It's Week 15, which means we only have three weeks left in the regular season. It's crazy how fast the season has gone by this year, but we still have a few weeks to take advantage of it. This week we have a tougher schedule of games and I think there's a lot of edge to be had.
Cash Game Targets
Ben Roethlisberger vs. New England Patriots
If you're wanting to pay up for safety on this slate, Big Ben at home in a must win game seems like the safest option. The Patriots have allowed at least one passing touchdown in 12 of 13 games this season, and they're allowing the ninth-most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. Roethlisberger left the game against Oakland last weekend and ended up coming back to try to save the day, but it was too late. He still finished with 282 yards and two touchdown passes. That's now multiple passing touchdowns in six of his last seven games.
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Mitchell Trubisky vs. Green Bay Packers
I'm going to talk about Aaron Rodgers below as well, as this is one of my favorite football games on the weekend. Trubisky struggled against the Rams last weekend after missing two games, but after a full week of practice, I love his floor/upside against the Packers. Green Bay has allowed multiple passing touchdowns in eight of 13 games this season, as well as in three of the last four. Both of these teams are looking to win this game, and I think it's a matchup that has sneaky shootout potential. Trubisky gives us a nice floor with his ground game, and before he was injured, he scored over 27 fantasy points in four of seven games. Remember that after a slow start to the season, this offense was rolling from Week 4 through Week 10.
Aaron Rodgers @ Chicago Bears
As I mentioned above, I think this game has some shootout potential. No one is going to be on Rodgers against this tough Bears Defense, but this is one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL in a must win football game. If the Packers win, they keep their playoff hopes alive; if they lose, their season is over. Rodgers threw for 286 yards and three touchdowns in Week 1 against the Bears in Green Bay, and he's thrown multiple passing touchdowns in eight of 13 games this season. Chicago has allowed multiple passing touchdowns at home in four of seven games. It's an extremely tough matchup, but there is a lot of upside at low ownership this weekend. Plus, Rodgers is priced as the QB12 on DraftKings, and he should never be priced that low.
Derek Carr @ Cincinnati Bengals
After throwing for 288+ yards in in each of the first four games, Carr was awful throughout the middle of this season. That said, he's thrown for 285 and 322 yards over the last two games, and he's also combined for five touchdowns and zero interceptions in those games. It's hard to trust anything with this offense, but the Raiders draw an excellent matchup against the Bengals, who are allowing the second-most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks this season. They also rank 27th in DVOA against the pass. Carr is cheap across the industry and has some upside in this matchup at this low price.
Cash Game Targets
Saquon Barkley vs. Tennessee Titans
I recommend trying to fit in both Barkley and Elliott in cash games this weekend. Tennessee has seemingly been good against the run this season, but only on the surface. The Titans haven't allowed a lot of rushing touchdowns, but they've allowed over 100 yards rushing in seven of 13 games. They've also given up over 100 yards rushing in three of the last four games. Barkley is averaging 16.1 carries (fourth most) and 7.4 targets (third most) per game this season, and he's also averaging 3.7 red zone touches per game, which is the fourth most in the NFL. This is a must win game for the Giants, so look for them to get the ball to Barkley a lot in this one.
Ezekiel Elliott @ Indianapolis Colts
Elliott continues to be one of the safest running backs each and every week. He leads the NFL in carries, and he's fifth in receptions among running backs. He's averaging 3.5 red zone touches per game, and his 90.2% opportunity share leads the NFL. Elliott has scored at least 25 fantasy points in five straight games, and he's been a top five fantasy running back in four of those games. After 29 touches against the Saints in Week 13, Elliott had 40 touches against the Eagles in Week 14. Like I said above with Barkley, I'm going to do everything I can to play both of these guys in cash games.
Joe Mixon vs. Oakland Raiders
Oakland was able to shut down the run against the Steelers last weekend, but that was only the second time this season they've shut down a running game. The Raiders have allowed over 100 yards rushing in nine of 13 games this season. They're allowing the 12th-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs, and they're ranked 27th in DVOA against the run. In the three games with Driskel at quarterback, Mixon has touched the ball 67 times, and he has over 19 fantasy points in two of those three games. The touches should be there for Mixon in this amazing matchup, and he has a lot of upside at his price across the industry.
Dalvin Cook vs. Miami Dolphins
You can certainly make an argument for playing Cook in cash games on FanDuel, where his price is extremely appealing. He has slowly been worked back into the offense after an injury made him miss a few games, but Minnesota is in must win mode while they try to make the playoffs. Cook only has 22 carries over the last two games, but he has 13 catches on 17 targets in those two games. Miami allows the seventh-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs, and they've allowed a rushing touchdown in eight of 13 games this season. This defense has allowed some big games to running backs that excel at both running and catching the ball. I love the upside of Cook here.