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Statistically Speaking

Crown Royal 400 Stats

by Dan Beaver
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

This week’s race: Crown Royal Jeff Kyle 400 at the Brickyard
Traditional Name: Crown Royal 400
Other Notable Names: Brickyard 400, Allstate 400 at the Brickyard

The Crown Royal Jeff Kyle 400 at the Brickyard—nee the Brickyard 400—is one of the marquee events each season. Racers have been braving this track for more than 100 years and while the majority of those drivers were open wheel superstars, NASCAR has added their heroes for the past 22 years.

While still drinking milk in his everyday life, Jeff Gordon won the inaugural race in 1994 by beating Dale Earnhardt Sr. to the line and he was one of only a few dark horses to grace Victory Lane. He was a well-respected veteran when he won his second, third, fourth, and fifth trophies and this has been a place where experience pays ever since.

NASCAR has an uncanny knack for upsetting the apple cart, however, so no one should be surprised if the tables are turned this week.

10 best drivers at Indy

Over the past three races, these drivers have the best average finish on this track.

1. Jeff Gordon
Last three races average finish at Indy: 4.33
Career avg. finish: 8.4 in 21 attempts

Gordon has a unique opportunity. He won the inaugural race in 1994 and if he can make the right adjustments on Sunday, he could finish his career on this track the way he started. That is not entirely farfetched because he graced Victory Lane last year for the fifth time in his career.

2. Kyle Busch
Last three races average finish at Indy: 4.67
Career avg. finish: 10.6 in 10 attempts

Busch has won three of the last four races this season and he thinks he can add another at Indy. One would be hard-pressed to argue with him since he needs to improve only one position from his 2012 and 2014 efforts. He finished second in those two events.

3. Jimmie Johnson
Last three races average finish at Indy: 5.67
Career avg. finish: 15.5 in 13 attempts

Johnson has four victories at Indy and along with teammate Gordon, he is the only driver with more than two wins on this track. His most impressive run came in 2008 when he survived a tire-killing race to take the checkers first and he showed a lot of patience and a great ability to take care of his car.

4. Dale Earnhardt Jr. (tied with Newman)
Last three races average finish at Indy: 6.33
Career avg. finish: 10.4 in 7 attempts

Earnhardt showed a lot of speed in practice for the Crown Royal Jeff Kyle 400 at the Brickyard and that was not surprising considering how strong Hendrick Motorsports has been on this track in their career. If Indy has a new winner, his name could easily end in “junior.”

4. Ryan Newman (tied with Earnhardt)
Last three races average finish at Indy: 6.33
Career avg. finish: 17.2 in 14 attempts

Newman found something at Indy in 2013. After scoring only two top-10s in his first 12 attempts, he grabbed the pole and won the Crown Royal Samuel Deeds 400 at the Brickyard. Last year, he slipped outside of the top 10 again, but by the narrowest of margins in 11th.

6. Kasey Kahne
Last three races average finish at Indy: 7.00
Career avg. finish: 13.5 in 11 attempts

It should come as no surprise that Kahne rounds out the list of Hendrick Heroes in the top 10. His first effort with this organization ended in a 12th and he has only improved since with a third in 2013 and a sixth last year. Odds are good another top-10 is in the offing.

7. Denny Hamlin
Last three races average finish at Indy: 9.00
Career avg. finish: 15.3 in 9 attempts

As great as Hamlin has been on every minimally-banked course, Indy has not been one of his better venues traditionally. Two of his last three starts have been good enough to get him into the top 10 in three-year averages, but he also has an 18th in 2013. His troubles on this track continued in Friday’s practice when the hood of his Toyota flew up and damaged his car.

8. Tony Stewart
Last three races average finish at Indy: 10.33
Career avg. finish: 8.5 in 16 attempts

Indy has traditionally been one of Stewart’s best venues and he entered last year’s Brickyard 400 with a five-race, top-10 streak. His results were already softening last summer, however, when he finished 17th in the Crown Royal John W Walding 400 at the Brickyard.

9. Kevin Harvick (tied with Biffle)
Last three races average finish at Indy: 13.33
Career avg. finish: 10.7 in 14 attempts

Harvick makes the top 10 this week, but not by a wide margin. Only one of his last three attempts ended in a top-10 and that was only an eighth. He won the pole for last year’s race before scoring that single digit result and that should give players a modicum of hope.

9. Greg Biffle (tied with Harvick)
Last three races average finish at Indy: 13.33
Career avg. finish: 13.2 in 12 attempts

Biffle entered 2013 with a five-race, top-10 streak on this track and it appeared he would be unstoppable. He slipped to 24th that year and was only 13th in 2014. If he cannot arrest his slide, he will be off this list when next year rolls around.

Others of Note

12. Martin Truex Jr.
Last three races average finish at Indy: 14.67
Career avg. finish: 20.8 in 10 attempts

Truex has his work cut out for him this week with only one top-10 to his credit in 10 races at Indy. That came three years ago and he followed it with an 11th shortly after, but his luck has not been particularly strong recently and fans are within their right to be concerned.

14. Joey Logano
Last three races average finish at Indy: 15.33
Career avg. finish: 15.3 in 6 attempts

If not for crash damage sustained in 2012, Logano would be part of the top 10 this week. His last two results were quite strong with an eighth and a fifth last year after starting ninth. He has been good in marquee events and should be considered a favorite to add a third straight single-digit result.

23. Kurt Busch
Last three races average finish at Indy: 26.00
Career avg. finish: 20.0 in 14 attempts

Busch started out with a bang at Indy and a fifth-place finish in 2001. He has not cracked the top five since and has less than a handful of top-10s in the intervening years. His last three efforts netted only one top-15 versus two results outside the top 25. 

 

Rank

Driver

3 Yr. Avg. Fin

Attempts

1.

Jeff Gordon

4.33

3

2.

Kyle Busch

4.67

3

3.

Jimmie Johnson

5.67

3

4.

Ryan Newman

6.33

3

4.

Dale Earnhardt Jr.

6.33

3

6.

Kasey Kahne

7.00

3

7.

Denny Hamlin

9.00

3

8.

Tony Stewart

10.33

3

9.

Greg Biffle

13.33

3

9.

Kevin Harvick

13.33

3

 

11.

Brad Keselowski

14.00

3

12.

Matt Kenseth

14.67

3

12.

Martin Truex Jr.

14.67

3

14.

Joey Logano

15.33

3

15.

Clint Bowyer

17.00

3

16.

Austin Dillon

18.00

2

17.

Carl Edwards

19.00

3

17.

Jamie McMurray

19.00

3

17.

Aric Almirola

19.00

3

20.

Paul Menard

20.00

3

20.

AJ Allmendinger

20.00

2

22.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

24.50

2

23.

Kurt Busch

26.00

3

24.

Trevor Bayne

29.33

3

24.

Landon Cassill

29.33

3

26.

Casey Mears

31.33

3

27.

David Ragan

32.33

3

28.

David Gilliland

32.67

3

29.

Bobby Labonte

33.00

3

30.

Michael McDowell

34.67

3

31.

Travis Kvapil

35.67

3

31.

Josh Wise

35.67

3

33.

Danica Patrick

36.00

2

34.

JJ Yeley

39.00

2

35.

Reed Sorenson

41.00

2

36.

Mike Bliss

43.50

2

Exercise Caution


Most caution flags: 13, 2004 Brickyard 400
Fewest caution flags: 1, 1995 Brickyard 400
Average number of caution flags per race: 6.1

Final Caution, last five races:
July 2014: Lap 140 of 160: 1-car slowed on track (Ryan Truex)
July 2013: Lap 115 of 160: 1-car slowed on track (Timmy Hill)
July 2012: Lap 134 of 160: 4-car accident in turn 1 (Matt Kenseth, Joey Logano, Trevor Bayne, and Bobby Labonte)
July 2011: Lap 121 of 160: 2-car accident in turn 3 (David Ragan and Landon Cassill)
July 2010: Lap 147 of 160: 2-car accident in turn 4 (Juan Montoya and Dale Earnhardt Jr.)

Most caution laps: 52, 2008 Allstate 400 at the Brickyard
Fewest caution laps: 4, 1995 Brickyard 400
Average number of caution laps per race: 26.0

Leading the way

Most leaders: 16, 2008 Allstate 400 at the Brickyard
Fewest leaders: 5, 2000  Brickyard 400
Average number of leaders: 9.9

Most lead changes: 26, 2008 Allstate 400 at the Brickyard
Fewest lead changes: 9 (3 times), 2009 Allstate 400 at the Brickyard, 2004 Brickyard 400, 2000 Brickyard 400
Average number of lead changes: 16.1

Victory Lane

Last five winners at Indy (starting position):
July 2014: Jeff Gordon (2)
July 2013: Ryan Newman (1)
July 2012: Jimmie Johnson (6)
July 2011: Paul Menard (15)
July 2010: Jamie McMurray (4)

Worst starting position for race winner: 27th, Jeff Gordon, 2001 Brickyard 400

A race at Indy has been won by the pole sitter 3 times and from the front row 5 times in 22 races.

Recent Races won from the pole:
July 2013: Ryan Newman, Crown Royal Samuel Deeds 400 at the Brickyard
July 2008: Jimmie Johnson, Allstate 400 at the Brickyard
July 2003: Kevin Harvick, Brickyard 400

Active winners at Indy:
Jeff Gordon: 5
Jimmie Johnson: 4
Tony Stewart: 2
Kevin Harvick: 1
Bobby Labonte: 1
Jamie McMurray: 1
Paul Menard: 1
Ryan Newman: 1

Top-10 all-time wins at Indy:
Jeff Gordon: 5
Jimmie Johnson: 4
Dale Jarrett: 2
Tony Stewart: 2
Dale Earnhardt Sr., Bill Elliott, Kevin Harvick, Bobby Labonte, Jamie McMurray, Paul Menard, Ryan Newman, and Ricky Rudd 1

Top-10 winners on flat tracks (Indy, Pocono, New Hampshire, Phoenix, Richmond, and Martinsville):
Jeff Gordon: 24
Jimmie Johnson: 22
Richard Petty: 17
Darrell Waltrip: 15
Rusty Wallace: 13
Denny Hamlin: 12
Tony Stewart: 11
Dale Earnhardt Sr.: 10
Kevin Harvick: 10
Kurt Busch: 8
Dale Jarrett: 8
Cale Yarborough: 8

First time winners at Indy:
2001: Paul Menard, 2011 Brickyard 400

Running at the End

The following active drivers have been running at the end of every Indy race they started:
Tony Stewart (16)
Kevin Harvick (14)
Greg Biffle (12)
Jamie McMurray (12)
Casey Mears (11)
Kyle Busch (10)
Carl Edwards (10)
Clint Bowyer (9)
Denny Hamlin (9)
Paul Menard (8)
David Ragan (8)
David Gilliland (7)
AJ Allmendinger (6)
Joey Logano (6)
Brad Keselowski (5)
Sam Hornish Jr. (4)
Aric Almirola (3)
Austin Dillon (2)
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (2)
Justin Allgaier (1)
Michael Annett (1)
Alex Bowman (1)
Timmy Hill (1)
Kyle Larson (1)
Cole Whitt (1)

Trevor Bayne had been running at the end of three consecutive races until he crashed last summer.
Martin Truex Jr. crashed in the 2005 Brickyard 400, but has been running at the end of his last nine attempts.
Landon Cassill parked early in the 2010, but has been running at the end of his last four attempts.
Josh Wise parked early in the 2012, but has been running at the end of his last two attempts.

Great Starts

Active drivers with top-10s in their first start on this track:
Jeff Gordon: (1) 1994 – inaugural event
Jamie McMurray: 3 (2003)
Clint Bowyer: 4 (2006)
Kasey Kahne: 4 (2004)
Kurt Busch: 5 (2001)
Kyle Larson: 7 (2014)
Tony Stewart: 7 (1999)
Jimmie Johnson: 9 (2002)
AJ Allmendinger: 10 (2008)
Denny Hamlin: 10 (2006)
Kyle Busch: 10 (2005)

Current Streaks

At Indy
Kyle Busch, five top-10s
Jeff Gordon, four top-10s
Dale Earnhardt Jr., three top-10s
Kasey Kahne, two top-10s
Matt Kenseth, two top-10s
Joey Logano, two top-10s

On flat tracks
Kevin Harvick, 10 top-10s
Joey Logano, 10 top-10s
Matt Kenseth, four top-10s
Kurt Busch, three top-10s
Kyle Busch, two top-10s

In 2015
Kurt Busch, six top-10s
Kevin Harvick, four top-10s
Jeff Gordon, three top-10s
Kyle Busch, two victories
Brad Keselowski, two top-10s
Matt Kenseth, two top-10s
Joey Logano, two top-10s
Carl Edwards, two top10s

 

Dan Beaver

Dan Beaver has been covering fantasy NASCAR for more than 20 years with a little help from his >650,000 record database. He can be found on Twitter @FantasyRace.