Tonight, we have a very interesting 10-game slate, and it's interesting because we have five games with spreads in the double-digits. I really think people are going to overthink the blowout situations, which should lead to a really nice edge for DFS. We have a lot of injury news we’re still waiting on while I'm writing this, so much sure to check all the news before lineups lock.
Eric Bledsoe vs. Chicago Bulls
Point guard is a loaded position tonight, but I really like getting exposure to Milwaukee with Eric Bledsoe. The Bucks have the third-highest implied team total on the slate, and as much as I like Giannis, both Bledsoe and Middleton are a lot cheaper. The Bulls rank 30th in defensive efficiency this season, and they're 30th in defensive efficiency against point guards. Bledsoe posted 47 fantasy points in the first meeting against the Bulls, and he's averaging 6.8 fantasy points more when he's at home this season.
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D'Angelo Russell vs. Utah Jazz
The Jazz has been one of the best defensive teams for the last two seasons, but this season they rank 22nd in defensive efficiency. Over the last ten games, Russell has a usage rate of at least 32% in eight games, and he's posted at least 49 fantasy points in three of the last five games. He's had the ball in his hands a lot more since LeVert got injured, and Utah ranks 27th in defensive efficiency against point guards. Whether it’ll be Mitchell or Rubio on him, I really like the floor/upside in this matchup for Russell.
Otto Porter Jr. @ New Orleans Pelicans
With Dwight Howard ruled out tonight, Otto Porter becomes one of my favorite plays on this slate. These two teams just met and scored 238 points and tonight's implied total opened at 241. Porter played well with Howard out in the first meeting, and with all the size that the Pelicans have, I'm expecting him to play a big role again. He's played at least 36 minutes in three of the last four games and has at least 30 fantasy points in all four games. If he plays 36 minutes tonight, look for a monster game from him.
Other Options: TJ Warren, Jonathan Simmons
Larry Nance Jr. @ Oklahoma City Thunder
With Nwaba and Dekker ruled out tonight, Nance will stay in the starting lineup for the Cavs. He played 38 minutes in his start against Minnesota and averaged just under a fantasy point per minute. In 143 minutes without Dekker, Hill, Love, Nwaba, and Smith; Nance is averaging .96 fantasy points per minute. Cleveland has the lowest implied team total on the slate, but it's only 1.8 points lower than their season average. Nance is one of the only players I feel comfortable with from the Cavs tonight.
Rudy Gobert @ Brooklyn Nets
I absolutely love this matchup for Rudy Gobert. The Nets rank 22nd in defensive efficiency against centers this season, but Jarrett Allen has really struggled with big men that post up a lot. Utah has struggled in two of the last three games and will look to get back on track tonight against the Nets. Surprisingly, Gobert averages more fantasy points per minute with Mitchell on the floor, and Mitchell is expected to be back tonight. Gobert has 40+ fantasy points in two of the last four games, and I think he has 50-60-point upside in this matchup tonight.