NBA Friday is back with a big slate of games tonight. Always keep an eye on the news with the Rotogrinders App to make sure you are setting the best roster you can. Let's get into some of my top plays for FanDuel and DraftKings tonight.
Jamal Murray (vs. Golden State)
This Golden State/Denver game is going to be one I am heavily invested in due to the competitiveness I see taking place. These are the two best records in the Western Conference, and they are separated by one game for the first seed. As good as Golden State may be, they would still love to own home-court advantage throughout the entire Western Conference playoffs. And on the flipside, Denver must feel like the best chance to advance out of the West is to have a seven-game series where they own home-court advantage over Golden State. So, I see both teams playing their best tonight and this game staying close with that high total, which has risen from an open of 233 to its current 235.5. Jamal Murray is a tick underpriced on both sites and he’s exceeded 30+ Fanduel and DraftKings points in his last seven games. With this Denver team being extremely healthy right now, Murray has his upside limited slightly, but he still has 40+ fantasy points in his arsenal at any time and this type of game environment could bring it out.
J.J. Redick (vs. Houston)
The shooting guard position is a good place to save some money tonight and value hunt. JJ Redick is underpriced in my opinion and this is a matchup we can take advantage of. I think the common thought was that with the addition of Jimmy Butler and Tobias Harris guys were going to lose a ton of usage on the 76ers team. However, JJ Redick has maintained his status in this offense. Since Tobias Harris suited up for Philadelphia, Redick has averaged 12.4 field-goal attempts per game and has reached double-digit field goal attempts in each of those games outside of one performance against Golden State where he only got nine field-goal attempts. He also still gets to the free-throw line even with Butler and Harris in there, averaging four free-throw attempts per game. His 32.4 minutes per game since the Harris trade are perfectly acceptable for this price tag and this matchup has a chance to prove very prosperous for the Philadelphia three-point shooter. At some point along your roster build you must save money and I think this is the way to do that tonight without compromising the integrity of your lineup.
Kawhi Leonard (vs. New Orleans)
Just like any night with a decent set of games, small forward plays out the same way. There is a trio of the elite players at the top and then a massive drop off to the rest of the bunch. Right now, I don’t see the strategy of taking two cheap small forwards on Fanduel being the proper lineup build. I think we need to have at least one of the big three (Paul George, Kevin Durant, and Kawhi Leonard). Paul George is well over $1,000 more expensive than the other two guys and just played 43 minutes last night on the road. So that’s enough to take him out of this particular conversation. Then the choice between Durant and Leonard is very close. I love that Golden State game and I already have a couple of the other guys from that game in this write up. So, although I think that’s a tossup question, I’m going to lean Leonard here in this road game against a New Orleans team that runs at a high pace. For the duration of the year they rank fifth in the NBA in pace and they’ve become even quicker since they’ve decided to sit Anthony Davis and not worry about winning games. It’s the type of game flow that benefits a player like Leonard who puts up his best scoring outputs when he can grab steals and blocks in bunches. The truth of the matter is I like all three of these small forwards in the upper range, and it’s splitting hairs trying to decide between Durant and Leonard for me, but the overall strategy is that you need (at least) one of these guys in your lineup on Fanduel.
Draymond Green (vs. Denver)
This is just a price tag play. His salary sits at an absurdly low $5,900 on DraftKings. This is going to be a late-night matchup featuring the top two seeds in the Western Conference. It’s also a chance for the Warriors to get back on track after getting blown out by 30+ at home against Boston in their last game. Sometimes it’s as simple as the projection being too solid to pass on at this price tag. At Rotogrinders, we are projecting Draymond at around 31 DraftKings points for price tag of $5,900. His floor is usually extremely safe, it’s just his ceiling seems to be capped this year with the addition of DeMarcus Cousins. However, in this game environment, with a little extra incentive for Golden State to perform well, I think there’s a chance he reaches the upper end of his spectrum of projections. Basically, there are very few chances that he busts on your team tonight and there is an opportunity for him to put up a classic Draymond stat line and win you a tournament.
Clint Capela (vs. Philadelphia)
We’re getting such a good price tag on Capela, it’s difficult for me to pass on him tonight in this competitive game environment against Philadelphia. He’s $6,700 on DraftKings and $7,500 on Fanduel. The night he was injured and missed about five weeks, he was $7,800 on DraftKings and a whopping $9,200 on Fanduel. The production hasn’t quite been as good since returning but he still played at least 34 minutes in every game over the last five games. Tonight’s matchup against Philadelphia looks like a solid opportunity as the 76ers are struggling to defend the center spot with Joel Embiid sidelined right now. At this price tag I’ll take my chances on Clint Capela running that patented pick and roll all night long on Amir Johnson and Mike Scott.