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Strike Zone

Projection Review: Hitters II

by Matthew Pouliot
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Part two of the hitting projections review looks at the shortstops and outfielders. Part one can be found here. I have my preseason top 10 shortstops and top 30 outfielders below, with some others of varying degrees of interest. Expect the starting pitcher projections review next week.

 

Shortstops

 

1. Hanley Ramirez - Red Sox

Projection: .291/.358/.503, 23 HR, 83 R, 91 RBI, 11 SB in 519 AB

2015 stats: .249/.291/.426, 19 HR, 59 R, 53 RBI, 6 SB in 401 AB

 

The first year NL-to-AL switch always makes me nervous, which is why Ramirez’s OPS projection was down 55 points from the 2014 projection, even as he was moving to a better offensive environment in Fenway. Of course, it was more than just the league switch in play here, but I do believe Hanley will be a lot better in year two if he gets the chance.

 

2. Troy Tulowitzki - Rockies/Blue Jays

Projection: .298/.379/.519, 25 HR, 87 R, 85 RBI, 2 SB in 480 AB

2015 stats: .280/.337/.440, 17 HR, 77 R, 70 RBI, 1 SB in 486 AB

 

3. Jose Reyes - Blue Jays/Rockies

Projection: .281/.334/.404, 11 HR, 89 R, 51 RBI, 25 SB in 570 AB

2015 stats: .274/.310/.378, 7 HR, 57 R, 53 RBI, 24 SB in 481 AB

 

Ideally, another trade is on the way for Reyes. It’s going to be a tough call ranking him next year if he’s still in Colorado. If he’s happy and healthy, he’d be a possibility to hit .310-.320 and score a bunch of runs with half of his games coming in Coors. Still, he probably won’t be happy and he’s a weaker bet to stay healthy with each passing year.

 

4. Ian Desmond - Nationals

Projection: .257/.311/.428, 21 HR, 71 R, 82 RBI, 20 SB in 580 AB

2015 stats: .233/.290/.384, 19 HR, 69 R, 62 RBI, 13 SB in 583 AB

 

Desmond hit .262/.331/.446 with 12 homers in the second half. It didn’t quite salvage his season, but it’ll be good enough to ensure that he receives some fairly big offers as a free agent.

 

5. Starlin Castro - Cubs

Projection: .281/.330/.428, 16 HR, 77 R, 72 RBI, 7 SB in 584 AB

2015 stats: .265/.296/.375, 11 HR, 52 R, 69 RBI, 5 SB in 547 AB

 

6. Elvis Andrus - Rangers

Projection: .277/.340/.364, 5 HR, 76 R, 54 RBI, 30 SB in 585 AB

2015 stats: .259/.309/.357, 7 HR, 69 R, 62 RBI, 25 SB in 596 AB

 

.277/.320/.398 with 16 steals in 74 games after the All-Star break looks a whole lot better. Too bad it all came undone for Andrus in Game 5 of the ALDS. One wonders if there will be a push to trade him this winter, even though it would mean eating quite a bit of money.

 

7. Ben Zobrist - Athletics/Royals

Projection: .266/.359/.412, 14 HR, 84 R, 65 RBI, 9 SB in 553 AB

2015 stats: .276/.359/.450, 13 HR, 76 R, 56 RBI, 3 SB in 467 AB

 

8. Danny Santana - Twins

Projection: .263/.304/.386, 8 HR, 80 R, 53 RBI, 27 SB in 593 AB

2015 stats: .215/.241/.291, 0 HR, 30 R, 21 RBI, 8 SB in 261 AB

 

I didn’t think Santana would be all that productive, but it looked like he had a realistic chance of spending most of the season hitting leadoff for a quality offense. He turned out to be such a disaster that he won’t even be able to count on making the Twins as a utilityman next spring.

 

9. Alexei Ramirez - White Sox

Projection: .270/.303/.390, 12 HR, 67 R, 65 RBI, 18 SB in 589 AB

2015 stats: .249/.285/.357, 10 HR, 54 R, 62 RBI, 17 SB in 583 AB

 

10. Alcides Escobar - Royals

Projection: .269/.305/.356, 5 HR, 74 R, 52 RBI, 28 SB in 609 AB

2015 stats: .257/.293/.320, 3 HR, 76 R, 47 RBI, 17 SB in 612 AB

 

Others

 

11. Xander Bogaerts - Red Sox

Projection: .270/.341/.429, 16 HR, 72 R, 70 RBI, 4 SB in 529 AB

2015 stats: .320/.355/.421, 7 HR, 84 R, 81 RBI, 10 SB in 613 AB

 

I was off by 50 points of average, yet only six points of OPS. The home run power is coming, though.

 

12. Erick Aybar - Angels

Projection: .279/.320/.389, 8 HR, 67 R, 59 RBI, 15 SB in 555 AB

2015 stats: .270/.301/.338, 3 HR, 74 R, 44 RBI, 15 SB in 597 AB

 

13. Jimmy Rollins - Dodgers

Projection: .237/.309/.362. 13 HR, 78 R, 56 RBI, 23 SB in 556 AB

2015 stats: .224/.285/.358, 13 HR, 71 R, 41 RBI, 12 SB in 517 AB

 

After bottoming out at .204/.259/.322 on July 20, Rollins hit .261/.329/.430 in 188 at-bats the rest of the way. Still, his defense has slipped enough that he might have a difficult time landing a starting job at short this winter.

 

14. Jean Segura - Brewers

Projection: .270/.319/.364, 7 HR, 61 R, 49 RBI, 25 SB in 533 AB

2015 stats: .257/.281/.336, 6 HR, 57 R, 50 RBI, 25 SB in 560 AB

 

16. Brad Miller - Mariners

Projection: .262/.330/.433, 16 HR, 64 R, 60 RBI, 8 SB in 473 AB

2015 stats: .258/.329/.402, 11 HR, 44 R, 46 RBI, 13 SB in 438 AB

 

Ketel Marte figures to be Seattle’s shortstop next year. My hope is that the Mariners give Miller a starting job in the outfield and just leave him alone, but I’m not counting on it.

 

18. Jhonny Peralta - Cardinals

Projection: .265/.326/.406, 14 HR, 62 R, 66 RBI, 2 SB in 540 AB

2015 stats: .275/.334/.411, 17 HR, 64 R, 71 RBI, 1 SB in 579 AB

 

19. Asdrubal Cabrera - Rays

Projection: .252/.312/.388, 13 HR, 68 R, 64 RBI, 8 SB in 551 AB

2015 stats: .265/.315/.430, 15 HR, 66 R, 58 RBI, 6 SB in 505 AB

 

22. Wilmer Flores - Mets

Projection: .261/.304/.403, 14 HR, 57 R, 61 RBI, 2 SB in 514 AB

2015 stats: .263/.295/.408, 16 HR, 55 R, 59 RBI, 0 SB in 483 AB

 

26. Jung-Ho Kang - Pirates

Projection: .235/.316/.398, 12 HR, 41 R, 44 RBI, 3 SB in 332 AB

2015 stats: .287/.355/.461, 15 HR, 60 R, 58 RBI, 5 SB in 421 AB

 

I didn’t see Kang hitting for average with his leg kick, but he turned into a really nice surprise as the year went along. Let’s just hope he comes back as the same player after his major leg injury.

 

28. Didi Gregorius - Yankees

Projection: .241/.310/.365, 10 HR, 53 R, 46 RBI, 5 SB in 419 AB

2015 stats: .265/.318/.370, 9 HR, 57 R, 56 RBI, 5 SB in 525 AB

 

29. Brandon Crawford - Giants

Projection: .238/.306/.358, 9 HR, 53 R, 52 RBI, 4 SB in 492 AB

2015 stats: .256/.321/.462, 21 HR, 65 R, 84 RBI, 6 SB in 507 AB

 

Crawford homered on 16.2% of his flyballs this year, the 30th best mark in the majors. That’s higher than Todd Frazier, Kris Bryant, Evan Gattis, Lucas Duda, Jay Bruce or Miguel Cabrera. I have no idea how it happened, and I can’t imagine he’ll do it again (he homered on about 6% of his flyballs in his first four seasons).

 

32. Yunel Escobar - Nationals

Projection: .260/.339/.345, 5 HR, 47 R, 42 RBI, 2 SB in 438 AB

2015 stats: .314/.375/.415, 9 HR, 75 R, 56 RBI, 2 SB in 535 AB

 

37. Francisco Lindor - Indians

Projection: .253/.304/.356, 5 HR, 35 R, 29 RBI, 9 SB in 292 AB

2015 stats: .313/.353/.482, 12 HR, 50 R, 51 RBI, 12 SB in 390 AB

 

50. Addison Russell - Cubs

Projection: .239/.294/.385, 3 HR, 12 R, 12 RBI, 2 SB in 109 AB

2015 stats: .242/.307/.389, 13 HR, 60 R, 54 RBI, 4 SB in 475 AB

 

51. Carlos Correa - Astros

Projection: .247/.302/.381, 2 HR, 11 R, 10 RBI, 3 SB in 97 AB

2015 stats: .279/.345/.512, 22 HR, 52 R, 68 RBI, 14 SB in 387 AB

 

Tulo might get the better OPS projection -- I’m not sure yet -- but Correa will be my No. 1 shortstop next year. Lindor will probably be in the top five, too, and Russell should round out the top 10.

 

Outfielders

 

1. Mike Trout - Angels

Projection: .306/.406/.568, 33 HR, 115 R, 105 RBI, 20 SB in 563 AB

2015 stats: .299/.402/.590, 41 HR, 104 R, 90 RBI, 11 SB in 575 AB

 

Trout will be No. 1 on the board again next year, but it’s imperative that the Angels get him some more help. It’s their fault he finished with 18 fewer runs scored and 33 fewer RBI than Josh Donaldson.

 

2. Giancarlo Stanton - Marlins

Projection: .283/.399/.571, 40 HR, 94 R, 120 RBI, 7 SB in 548 AB

2015 stats: .265/.346/.606, 27 HR, 47 R, 67 RBI, 4 SB in 279 AB

 

3. Andrew McCutchen - Pirates

Projection: .301/.395/.502, 23 HR, 92 R, 89 RBI, 18 SB in 554 AB

2015 stats: .292/.401/.488, 23 HR, 91 R, 96 RBI, 11 SB in 566 AB

 

4. Carlos Gomez - Brewers/Astros

Projection: .268/.326/.458, 24 HR, 98 R, 75 RBI, 32 SB in 598 AB

2015 stats: .255/.314/.409, 12 HR, 61 R, 56 RBI, 17 SB in 435 AB

 

5. Yoenis Cespedes - Tigers/Mets

Projection: .278/.326/.525, 32 HR, 91 R, 96 RBI, 9 SB in 554 AB

2015 stats: .291/.328/.542, 35 HR, 101 R, 105 RBI, 7 SB in 633 AB

 

Since I thought there was a good chance he’d hit second for the Tigers (as Torii Hunter did in 2014), I actually had Cespedes third ahead of McCutchen and Gomez in my first draft of the rankings. Then came the bad news that Ausmus was going to bat him sixth. Nice call, Brad.

 

6. Jose Bautista - Blue Jays

Projection: .264/.365/.504, 34 HR, 93 R, 105 RBI, 5 SB in 526 AB

2015 stats: .250/.377/.536, 40 HR, 108 R, 114 RBI, 8 SB in 543 AB

 

7. Yasiel Puig - Dodgers

Projection: .290/.372/.494, 23 HR, 97 R, 83 RBI, 15 SB in 544 AB

2015 stats: .255/.322/.436, 11 HR, 30 R, 38 RBI, 3 SB in 282 AB

 

All Puig really needs to do is get healthy and stay that way. I’m not sure we can count on that happening, though. I don’t think he’ll be in the top 10 here next year.

 

8. Adam Jones - Orioles

Projection: .275/.312/.465, 28 HR, 89 R, 102 RBI, 9 SB in 622 AB

2015 stats: .269/.308/.474, 27 HR, 74 R, 82 RBI, 3 SB in 546 AB

 

9. Bryce Harper - Nationals

Projection: .285/.358/.513, 27 HR, 84 R, 96 RBI, 12 SB in 526 AB

2015 stats: .330/.460/.649, 42 HR, 118 R, 99 RBI, 6 SB in 521 AB

 

Harper had my fourth-highest OPS projection among outfielders (though lower that each of the previous two years), but I was concerned about the injury likelihood and gave him the third smallest total of plate appearances among my top 25 outfielders (only Carlos Gonzalez and Corey Dickerson were lower). The near match of the at-bat projection is deceptive because of Harper’s huge number of walks (I projected him for 594 PA and he came in at 654).

 

10. Jacoby Ellsbury - Yankees

Projection: .278/.334/.426, 17 HR, 91 R, 68 RBI, 36 SB in 571 AB

2015 stats: .257/.318/.345, 7 HR, 66 R, 33 RBI, 21 SB in 452 AB

 

11. Michael Brantley - Indians

Projection: .306/.368/.457, 16 HR, 84 R, 86 RBI, 18 SB in 578 AB

2015 stats: .310/.379/.480, 15 HR, 68 R, 84 RBI, 15 SB in 529 AB

 

68 runs scored? 68?

 

12. Carlos Gonzalez - Rockies

Projection: .286/.349/.503, 25 HR, 85 R, 89 RBI, 18 SB in 507 AB

2015 stats: .271/.325/.540, 40 HR, 87 R, 97 RBI, 2 SB in 554 AB

 

Gonzalez scoring just 87 runs in a season in which he hit 40 homers is almost as bad. His two triples, 25 doubles, 83 singles and 46 walks amounted to just 47 runs scored, which seems rather weird given Nolan Arenado’s presence behind him.

 

13. Ryan Braun - Brewers

Projection: .287/.357/.492, 25 HR, 83 R, 91 RBI, 13 SB in 547 AB

2015 stats: .285/.356/.498, 25 HR, 87 R, 84 RBI, 24 SB in 506 AB

 

14. Mookie Betts - Red Sox

Projection: .290/.358/.429, 12 HR, 97 R, 61 RBI, 31 SB in 580 AB

2015 stats: .291/.341/.479, 18 HR, 92 R, 77 RBI, 21 SB in 597 AB

 

15. George Springer - Astros

Projection: .240/.348/.467, 30 HR, 84 R, 96 RBI, 16 SB in 537 AB

2015 stats: .276/.367/.459, 16 HR, 59 R, 41 RBI, 16 SB in 388 AB

 

Springer will be in the top 10 next year, that’s for sure. I just wonder if he’ll aim for 30 steals; he certainly has the speed to get there.

 

16. Mark Trumbo - Diamondbacks/Mariners

Projection: .254/.312/.489, 33 HR, 77 R, 105 RBI, 5 SB in 558 AB

2015 stats: .262/.310/.449, 22 HR, 62 R, 64 RBI, 0 SB in 508 AB

 

Trumbo was hitting .259/.299/.506 with nine homers in 174 at-bats before being traded to Seattle and going into a big slump. He pulled out of it in the second half, and he could be a reasonable fantasy outfielder in 2016 even with Safeco cutting into his upside. It’ll help that he won’t cost nearly as much on draft day.

 

17. Billy Hamilton - Reds

Projection: .265/.316/.356, 5 HR, 82 R, 41 RBI, 63 SB in 592 AB

2015 stats: .226/.274/.289, 4 HR, 56 R, 28 RBI, 57 SB in 412 AB

 

The good news is that Hamilton’s defense and baserunning are so exceptional that he’s a decent regular even while posting a .274 OBP. The Reds have to stick with him, but we’ll have to wait and see whether they pencil him back into the leadoff spot or not.

 

18. Jay Bruce - Reds

Projection: .248/.322/.485, 32 HR, 80 R, 98 RBI, 7 SB in 544 AB

2015 stats: .226/.294/.434, 26 HR, 72 R, 87 RBI, 9 SB in 580 AB

 

Bruce’s bad knee excused his tough 2014. I’m not sure what the problem was last year. He overcame a slow start and was hitting .257/.341/.486 through the end of July. He then came in at .178/.219/.357 the rest of the way, making him one of the NL’s worst players over the final two months.

 

19. Corey Dickerson - Rockies

Projection: .294/.346/.500, 21 HR, 80 R, 81 RBI, 7 SB in 528 AB

2015 stats: .304/.333/.536, 10 HR, 30 R, 31 RBI, 0 SB in 224 AB

 

20. Starling Marte - Pirates

Projection: .278/.337/.443, 16 HR, 72 R, 71 RBI, 28 SB in 557 AB

2015 stats: .287/.337/.444, 19 HR, 84 R, 81 RBI, 30 SB in 579 AB

 

21. Justin Upton - Diamondbacks

Projection: .261/.344/.459, 26 HR, 86 R, 75 RBI, 12 SB in 567 AB

2015 stats: .251/.336/.454, 26 HR, 85 R, 81 RBI, 19 SB in 542 AB

 

A nice projection, but I wouldn’t have guessed that he’d hit .277 with 15 homers at Petco and .225 with 11 homers elsewhere.

 

22. Kole Calhoun - Angels

Projection: .276/.336/.439, 18 HR, 99 R, 68 RBI, 9 SB in 595 AB

2015 stats: .256/.308/.422, 26 HR, 78 R, 83 RBI, 4 SB in 630 AB

 

23. Avisail Garcia - White Sox

Projection: .269/.309/.436, 22 HR, 75 R, 90 RBI, 11 SB in 599 AB

2015 stats: .257/.309/.365, 13 HR, 66 R, 59 RBI, 7 SB in 553 AB

 

I thought Garcia would hit for some power, but he still has so much to learn if he’s ever going to get anything out of his tools. I mean, there’s just nothing here to be encouraged about right now. If anything, he was lucky to hit 13 homers, considering that he finished the season with just 17 doubles in 601 plate appearances.

 

24. Christian Yelich - Marlins

Projection: .282/.354/.420, 13 HR, 85 R, 69 RBI, 19 SB in 600 AB

2015 stats: .300/.366/.416, 7 HR, 63 R, 44 RBI, 16 SB in 476 AB

 

Blame the back woes for the lack of power. Especially with the Marlins apparently bringing in the fences, Yelich is a big-time breakout candidate.

 

25. J.D. Martinez - Tigers

Projection: .257/.305/.467, 27 HR, 79 R, 94 RBI, 5 SB in 583 AB

2015 stats: .282/.344/.535, 38 HR, 93 R, 102 RBI, 3 SB in 596 AB

 

26. Jorge Soler - Cubs

Projection: .266/.329/.466, 25 HR, 76 R, 92 RBI, 6 SB in 541 AB

2015 stats: .262/.324/.399, 10 HR, 39 R, 47 RBI, 3 SB in 366 AB

 

I’ll project him for 25 homers again next year.

 

27. Nelson Cruz - Mariners

Projection: .252/.314/.457, 30 HR, 78 R, 95 RBI, 3 SB in 571 AB

2015 stats: .302/.369/.566, 44 HR, 90 R, 93 RBI, 3 SB in 590 AB

 

28. Gregory Polanco - Pirates

Projection: .265/.334/.418, 17 HR, 84 R, 63 RBI, 25 SB in 558 AB

2015 stats: .256/.320/.381, 9 HR, 83 R, 52 RBI, 27 SB in 593 AB

 

29. Hunter Pence - Giants

Projection: .270/.334/.432, 17 HR, 71 R, 78 RBI, 11 SB in 525 AB

2015 stats: .275/.327/.478, 9 HR, 30 R, 40 RBI, 4 SB in 207 AB

 

30. Oswaldo Arcia - Twins

Projection: .264/.324/.484, 27 HR, 74 R, 91 RBI, 3 SB in 537 AB

2015 stats: .276/.338/.379, 2 HR, 6 R, 8 RBI, 0 SB in 58 AB

 

Arcia hit 34 homers in 723 at-bats between his age 22 and 23 seasons, yet the Twins have decided to give up on him. It’ll come back to bite them.

 

Others

 

31. Jason Heyward - Cardinals

Projection: .275/.351/.441, 18 HR, 88 R, 64 RBI, 13 SB in 549 AB

2015 stats: .293/.359/.439, 13 HR, 79 R 60 RBI, 23 SB in 547 AB

 

34. Curtis Granderson - Mets

Projection: .236/.326/.425, 26 HR, 89 R, 74 RBI, 11 SB in 563 AB

2015 stats: .259/.364/.457, 26 HR, 98 R, 70 RBI, 11 SB in 580 AB

 

35. A.J. Pollock - Diamondbacks

Projection: .275/.332/.433, 13 HR, 80 R, 58 RBI, 21 SB in 559 AB

2015 stats: .315/.367/.498, 20 HR, 111 R, 76 RBI, 39 SB in 609 AB

 

Not bad for a guy who was sitting at least once a week early on so that the Diamondbacks could find playing time for Ender Inciarte and Yasmany Tomas.

 

39. Lorenzo Cain - Royals

Projection: .283/.330/.400, 8 HR, 73 R, 60 RBI, 23 SB in 565 AB

2015 stats: .307/.361/.477, 16 HR, 101 R, 72 RBI, 28 SB in 551 AB

 

Besides going from five to 16 homers, Cain reduced his strikeout rate by 25 percent and upped his walk rate by 25 percent from 2014. That’s a whole lot of improvement.

 

40. Shin-Soo Choo - Rangers

Projection: .265/.365/.427, 17 HR, 77 R, 73 RBI, 10 SB in 520 AB

2015 stats: .276/.375/.463, 22 HR, 94 R, 82 RBI, 4 SB in 555 AB

 

41. Matt Kemp - Padres

Projection: .267/.335/.458, 21 HR, 67 R, 76 RBI, 9 SB in 502 AB

2015 stats: .265/.312/.443, 23 HR, 80 R, 100 RBI, 12 SB in 596 AB

 

Kemp had a worse OPS than projected, yet for fantasy purposes, he was quite a bit more valuable than I expected. The big factor there is that he hit .218/.263/.368 with the bases empty and .322/.368/.533 with men on, explaining the big RBI total. He also stayed healthier than I expected and swiped a few more bases (he was 8-for-13 in 150 games in 2014).

 

48. Brett Gardner - Yankees

Projection: .256/.337/.390, 12 HR, 78 R, 59 RBI, 20 SB in 539 AB

2015 stats: .259/.343/.399, 16 HR, 94 R, 66 RBI, 20 SB in 571 AB

 

49. Charlie Blackmon - Rockies

Projection: .278/.329/.421, 11 HR, 73 R, 51 RBI, 18 SB in 468 AB

2015 stats: .287/.347/.450, 17 HR, 93 R, 58 RBI, 43 SB in 614 AB

 

53. Khris Davis - Brewers

Projection: .241/.306/.448, 25 HR, 66 R, 80 RBI, 6 SB in 511 AB

2015 stats: .247/.323/.505, 27 HR, 54 R, 66 RBI, 6 SB in 392 AB

 

55. Joc Pederson - Dodgers

Projection: .238/.340/.431, 20 HR, 61 R, 67 RBI, 20 SB in 445 AB

2015 stats: .210/.346/.417, 26 HR, 67 R, 54 RBI, 4 SB in 480 AB

 

56. Rusney Castillo - Red Sox

Projection: .263/.320/.431, 14 HR, 59 R, 61 RBI, 19 SB in 441 AB

2015 stats: .253/.288/.359, 5 HR, 35 R, 29 RBI, 4 SB in 273 AB

 

Castillo hit .391/.426/.635 with three homers in 64 at-bats from Aug. 1-24. Other than that, his first full season in the U.S. was really disappointing. It’s going to be hard for the Red Sox to pencil in both Castillo and Jackie Bradley Jr. as regulars if they want to contend next year. Having them compete for one job might be a better idea.

 

58. Carlos Beltran - Yankees

Projection: .242/.319/.445, 21 HR, 60 R, 68 RBI, 3 SB in 425 AB

2015 stats: .276/.337/.471, 19 HR, 57 R, 67 RBI, 0 SB in 478 AB

 

61. Nick Markakis - Braves

Projection: .281/.346/.376, 8 HR, 73 R, 55 RBI, 3 SB in 580 AB

2015 stats: .296/.370/.376, 3 HR, 73 R, 53 RBI, 2 SB in 612 AB

 

Brandon Phillips and Manny Machado both had games with two homers and two steals this season. However, no one has ever had three homers and two steals in a game.

 

64. Colby Rasmus - Astros

Projection: .237/.304/.436, 22 HR, 63 R, 66 RBI, 3 SB in 468 AB

2015 stats: .238/.314/.475, 25 HR, 67 R, 61 RBI, 2 SB in 432 AB

 

83. Dexter Fowler - Cubs

Projection: .255/.354/.368, 7 HR, 66 R, 35 RBI, 10 SB in 451 AB

2015 stats: .250/.346/.411, 17 HR, 102 R, 46 RBI, 20 SB in 596 AB

 

So that’s what could happen if Fowler could ever stay completely healthy. His 690 plate appearances topped his previous career high by 127.

 

84. Jake Marisnick - Astros

Projection: .237/.282/.359, 9 HR, 48 R, 44 RBI, 20 SB in 434 AB

2015 stats: .236/.281/.383, 9 HR, 46 R, 36 RBI, 24 SB in 339 AB

 

86. Yasmany Tomas - Diamondbacks

Projection: .249/.289/.429, 15 HR, 43 R, 51 RBI, 3 SB in 357 AB

2015 stats: .273/.305/.401, 9 HR, 40 R, 48 RBI, 5 SB in 406 AB

 

It’s hard to hit homers when you don’t hit flyballs, and Tomas had the 15th lowest flyball rate of the 211 players with 400 plate appearances this season. The raw strength is there for him to take a big step forward as a power hitter, but it’s going to take some tweaks. I’m not very optimistic about him for 2016.

 

88. Andre Ethier - Dodgers

Projection: .260/.337/.409, 11 HR, 47 R, 50 RBI, 2 SB in 384 AB

2015 stats: .294/.366/.486, 14 HR, 54 R, 53 RBI, 2 SB in 395 AB

 

92. David Peralta - Diamondbacks

Projection: .268/.313/.417, 9 HR, 42 R, 47 RBI, 5 SB in 369 AB

2015 stats: .312/.371/.522, 17 HR, 61 R, 78 RBI, 9 SB in 462 AB

 

Quietly one of the NL’s best hitters and also not the big defensive liability he appeared to be when he first came up.

 

102. Jarrod Dyson - Royals

Projection: .258/.324/.339, 2 HR, 30 R, 18 RBI, 26 SB in 221 AB

2015 stats: .250/.311/.380, 2 HR, 31 R, 18 RBI, 26 SB in 200 AB

 

Ned Yost played Paulo Orlando over Dyson so frequently just so he could preserve this nearly perfect projection.

 

111. Gerardo Parra - Brewers/Orioles

Projection: .271/.326/.404, 6 HR, 30 R, 28 RBI, 4 SB in 240 AB\

2015 stats: .291/.328/.452, 14 HR, 83 R, 51 RBI, 14 SB in 547 AB

 

From .328/.369/.517 with Milwaukee to .237/.268/.357 in Baltimore.

 

171. Delino DeShields Jr. - Rangers

Projection: .196/.288/.283, 1 HR, 17 R, 6 RBI, 11 SB in 92 AB

2015 stats: .261/.344/.374, 2 HR, 83 R, 37 RBI, 25 SB in 425 AB

 

I didn’t think DeShields could play. At all. So that was wrong.

Matthew Pouliot
Matthew Pouliot is the Executive Editor of RotoWorld.com and has been doing the site's baseball projections for the last 10 years. Follow him on Twitter @matthewpouliot.