he has a super high fly ball rate against them. I love the upside in this matchup, and he's certainly the guy I'm looking at in cash games tonight.
Robinson Cano @ San Diego Padres
Robinson Cano has an appealing price across the industry, and while I don't like this ballpark, I really like the matchup. Cal Quantrill struggled in his first outing against lefties and projects as a bad-end start at best. Cano has a .184 ISO with a .352 wOBA against righties since the start of last season. He also doesn't strikeout a lot, which is great when considering him for fantasy. I think the ballpark limits the upside some, but the matchup and price make him one of my top targets tonight.
Alex Bregman vs. Kansas City Royals
As much as I love Nolan Arenado against a lefty in Coors, Bregman makes for an excellent leverage play in tournaments. Danny Duffy has been okay to start the season, but he has a .345 wOBA with a .174 ISO against right-handed hitters since the start of 2018. In that same span, Bregman has a .230 ISO with a .387 wOBA and a very low 11.7 percent strikeout rate. The Astros are a top target for me tonight, and Bregman is one of my favorite plays on the entire slate. The Royals bullpen has struggled this season as well, which makes this stack even more favorable tonight.
Jorge Polanco @ Toronto Blue Jays
If I'm not paying up for Story or going down to Crawford, I'm going to settle into this mid-range. I'm not a fan of Aaron Sanchez, so I think the Twins are a pretty sneaky offense tonight. Sanchez is a groundball pitcher with little strikeout ability. He has a .368 wOBA with a .179 ISO against left-handed hitters since the start of 2018, and his high groundball rate is usually the difference maker and keeps him in ballgames. Polanco has a 43.7 percent fly ball rate against righties since the start of 2018, and he's surrounded by guys with high fly ball rates in this lineup. I love the upside for the Twins in this spot.
Mookie Betts @ Baltimore Orioles
The Red Sox were very disappointing last night, but I'm going right back to the well with them tonight. David Hess has struggled with both righties and lefties since the start of 2018. He has a .348 wOBA with a .219 ISO against righties in that span. He also has a 52.6 percent fly ball rate with a 33.7 percent hard-hit rate to righties since the start of 2018. Mookie Betts is one of the best hitters in baseball and has crushed right-handed pitching since the start of 2018. He has a .258 ISO with a .426 wOBA and a 44.1 percent hard-hit rate. We should see a lot of hard contact and fly balls in this matchup for the Red Sox.
Gregory Polanco vs. Texas Rangers
This is a FanDuel-specifc play, and while I don't mind him on DraftKings too, he's just too cheap for this matchup on FD. Polanco has yet to hit a homer in 2019, but he does have at least one hit in seven of his last 10 games. After a slow start to the season, he's looking better and better at the plate. Like I mentioned above, I really like to attack Texas because of the bullpen. Again, I don't love this ballpark, but the price for Polanco is just too cheap.